Saturday , 14 November 2026

FC Arouca vs Moreirense FC, Primeira Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Primeira Liga · 2025-26
Sun 2 Nov 2025 · 18:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC Arouca vs Moreirense FC — Primeira Liga .

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Nov Moreirense FC H 0–2 L
25 Oct Sport Lisboa e Benfica A 0–5 L
05 Oct FC Famalicão H 1–1 D
29 Sep FC Porto H 0–4 L
20 Sep CD Nacional A 2–1 W
14 Sep Casa Pia AC H 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Nov FC Arouca A 2–0 W
27 Oct FC Porto H 1–2 L
04 Oct CD Nacional A 2–3 L
27 Sep Casa Pia AC H 2–1 W
22 Sep Sporting Clube de Portugal A 0–3 L
13 Sep Rio Ave FC H 3–1 W

Season Stats

FC Arouca Moreirense FC
#5 Position #9
20 Points 14
11 Played 11
6 / 2 / 3 W / D / L 4 / 2 / 5
13 Scored 13
8 Conceded 18
+5 GD -5
1.82 PPG 1.27
55% Win % 36%

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
55% Clean Sheets
FC Arouca this season
9% Clean Sheets
Moreirense FC this season

FC Arouca are 5th (20 pts). Moreirense FC are 9th (14 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Arouca
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/3
31-45
2/1
46-60
3/–
61-75
1/1
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Moreirense FC
0-15
3/1
16-30
5/1
31-45
–/3
46-60
2/4
61-75
–/3
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Arouca
Barbero 5 G
Jose Fontan 2 G
Dylan Nandin 2 G
Moreirense FC
Nile John 3 G
Tiago Andrade 2 G 2 A
Manuel Mendonca 2 G 1 A
Joao Veloso 1 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

FC Arouca Lineups

Moreirense FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.24 FC Arouca xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.19 Moreirense FC xG
I would bet for: FC Arouca or Moreirense FC 70% + Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Arouca34% Draw30% Moreirense FC36%
Actual: Moreirense FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.43
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

FC Arouca or Draw
64%
Draw or Moreirense FC
66%
FC Arouca or Moreirense FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FC Arouca26% Draw50% Moreirense FC24%
Actual: Moreirense FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.9%
0 – 0
11%
1 – 0
9.8%
0 – 1
9.4%
2 – 1
7.8%
1 – 2
7.4%
2 – 0
6.6%
0 – 2
Actual
2 – 2
4.7%
3 – 1
3.2%
1 – 3
3%
3 – 0
2.7%

Asian Handicap — FC Arouca

Handicap FC Arouca covers Push Moreirense FC covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 11% 84%
-1.5 16% — 84%
-1 16% 20% 64%
-0.5 36% — 64%
+0.5 67% — 33%
+1 67% 19% 14%
+1.5 86% — 14%
+2 86% 10% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

FC Arouca keeps clean sheet
31% ✓
Moreirense FC keeps clean sheet
30% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.