Thursday , 2 July 2026

Middlesbrough FC vs Oxford United FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Sat 29 Mar 2025 · 15:00 UTC Riverside Stadium 24,624 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 38' Michal Helik
Kelechi Iheanacho 48' 1–1
Neto Borges 80' 2–1
Y 57' Mark Harris
Y 87' Ole Romeny

Overview

Match Preview

Middlesbrough FC vs Oxford United FCChampionship at Riverside Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Matt Donohue
  • Assistant 1 Paul Hodskinson
  • Assistant 2 Jonathan Hunt

Head-to-Head

2
2
Middlesbrough FC 4 games · Avg 3.3 goals Oxford United FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Mar Oxford United FC H 2–1 W
15 Mar Luton Town FC A 0–0 D
11 Mar Queens Park Rangers FC H 2–1 W
08 Mar Swansea City AFC A 0–1 L
01 Mar Derby County FC H 1–0 W
25 Feb Stoke City FC A 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Mar Middlesbrough FC A 1–2 L
15 Mar Watford FC H 1–0 W
12 Mar Hull City AFC A 1–2 L
07 Mar Norwich City FC A 1–1 D
01 Mar Coventry City FC H 2–3 L
22 Feb West Bromwich Albion FC A 0–2 L

Season Stats

Middlesbrough FC Oxford United FC
#5 Position #22
80 Points 47
46 Played 46
22 / 14 / 10 W / D / L 11 / 14 / 21
72 Scored 45
47 Conceded 59
+25 GD -14
1.74 PPG 1.02
48% Win % 24%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Middlesbrough FC are 5th (80 pts). Oxford United FC are 22nd (47 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.25 Middlesbrough FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.92 Oxford United FC xG
I would bet for: Middlesbrough FC to win 65% + Over 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Middlesbrough FC65% Draw20% Oxford United FC15%
Actual: Middlesbrough FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 3.17
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 60%
40%
± 3.5 39%
61%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

Middlesbrough FC or Draw
86%
Draw or Oxford United FC
35%
Middlesbrough FC or Oxford United FC
80%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Middlesbrough FC48% Draw40% Oxford United FC12%
Actual: Oxford United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
10.5%
1 – 1
9.5%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
9%
3 – 0
7.7%
3 – 1
7.1%
0 – 0
5.7%
2 – 2
4.3%
4 – 0
4.3%
4 – 1
4%
1 – 2
3.9%
3 – 2
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Middlesbrough FC

Handicap Middlesbrough FC covers Push Oxford United FC covers
-2.5 24% 76%
-2 24% 20% 56%
-1.5 44% 56%
-1 44% 22% 34%
-0.5 66% 34%
+0.5 87% 13%
+1 87% 9% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
40%
Oxford United FC keeps clean sheet
11%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.