Middlesbrough FC vs Oxford United FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Middlesbrough FC vs Oxford United FC — Championship at Riverside Stadium.
- Middlesbrough FC 8 games · 15 pts (2026/27)
- Oxford United FC 46 games · 47 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Matt Donohue
- Assistant 1 Paul Hodskinson
- Assistant 2 Jonathan Hunt
4 games this season
🟨 3.3/game
⚽ 11.0 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea City AFC | 8 | 17 |
| 2 | West Ham United FC | 8 | 15 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough FC | 8 | 15 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 7 | 14 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 8 | 14 |
| 6 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 8 | 13 |
| 7 | Stoke City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 8 | Bristol City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 9 | Charlton Athletic FC | 8 | 12 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 11 | Millwall FC | 8 | 11 |
| 12 | Lincoln City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 13 | Southampton FC | 8 | 10 |
| 14 | Wrexham AFC | 8 | 10 |
| 15 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 8 | 10 |
| 16 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 8 | 9 |
| 17 | Norwich City FC | 8 | 9 |
| 18 | Sheffield United FC | 8 | 9 |
| 19 | Portsmouth FC | 7 | 8 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 8 | 8 |
| 21 | Cardiff City FC | 8 | 7 |
| 22 | Derby County FC | 8 | 5 |
| 23 | Preston North End FC | 8 | 4 |
| 24 | Burnley FC | 8 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar | Oxford United FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 15 Mar | Luton Town FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 11 Mar | Queens Park Rangers FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 08 Mar | Swansea City AFC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 01 Mar | Derby County FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 25 Feb | Stoke City FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar | Middlesbrough FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 15 Mar | Watford FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Mar | Hull City AFC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 07 Mar | Norwich City FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Mar | Coventry City FC | H | 2–3 | L |
| 22 Feb | West Bromwich Albion FC | A | 0–2 | L |
Key Stats
75%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
13%
Clean Sheets
Middlesbrough FC this season
Middlesbrough FC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Middlesbrough FC
0-15
3/3
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
2/4
61-75
3/3
76+
4/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Middlesbrough FC
| William Lankshear | 6 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Middlesbrough FC have kicked off against Oxford United FC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
- 5' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 10' Middlesbrough FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Oxford United FC backline.
- 15' Matt Phillips has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 20' Oxford United FC is showing some good football. However, Oxford United FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 25' Both keepers have barely been tested. Middlesbrough FC and Oxford United FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 30' Oxford United FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 35' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 38' What a moment for Michal Helik! That strike on 38 puts his side firmly in control.
- 43' It looks surprising Middlesbrough FC does not make any changes. Tommy Conway has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 46' The whistle greets Matt Phillips as he departs to be replaced by Peter Kioso.
- 48' Assisted by Samuel Iling-Junior with the perfectly-timed delivery and Kelechi Iheanacho makes no mistake. 1-1!
- 53' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Delano Burgzorg made 35 appearances and scored 32 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 57' Controversy at the stadium! Mark Harris argues furiously but the card stands.
- 62' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 65' Stanley Mills is ready to make an impact after coming on for Przemyslaw Placheta at the 65 minute mark.
- 66' Middlesbrough FC ring the changes. Delano Burgzorg has done his job and it is now time for Morgan Whittaker to step up.
- 71' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 75' Middlesbrough FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Marcus Forss is hanging Kelechi Iheanacho on the field on 75 minute.
- 80' Magnificent from Neto Borges! That is 5 goals in 320 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 83' Oxford United FC ring the changes. Hidde ter Avest has done his job and it is now time for Ole Romeny to step up.
- 85' Time for substitution for Middlesbrough FC. Samuel Iling-Junior is replaced by Ryan John Giles.
- 87' Ole Romeny is having his name booked by the referee on 87.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. Middlesbrough FC take all three points.
Lineups
Middlesbrough FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 9
- 32
- 15
- 10
- 30
- 7
- 18
- 20
-
22
Tommy Conway ↓ Rav van den Berg 85'
- 29
- 16
Bench
-
21
Marcus Forss ↑ 75'
-
28
Ryan John Giles ↑ 85'
- 4
- 8
- 23
-
11
Morgan Whittaker ↑ 66'
-
3
Rav van den Berg ↑ 85'
- 49
- 36
Coach
Michael Carrick
Oxford United FC Lineups
5-3-2Starting XI
-
9
Mark Harris ↓ Tom Bradshaw 65'
-
10
Matt Phillips ↓ Peter Kioso 46'
- 3
- 4
-
23
Siriki Dembele ↓ Tyler Goodrham 65'
-
24
Hidde ter Avest ↓ Ole Romeny 83'
- 1
- 47
- 7
- 16
- 18
Bench
-
50
Tom Bradshaw ↑ 65'
- 21
- 6
- 2
-
11
Ole Romeny ↑ 83'
- 20
-
19
Tyler Goodrham ↑ 65'
-
30
Peter Kioso ↑ 46'
-
44
Stanley Mills ↑ 65'
Coach
Gary Rowett
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Emmanuel Latte Lath | 3 |
| Finn Azaz | 2 |
| Tommy Conway | 1 |
| Dane Scarlett | 1 |
| Greg Leigh | 1 |
| Kelechi Iheanacho | 1 |
| Neto Borges | 1 |
| Michal Helik | 1 |
Head to Head
Middlesbrough FC Form
2025-03-29
Middlesbrough FC
2–1
Oxford United FC
W
2025-03-15
Luton Town FC
0–0
Middlesbrough FC
D
2025-03-11
Middlesbrough FC
2–1
Queens Park Rangers FC
W
2025-03-08
Swansea City AFC
1–0
Middlesbrough FC
L
2025-03-01
Middlesbrough FC
1–0
Derby County FC
W
2025-02-25
Stoke City FC
1–3
Middlesbrough FC
W
Oxford United FC Form
2025-03-29
Middlesbrough FC
2–1
Oxford United FC
L
2025-03-15
Oxford United FC
1–0
Watford FC
W
2025-03-12
Hull City AFC
2–1
Oxford United FC
L
2025-03-07
Norwich City FC
1–1
Oxford United FC
D
2025-03-01
Oxford United FC
2–3
Coventry City FC
L
2025-02-22
West Bromwich Albion FC
2–0
Oxford United FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.01
Middlesbrough FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.08
Oxford United FC xG
I would bet for:
Middlesbrough FC to win 59% + Over 2.5 goals 59%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Middlesbrough FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.09
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 2.5 | 59% |
|
41% |
| ± 3.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
| ± 4.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
Double Chance
Middlesbrough FC or Draw
82%
Draw or Oxford United FC
41%
Middlesbrough FC or Oxford United FC
78%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Oxford United FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.7%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
9.1%
1 – 0
8.5%
3 – 1
6.4%
0 – 0
6.1%
3 – 0
5.9%
2 – 2
5.2%
1 – 2
5.1%
0 – 1
4.2%
3 – 2
3.5%
4 – 1
3.3%
Asian Handicap — Middlesbrough FC
| Handicap | Middlesbrough FC covers | Push | Oxford United FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -2 | 17% | 18% | 65% |
| -1.5 | 35% | — | 65% |
| -1 | 35% | 22% | 43% |
| -0.5 | 57% | — | 43% |
| +0.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +1 | 81% | 12% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
34%
✓
Oxford United FC keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.