Thursday , 2 July 2026

Blackburn Rovers FC vs Middlesbrough FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Fri 4 Apr 2025 · 19:00 UTC Ewood Park 15,638 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 2' Tommy Conway

Overview

Match Preview

Blackburn Rovers FC vs Middlesbrough FCChampionship at Ewood Park.

Match Details

  • Referee John Busby
  • Assistant 1 Mark Russell
  • Assistant 2 Richard Woodward

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Apr Middlesbrough FC H 0–2 L
29 Mar Portsmouth FC A 0–1 L
15 Mar Cardiff City FC H 1–2 L
12 Mar Stoke City FC A 0–1 L
08 Mar Derby County FC A 1–2 L
01 Mar Norwich City FC H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Apr Blackburn Rovers FC A 2–0 W
29 Mar Oxford United FC H 2–1 W
15 Mar Luton Town FC A 0–0 D
11 Mar Queens Park Rangers FC H 2–1 W
08 Mar Swansea City AFC A 0–1 L
01 Mar Derby County FC H 1–0 W

Season Stats

Blackburn Rovers FC Middlesbrough FC
#20 Position #5
52 Points 80
46 Played 46
13 / 13 / 20 W / D / L 22 / 14 / 10
42 Scored 72
56 Conceded 47
-14 GD +25
1.13 PPG 1.74
28% Win % 48%

Key Stats

35% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
18% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Blackburn Rovers FC are 20th (52 pts). Middlesbrough FC are 5th (80 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.7 Blackburn Rovers FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.25 Middlesbrough FC xG
I would bet for: Middlesbrough FC or Draw 76% + Under 2.5 goals 69%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Blackburn Rovers FC24% Draw32% Middlesbrough FC44%
Actual: Middlesbrough FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes37% 0% No63%
Avg goals/match: 1.95
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 83%
17%
± 1.5 58%
42%
± 2.5 31%
69%
± 3.5 14%
86%
± 4.5 5%
95%

Double Chance

Blackburn Rovers FC or Draw
56%
Draw or Middlesbrough FC
76%
Blackburn Rovers FC or Middlesbrough FC
68%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Blackburn Rovers FC14% Draw55% Middlesbrough FC31%
Actual: Middlesbrough FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
16.7%
0 – 1
16.6%
1 – 1
13.3%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 0
8.6%
1 – 2
7.6%
0 – 3
4.4%
2 – 1
4.2%
1 – 3
3.3%
2 – 0
3.2%
2 – 2
2.8%
0 – 4
1.4%

Asian Handicap — Blackburn Rovers FC

Handicap Blackburn Rovers FC covers Push Middlesbrough FC covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 4% 94%
-1.5 6% 94%
-1 6% 14% 81%
-0.5 19% 81%
+0.5 52% 48%
+1 52% 26% 22%
+1.5 78% 22%
+2 78% 14% 8%
+2.5 92% 8%

Clean Sheet

Blackburn Rovers FC keeps clean sheet
29%
Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
50%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.