Wednesday , 30 September 2026

FC Arouca vs Moreirense FC, Primeira Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Primeira Liga · 2025-26
Sun 2 Nov 2025 · 18:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Nov Moreirense FC H 0–2 L
25 Oct Sport Lisboa e Benfica A 0–5 L
05 Oct FC Famalicão H 1–1 D
29 Sep FC Porto H 0–4 L
20 Sep CD Nacional A 2–1 W
14 Sep Casa Pia AC H 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Nov FC Arouca A 2–0 W
27 Oct FC Porto H 1–2 L
04 Oct CD Nacional A 2–3 L
27 Sep Casa Pia AC H 2–1 W
22 Sep Sporting Clube de Portugal A 0–3 L
13 Sep Rio Ave FC H 3–1 W

Season Stats

FC Arouca Moreirense FC
#5 Position #9
11 Points 8
7 Played 7
3 / 2 / 2 W / D / L 2 / 2 / 3
10 Scored 8
7 Conceded 14
+3 GD -6
1.57 PPG 1.14
43% Win % 29%

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
43% Clean Sheets
FC Arouca this season
14% Clean Sheets
Moreirense FC this season

FC Arouca are 5th (11 pts). Moreirense FC are 9th (8 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Arouca
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
2/1
46-60
3/–
61-75
–/1
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Moreirense FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
4/1
31-45
–/3
46-60
1/3
61-75
–/2
76+
2/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Arouca
Barbero 4 G
Jose Fontan 2 G
Dylan Nandin 2 G
Moreirense FC
Joao Veloso 1 G 2 A
Nile John 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

FC Arouca Lineups

Moreirense FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
1.59 FC Arouca xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.27 Moreirense FC xG
I would bet for: FC Arouca or Moreirense FC 73% + Both teams to score 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
FC Arouca40% Draw27% Moreirense FC33%
Actual: Moreirense FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 2.86
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 54%
46%
± 3.5 32%
68%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

FC Arouca or Draw
67%
Draw or Moreirense FC
60%
FC Arouca or Moreirense FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FC Arouca32% Draw45% Moreirense FC23%
Actual: Moreirense FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.5%
2 – 1
8.8%
1 – 0
8.2%
0 – 0
7.5%
2 – 0
7.1%
1 – 2
7.1%
0 – 1
6.3%
2 – 2
5.6%
3 – 1
4.7%
0 – 2
Actual
3 – 0
3.7%
3 – 2
3.1%

Asian Handicap — FC Arouca

Handicap FC Arouca covers Push Moreirense FC covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 13% 77%
-1.5 23% — 77%
-1 23% 21% 57%
-0.5 43% — 57%
+0.5 71% — 29%
+1 71% 16% 13%
+1.5 87% — 13%
+2 87% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

FC Arouca keeps clean sheet
29% ✓
Moreirense FC keeps clean sheet
21% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.