Rio Ave FC vs Moreirense FC, Primeira Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Primeira Liga · 2025-26

Rio Ave FC

1 – 2

Full Time

Moreirense FC

Mon 16 Feb 2026 · 20:15 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Rio Ave FC vs Moreirense FC — Primeira Liga .

Rio Ave FC 34 games · 36 pts (2025/26)
Moreirense FC 34 games · 43 pts (2025/26)

Match Details

Referee Ricardo Baixinho

6 games this season 🟨 2.0/game ⚽ 9.3 goals/game 🟥 3 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Porto	34	88
2	Sporting Clube de Portugal	34	82
3	Sport Lisboa e Benfica	34	80
4	Sporting Clube de Braga	34	59
5	FC Famalicão	34	56
6	Gil Vicente FC	34	50
7	Moreirense FC	34	43
8	FC Arouca	34	42
9	Vitória SC	34	42
10	GD Estoril Praia	34	39
11	FC Alverca	34	39
12	Rio Ave FC	34	36
13	CD Santa Clara	34	36
14	CD Nacional	34	34
15	CF Estrela da Amadora	34	30
16	Casa Pia AC	34	30
17	CD Tondela	34	28
18	AVS	34	21

Head-to-Head

Rio Ave FC 12 games · Avg 2.6 goals Moreirense FC

Last 5 meetings

2026-02-16 Rio Ave FC 1–2 Moreirense FC 2025-09-13 Moreirense FC 3–1 Rio Ave FC 2025-04-13 Moreirense FC 0–2 Rio Ave FC 2024-11-30 Rio Ave FC 3–2 Moreirense FC 2024-03-02 Moreirense FC 0–0 Rio Ave FC

Recent Form

Rio Ave FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
16 Feb	Moreirense FC	H	1–2	L
08 Feb	Sporting Clube de Braga	A	0–3	L
31 Jan	FC Arouca	H	0–3	L
25 Jan	CD Nacional	A	0–4	L
17 Jan	Sport Lisboa e Benfica	H	0–2	L
04 Jan	Casa Pia AC	H	3–1	W

Moreirense FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
16 Feb	Rio Ave FC	A	2–1	W
07 Feb	Gil Vicente FC	H	1–2	L
30 Jan	Vitória SC	A	0–1	L
24 Jan	CD Santa Clara	H	1–0	W
17 Jan	FC Alverca	A	1–2	L
11 Jan	CD Tondela	H	1–0	W

Season Stats

Rio Ave FC		Moreirense FC
#12	Position	#7
36	Points	43
34	Played	34
8 / 12 / 14	W / D / L	12 / 7 / 15
35	Scored	37
57	Conceded	49
-22	GD	-12
1.06	PPG	1.26
24%	Win %	35%

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

18% Clean Sheets
Rio Ave FC this season

26% Clean Sheets
Moreirense FC this season

Rio Ave FC are 12th (36 pts). Moreirense FC are 7th (43 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Rio Ave FC

0-15

1/1

16-30

1/1

31-45

–/3

46-60

3/–

61-75

–/3

76+

1/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Moreirense FC

0-15

2/2

16-30

1/3

31-45

1/1

46-60

–/2

61-75

1/1

76+

1/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Rio Ave FC to score. At the same time, Moreirense FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
With this win, Moreirense FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

Rio Ave FC Lineups

Moreirense FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Mehdi Taremi	2
Lucas Piazon	2
Joao Camacho	2
Heriberto Tavares	2
Gabrielzinho	1
Luther Singh	1
Joao Graca	1
Demir Tiknaz	1

Head to Head

Rio Ave FC Form

2026-02-16 Rio Ave FC 1–2 Moreirense FC L 2026-02-08 Sporting Clube de Braga 3–0 Rio Ave FC L 2026-01-31 Rio Ave FC 0–3 FC Arouca L 2026-01-25 CD Nacional 4–0 Rio Ave FC L 2026-01-17 Rio Ave FC 0–2 Sport Lisboa e Benfica L 2026-01-04 Rio Ave FC 3–1 Casa Pia AC W

Moreirense FC Form

2026-02-16 Rio Ave FC 1–2 Moreirense FC W 2026-02-07 Moreirense FC 1–2 Gil Vicente FC L 2026-01-30 Vitória SC 1–0 Moreirense FC L 2026-01-24 Moreirense FC 1–0 CD Santa Clara W 2026-01-17 FC Alverca 2–1 Moreirense FC L 2026-01-11 Moreirense FC 1–0 CD Tondela W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1.26 Rio Ave FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.45 Moreirense FC xG

I would bet for: Rio Ave FC or Moreirense FC 71% + Both teams to score 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Rio Ave FC32% Draw29% Moreirense FC39%

Actual: Moreirense FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes55% 0% No45%

Avg goals/match: 2.71

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	91%	9%
± 1.5	75%	25%
± 2.5	50%	50%
± 3.5	29%	71%
± 4.5	14%	86%

Double Chance

Rio Ave FC or Draw

61%

Draw or Moreirense FC

68%

Rio Ave FC or Moreirense FC

71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Rio Ave FC24% Draw47% Moreirense FC29%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

13.1%

0 – 1

8.7%

0 – 0

8.7%

1 – 2

Actual

1 – 0

7.4%

2 – 1

7.3%

0 – 2

6.9%

2 – 2

5.4%

2 – 0

5.2%

1 – 3

4.1%

0 – 3

3.3%

3 – 1

3.1%

Asian Handicap — Rio Ave FC

Handicap	Rio Ave FC covers	Push	Moreirense FC covers
-2.5	5%	—	95%
-2	5%	9%	86%
-1.5	14%	—	86%
-1	14%	18%	69%
-0.5	31%	—	69%
+0.5	60%	—	40%
+1	60%	20%	20%
+1.5	80%	—	20%
+2	80%	12%	8%
+2.5	92%	—	8%

Clean Sheet

Rio Ave FC keeps clean sheet

24% ✓

Moreirense FC keeps clean sheet

29% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.