Thursday , 2 July 2026

Motherwell FC vs Aberdeen FC, Premier League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2024-25
Sun 5 Jan 2025 · 14:30 UTC Fir Park 5,308 HT 45' · FT 45'
Ewan Wilson 34' 1–0
Tawanda Maswanhise 45' 2–0

Overview

Match Preview

Motherwell FC vs Aberdeen FCPremier League at Fir Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Nick Walsh
  • Assistant 1 Sean Carr
  • Assistant 2 Paul O'Neill
7 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 3.1 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Jan Aberdeen FC H 2–0 W
02 Jan Heart of Midlothian FC A 0–1 L
29 Dec Rangers FC H 2–2 D
26 Dec Celtic FC A 0–4 L
20 Dec Kilmarnock FC H 1–1 D
14 Dec Dundee United FC H 4–3 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Jan Motherwell FC A 0–2 L
02 Jan Ross County FC H 1–2 L
29 Dec Dundee United FC A 0–1 L
26 Dec Kilmarnock FC A 0–4 L
21 Dec Hibernian FC H 1–3 L
07 Dec St. Johnstone FC H 1–1 D

Season Stats

Motherwell FC Aberdeen FC
#4 Position #8
54 Points 33
33 Played 33
14 / 12 / 7 W / D / L 9 / 6 / 18
52 Scored 33
29 Conceded 48
+23 GD -15
1.64 PPG 1.00
42% Win % 27%

Key Stats

42% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
46% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Motherwell FC are 4th (54 pts). Aberdeen FC are 8th (33 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.9 Motherwell FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.79 Aberdeen FC xG
I would bet for: Motherwell FC to win 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Motherwell FC60% Draw24% Aberdeen FC16%
Actual: Motherwell FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.69
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

Motherwell FC or Draw
84%
Draw or Aberdeen FC
40%
Motherwell FC or Aberdeen FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Motherwell FC44% Draw44% Aberdeen FC12%
Actual: Motherwell FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
12.2%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
10.9%
2 – 1
9.3%
0 – 0
8.6%
3 – 0
7.5%
3 – 1
6%
0 – 1
4.5%
1 – 2
3.8%
2 – 2
3.7%
4 – 0
3.6%
4 – 1
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Motherwell FC

Handicap Motherwell FC covers Push Aberdeen FC covers
-2.5 18% 82%
-2 18% 19% 62%
-1.5 38% 62%
-1 38% 24% 38%
-0.5 62% 38%
+0.5 86% 14%
+1 86% 9% 4%
+1.5 96% 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Motherwell FC keeps clean sheet
46%
Aberdeen FC keeps clean sheet
16%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.