CA Mineiro vs Mirassol FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
CA Mineiro vs Mirassol FC — Serie A at Mineirao.
- CA Mineiro 27 games · 40 pts (2026/26)
- Mirassol FC 28 games · 32 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 28 | 60 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 28 | 57 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 28 | 49 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 28 | 48 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 28 | 46 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 28 | 45 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 27 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 27 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 28 | 38 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 27 | 36 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo FC | 27 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 28 | 35 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 28 | 33 |
| 14 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 28 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 28 | 32 |
| 16 | CR Vasco da Gama | 27 | 31 |
| 17 | Gremio FBPA | 28 | 29 |
| 18 | SC Internacional | 28 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 28 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 27 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep | Mirassol FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Sep | Botafogo FR | A | 0–1 | L |
| 14 Sep | Santos FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 31 Aug | EC Vitoria | A | 0–1 | L |
| 24 Aug | Sao Paulo FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 17 Aug | Gremio FBPA | H | 1–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep | CA Mineiro | A | 0–1 | L |
| 21 Sep | EC Juventude | H | 2–0 | W |
| 17 Sep | Botafogo FR | A | 3–3 | D |
| 13 Sep | Gremio FBPA | A | 1–0 | W |
| 31 Aug | EC Bahia | H | 5–1 | W |
| 24 Aug | Fortaleza EC | A | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| CA Mineiro | Mirassol FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #7 | Position | #15 |
| 40 | Points | 32 |
| 27 | Played | 28 |
| 11 / 7 / 9 | W / D / L | 8 / 8 / 12 |
| 36 | Scored | 33 |
| 32 | Conceded | 42 |
| +4 | GD | -9 |
| 1.48 | PPG | 1.14 |
| 41% | Win % | 29% |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
H2H (3 games)
67%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
22%
Clean Sheets
CA Mineiro this season
CA Mineiro this season
14%
Clean Sheets
Mirassol FC this season
Mirassol FC this season
CA Mineiro are 7th (40 pts). Mirassol FC are 15th (32 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
CA Mineiro
0-15
2/3
16-30
6/–
31-45
5/4
46-60
1/2
61-75
8/5
76+
5/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Mirassol FC
0-15
–/5
16-30
7/2
31-45
6/3
46-60
2/3
61-75
3/8
76+
4/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
CA Mineiro
| Tomas Cuello | 5 G | 2 A |
| Victor Hugo Gomes | 4 G | 1 A |
Mirassol FC
| Carlos Eduardo | 6 G | |
| Igor Formiga | 4 G | 5 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Temperatures are rising at Mineirao as CA Mineiro face off against Mirassol FC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
- 5' CA Mineiro seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 9' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Vitor Hugo makes it 1-0.
- 14' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 19' CA Mineiro are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 24' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Ivan Baitello will be considering his options from the bench.
- 29' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His CA Mineiro side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 32' The supporters are chanting for Cristian Renato. He replaces Edson Carioca on 32 minute.
- 37' Mirassol FC is showing some good football. However, Mirassol FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 41' A moment of madness from Yago Felipe on 41 minutes earns him a card. Mirassol FC will be frustrated.
- 44' Junior Alonso was booked on 44.
- 45' Igor Gomes has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 45.
- 45' A change in the CA Mineiro ranks — Bernard exits the field as Ivan Roman enters on 45.
- 46' The whistle greets Yago Felipe as he departs to be replaced by Alesson.
- 51' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering CA Mineiro that had 479 games and scored 482 goals.
- 56' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 60' Negueba makes way for Carlos Eduardo at the 60 minute mark. A tactical switch from Mirassol FC.
- 61' A change in the Mirassol FC ranks — Neto Moura exits the field as Shaylon enters on 61.
- 63' Guilherme Arana is replacing Gabriel Teixeira for the CA Mineiro side.
- 68' Controversy at the stadium! Everson argues furiously but the card stands.
- 73' Rony makes way for Junior Santos at the 73 minute mark. A tactical switch from CA Mineiro.
- 78' Supporters expect more eagerness from Jemmes, as he is very good at scoring at Mineirao with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 79' Fresh legs for Mirassol FC! Guilherme Marques comes on to replace Gabriel.
- 82' CA Mineiro receives a card for a hard tackle on 82.
- 87' CA Mineiro looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Maycon scoring 1 goals.
- 90' A moment of madness from Danielzinho on 90 minutes earns him a card. Mirassol FC will be frustrated.
- Mirassol FC will have plenty to reflect on. CA Mineiro were simply the better side today.
Lineups
CA Mineiro Lineups
Starting XI
- 22
-
33
Rony ↓ Junior Santos 73'
-
17
Igor Gomes ↓ Gustavo Scarpa 63'
-
38
Caio Paulista ↓ Gabriel Menino 73'
-
11
Bernard ↓ Ivan Roman 45'
- 6
- 4
- 14
- 21
- 2
- 77
Bench
- 92
-
10
Gustavo Scarpa ↑ 63'
-
37
Junior Santos ↑ 73'
-
13
Guilherme Arana ↑ 63'
- 8
- 18
- 16
-
25
Gabriel Menino ↑ 73'
- 7
- 1
- 42
-
23
Ivan Roman ↑ 45'
Coach
Jorge Sampaoli
Mirassol FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
41
Yago Felipe ↓ Alesson 46'
-
25
Neto Moura ↓ Shaylon 61'
-
27
Gabriel ↓ Guilherme Marques 79'
- 22
- 6
- 34
-
11
Negueba ↓ Carlos Eduardo 60'
- 19
-
95
Edson Carioca ↓ Cristian Renato 32'
- 3
- 8
Bench
- 16
-
7
Shaylon ↑ 61'
-
77
Alesson ↑ 46'
- 10
- 21
- 23
- 20
- 5
-
96
Carlos Eduardo ↑ 60'
-
12
Guilherme Marques ↑ 79'
- 44
-
17
Cristian Renato ↑ 32'
Coach
Ivan Baitello
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Vitor Hugo | 1 |
| Maycon | 1 |
| Alan Minda | 1 |
| Mamady Cisse | 1 |
| Willian Machado | 1 |
| Rony | 1 |
| Hulk | 1 |
| Reinaldo | 1 |
CA Mineiro Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.5
CA Mineiro xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.05
Mirassol FC xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: CA Mineiro win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.55
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 2.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
| ± 3.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
CA Mineiro or Draw
74%
Draw or Mirassol FC
54%
CA Mineiro or Mirassol FC
72%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: CA Mineiro win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.2%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
9.9%
2 – 1
8.9%
2 – 0
8.6%
0 – 1
7.1%
1 – 2
6.2%
2 – 2
4.7%
3 – 1
4.5%
3 – 0
4.2%
0 – 2
4.2%
3 – 2
2.5%
Asian Handicap — CA Mineiro
| Handicap | CA Mineiro covers | Push | Mirassol FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 14% | 76% |
| -1.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| -1 | 24% | 23% | 54% |
| -0.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| +0.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +1 | 75% | 15% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
CA Mineiro keeps clean sheet
36%
✗
Mirassol FC keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

