Thursday , 2 July 2026

Middlesbrough FC vs Millwall FC, Championship 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2023-24
Sat 5 Aug 2023 · 14:00 UTC Riverside 29,359 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 79' Romain Esse

Overview

Match Preview

Middlesbrough FC vs Millwall FCChampionship at Riverside.

Match Details

  • Referee Gavin Ward
  • Assistant 1 Shaun Hudson
  • Assistant 2 Geoff Eltringham

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Aug Millwall FC H 0–1 L
17 May Coventry City FC H 0–1 L
14 May Coventry City FC A 0–0 D
08 May Coventry City FC H 1–1 D
01 May Rotherham United FC A 0–1 L
24 Apr Luton Town FC A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Aug Middlesbrough FC A 1–0 W
08 May Blackburn Rovers FC H 3–4 L
28 Apr Blackpool FC A 3–2 W
22 Apr Wigan Athletic FC A 1–2 L
18 Apr Birmingham City FC H 0–1 L
15 Apr Preston North End FC H 2–0 W

Season Stats

Middlesbrough FC Millwall FC
#5 Position #3
80 Points 83
46 Played 46
22 / 14 / 10 W / D / L 24 / 11 / 11
72 Scored 64
47 Conceded 49
+25 GD +15
1.74 PPG 1.80
48% Win % 52%

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
31% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Middlesbrough FC are 5th (80 pts). Millwall FC are 3rd (83 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Middlesbrough FC launch into their encounter with Millwall FC.
  • 5' Dael Fry is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Millwall FC tonight.
  • 10' It is a cagey affair so far. Middlesbrough FC in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past Millwall FC's compact 4-2-3-1.
  • 15' Both keepers have barely been tested. Middlesbrough FC and Millwall FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 20' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 25' The referee calls foul for Joe Bryan. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 30' Middlesbrough FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 35' Middlesbrough FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Millwall FC backline.
  • 40' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 45' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Morgan Rogers made 377 appearances and scored 31 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 46' Kevin Nisbet is having his name booked by the referee on 46.
  • 51' Millwall FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 56' Middlesbrough FC have won 467 goals from 383 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 61' Over 61 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 64' George Saville has so much to prove this time. He replaces Casper De Norre on 64 minute.
  • 69' Fresh legs for Middlesbrough FC! Sam Silvera comes on to replace Hayden Coulson.
  • 73' Millwall FC ring the changes. Zian Flemming has done his job and it is now time for Aidomo Emakhu to step up.
  • 76' A change in the Middlesbrough FC ranks — Daniel Barlaser exits the field as Jonny Howson enters on 76.
  • 79' Romain Esse makes no mistake. The score reads 0-1 and Millwall FC are in front.
  • 80' Controversy at the stadium! Jonny Howson argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 81' Jonny Howson picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 86' Millwall FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 87' Fresh legs for Middlesbrough FC! Isaiah Jones comes on to replace Matt Crooks.
  • 90' Kevin Nisbet makes way for Tom Bradshaw at the 90 minute mark. A tactical switch from Millwall FC.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Middlesbrough FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.04 Middlesbrough FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.1 Millwall FC xG
I would bet for: Middlesbrough FC or Millwall FC 68% + Under 2.5 goals 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Middlesbrough FC32% Draw32% Millwall FC36%
Actual: Millwall FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes44% 0% No56%
Avg goals/match: 2.14
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 63%
37%
± 2.5 36%
64%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

Middlesbrough FC or Draw
64%
Draw or Millwall FC
68%
Middlesbrough FC or Millwall FC
68%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Middlesbrough FC23% Draw53% Millwall FC24%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.4%
0 – 0
14%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
10.9%
1 – 2
7.2%
0 – 2
6.8%
2 – 1
6.8%
2 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
3.9%
1 – 3
2.7%
0 – 3
2.5%
3 – 1
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Middlesbrough FC

Handicap Middlesbrough FC covers Push Millwall FC covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 9% 87%
-1.5 13% 87%
-1 13% 19% 68%
-0.5 32% 68%
+0.5 65% 35%
+1 65% 21% 15%
+1.5 85% 15%
+2 85% 10% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
34%
Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
36%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.