Thursday , 2 July 2026

FC Porto vs Moreirense FC, Primeira Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Primeira Liga · 2025-26
3 0
Full Time
Sun 15 Mar 2026 · 20:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC Porto vs Moreirense FCPrimeira Liga .

Match Details

  • Referee Carlos Macedo
7 games this season 🟨 1.3/game 6.0 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Mar Moreirense FC H 3–0 W
12 Mar VfB Stuttgart A 2–1 W
08 Mar Sport Lisboa e Benfica A 2–2 D
27 Feb FC Arouca H 3–1 W
22 Feb Rio Ave FC H 1–0 W
15 Feb CD Nacional A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Mar FC Porto A 0–3 L
07 Mar CD Nacional H 1–1 D
01 Mar Casa Pia AC A 1–1 D
21 Feb Sporting Clube de Portugal H 0–3 L
16 Feb Rio Ave FC A 2–1 W
07 Feb Gil Vicente FC H 1–2 L

Season Stats

FC Porto Moreirense FC
#1 Position #7
88 Points 43
34 Played 34
28 / 4 / 2 W / D / L 12 / 7 / 15
66 Scored 37
18 Conceded 49
+48 GD -12
2.59 PPG 1.26
82% Win % 35%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
79% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
62% Clean Sheets
FC Porto this season
26% Clean Sheets
Moreirense FC this season

FC Porto are 1st (88 pts). Moreirense FC are 7th (43 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Porto
0-15
1/
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Moreirense FC
0-15
2/2
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/1
46-60
/2
61-75
1/1
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

FC Porto Lineups

Moreirense FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.54 FC Porto xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.46 Moreirense FC xG
I would bet for: FC Porto to win 78% + Under — clean sheet likely 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Porto78% Draw15% Moreirense FC7%
Actual: FC Porto win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes34% 0% No66%
Avg goals/match: 3
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 56%
44%
± 3.5 35%
65%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

FC Porto or Draw
93%
Draw or Moreirense FC
22%
FC Porto or Moreirense FC
85%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC Porto59% Draw36% Moreirense FC5%
Actual: FC Porto win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
16%
3 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
12.7%
4 – 0
8.3%
2 – 1
7.1%
0 – 0
6.4%
1 – 1
6.2%
3 – 1
6.1%
5 – 0
4.3%
4 – 1
4%
5 – 1
2.1%
6 – 0
1.9%

Asian Handicap — FC Porto

Handicap FC Porto covers Push Moreirense FC covers
-2.5 37% 63%
-2 37% 23% 40%
-1.5 60% 40%
-1 60% 21% 19%
-0.5 81% 19%
+0.5 96% 4%
+1 96% 3% 1%
+1.5 99% 1%
+2 99% 1% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

FC Porto keeps clean sheet
63%
Moreirense FC keeps clean sheet
9%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.