Middlesbrough FC vs Millwall FC, Championship 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Middlesbrough FC vs Millwall FC — Championship at Riverside.
- Middlesbrough FC 46 games · 80 pts (2026/27)
- Millwall FC 46 games · 83 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Gavin Ward
- Assistant 1 Shaun Hudson
- Assistant 2 Geoff Eltringham
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry City FC | 46 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich Town FC | 46 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall FC | 46 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton FC | 46 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough FC | 46 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City AFC | 46 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham AFC | 46 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby County FC | 46 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich City FC | 46 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 46 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea City AFC | 46 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City FC | 46 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield United FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston North End FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 46 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford FC | 46 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City FC | 46 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth FC | 46 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 46 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford United FC | 46 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester City FC | 46 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 46 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug | Millwall FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 17 May | Coventry City FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 14 May | Coventry City FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 08 May | Coventry City FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 01 May | Rotherham United FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 24 Apr | Luton Town FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug | Middlesbrough FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 08 May | Blackburn Rovers FC | H | 3–4 | L |
| 28 Apr | Blackpool FC | A | 3–2 | W |
| 22 Apr | Wigan Athletic FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 18 Apr | Birmingham City FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 15 Apr | Preston North End FC | H | 2–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Middlesbrough FC | Millwall FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #3 |
| 80 | Points | 83 |
| 46 | Played | 46 |
| 22 / 14 / 10 | W / D / L | 24 / 11 / 11 |
| 72 | Scored | 64 |
| 47 | Conceded | 49 |
| +25 | GD | +15 |
| 1.74 | PPG | 1.80 |
| 48% | Win % | 52% |
Key Stats
38%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
31%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Middlesbrough FC are 5th (80 pts). Millwall FC are 3rd (83 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Middlesbrough FC launch into their encounter with Millwall FC.
- 5' Dael Fry is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Millwall FC tonight.
- 10' It is a cagey affair so far. Middlesbrough FC in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past Millwall FC's compact 4-2-3-1.
- 15' Both keepers have barely been tested. Middlesbrough FC and Millwall FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 20' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 25' The referee calls foul for Joe Bryan. He receives a Yellow card.
- 30' Middlesbrough FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 35' Middlesbrough FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Millwall FC backline.
- 40' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 45' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Morgan Rogers made 377 appearances and scored 31 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 46' Kevin Nisbet is having his name booked by the referee on 46.
- 51' Millwall FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 56' Middlesbrough FC have won 467 goals from 383 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 61' Over 61 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 64' George Saville has so much to prove this time. He replaces Casper De Norre on 64 minute.
- 69' Fresh legs for Middlesbrough FC! Sam Silvera comes on to replace Hayden Coulson.
- 73' Millwall FC ring the changes. Zian Flemming has done his job and it is now time for Aidomo Emakhu to step up.
- 76' A change in the Middlesbrough FC ranks — Daniel Barlaser exits the field as Jonny Howson enters on 76.
- 79' Romain Esse makes no mistake. The score reads 0-1 and Millwall FC are in front.
- 80' Controversy at the stadium! Jonny Howson argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
- 81' Jonny Howson picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 86' Millwall FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 87' Fresh legs for Middlesbrough FC! Isaiah Jones comes on to replace Matt Crooks.
- 90' Kevin Nisbet makes way for Tom Bradshaw at the 90 minute mark. A tactical switch from Millwall FC.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Middlesbrough FC.
Lineups
Middlesbrough FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 10
- 21
- 17
- 6
- 26
-
4
Daniel Barlaser ↓ Jonny Howson 76'
- 1
-
22
Hayden Coulson ↓ Sam Silvera 69'
- 8
- 7
-
25
Matt Crooks ↓ Isaiah Jones 87'
Bench
- 29
- 20
- 23
-
11
Isaiah Jones ↑ 87'
- 3
- 19
-
18
Sam Silvera ↑ 69'
- 14
-
16
Jonny Howson ↑ 76'
Millwall FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 4
- 5
- 3
-
19
Duncan Watmore ↓ Romain Esse 73'
-
15
Joe Bryan ↓ Ryan Leonard 90'
- 20
-
10
Zian Flemming ↓ Aidomo Emakhu 73'
- 24
- 2
- 8
-
7
Kevin Nisbet ↓ Tom Bradshaw 90'
Bench
-
18
Ryan Leonard ↑ 90'
-
9
Tom Bradshaw ↑ 90'
- 6
- 33
- 45
-
23
George Saville ↑ 64'
- 21
-
22
Aidomo Emakhu ↑ 73'
-
25
Romain Esse ↑ 73'
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Marcus Forss | 2 |
| Duncan Watmore | 2 |
| Josh Coburn | 2 |
| Zian Flemming | 2 |
| Lee Gregory | 1 |
| Paddy McNair | 1 |
| Romain Esse | 1 |
| Aiden O'Brien | 1 |
Head to Head
Middlesbrough FC Form
2023-08-05
Middlesbrough FC
0–1
Millwall FC
L
2023-05-17
Middlesbrough FC
0–1
Coventry City FC
L
2023-05-14
Coventry City FC
0–0
Middlesbrough FC
D
2023-05-08
Middlesbrough FC
1–1
Coventry City FC
D
2023-05-01
Rotherham United FC
1–0
Middlesbrough FC
L
2023-04-24
Luton Town FC
2–1
Middlesbrough FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.04
Middlesbrough FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.1
Millwall FC xG
I would bet for:
Middlesbrough FC or Millwall FC 68% + Under 2.5 goals 64%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Millwall FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.14
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 1.5 | 63% |
|
37% |
| ± 2.5 | 36% |
|
64% |
| ± 3.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
| ± 4.5 | 7% |
|
93% |
Double Chance
Middlesbrough FC or Draw
64%
Draw or Millwall FC
68%
Middlesbrough FC or Millwall FC
68%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.4%
0 – 0
14%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
10.9%
1 – 2
7.2%
0 – 2
6.8%
2 – 1
6.8%
2 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
3.9%
1 – 3
2.7%
0 – 3
2.5%
3 – 1
2.4%
Asian Handicap — Middlesbrough FC
| Handicap | Middlesbrough FC covers | Push | Millwall FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 9% | 87% |
| -1.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -1 | 13% | 19% | 68% |
| -0.5 | 32% | — | 68% |
| +0.5 | 65% | — | 35% |
| +1 | 65% | 21% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +2 | 85% | 10% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
34%
✓
Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
36%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

