Middlesbrough FC vs Oxford United FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Middlesbrough FC vs Oxford United FC — Championship at Riverside Stadium.
- Middlesbrough FC 46 games · 80 pts (2026/27)
- Oxford United FC 46 games · 47 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Matt Donohue
- Assistant 1 Paul Hodskinson
- Assistant 2 Jonathan Hunt
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry City FC | 46 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich Town FC | 46 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall FC | 46 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton FC | 46 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough FC | 46 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City AFC | 46 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham AFC | 46 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby County FC | 46 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich City FC | 46 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 46 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea City AFC | 46 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City FC | 46 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield United FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston North End FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 46 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford FC | 46 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City FC | 46 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth FC | 46 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 46 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford United FC | 46 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester City FC | 46 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 46 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar | Oxford United FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 15 Mar | Luton Town FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 11 Mar | Queens Park Rangers FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 08 Mar | Swansea City AFC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 01 Mar | Derby County FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 25 Feb | Stoke City FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar | Middlesbrough FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 15 Mar | Watford FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Mar | Hull City AFC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 07 Mar | Norwich City FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Mar | Coventry City FC | H | 2–3 | L |
| 22 Feb | West Bromwich Albion FC | A | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Middlesbrough FC | Oxford United FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #22 |
| 80 | Points | 47 |
| 46 | Played | 46 |
| 22 / 14 / 10 | W / D / L | 11 / 14 / 21 |
| 72 | Scored | 45 |
| 47 | Conceded | 59 |
| +25 | GD | -14 |
| 1.74 | PPG | 1.02 |
| 48% | Win % | 24% |
Key Stats
75%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Middlesbrough FC are 5th (80 pts). Oxford United FC are 22nd (47 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' Middlesbrough FC have kicked off against Oxford United FC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
- 5' The home supporters are growing impatient. Middlesbrough FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 10' Tommy Conway is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Middlesbrough FC so far.
- 15' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Middlesbrough FC that had 383 games and scored 467 goals.
- 20' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 25' Oxford United FC come into this ranked 18 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 30' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 35' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Anfernee Dijksteel made 378 appearances and scored 5 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 38' Against the run of play, Michal Helik has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 43' Peter Kioso has been relatively quiet despite scoring 1 goals in his last 382 appearances.
- 46' Another substitution for Oxford United FC to replace Matt Phillips by Peter Kioso on 46 minute.
- 48' Kelechi Iheanacho is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 53' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Middlesbrough FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 57' Mark Harris catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 57.
- 62' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Middlesbrough FC and Oxford United FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 65' Another substitution for Oxford United FC to replace Przemyslaw Placheta by Stanley Mills on 65 minute.
- 66' Time for substitution for Middlesbrough FC. Delano Burgzorg is replaced by Morgan Whittaker.
- 71' Middlesbrough FC currently sit 8 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 75' It is a substitution in Middlesbrough FC team. Kelechi Iheanacho is replaced by Marcus Forss on 75 minute.
- 80' Neto Borges puts Middlesbrough FC on the lead.
- 83' Another change for Oxford United FC made on 83 minute. Hidde ter Avest leaves to be changed by Ole Romeny.
- 85' The Middlesbrough FC bench stirs into life. Samuel Iling-Junior is withdrawn and Ryan John Giles gets his opportunity.
- 87' Controversy at the stadium! Ole Romeny argues furiously but the card stands.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 2-1 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
Middlesbrough FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 9
- 32
- 15
- 10
- 30
- 7
- 18
- 20
-
22
Tommy Conway ↓ Rav van den Berg 85'
- 29
- 16
Bench
-
21
Marcus Forss ↑ 75'
-
28
Ryan John Giles ↑ 85'
- 4
- 8
- 23
-
11
Morgan Whittaker ↑ 66'
-
3
Rav van den Berg ↑ 85'
- 49
- 36
Coach
Michael Carrick
Oxford United FC Lineups
5-3-2Starting XI
-
9
Mark Harris ↓ Tom Bradshaw 65'
-
10
Matt Phillips ↓ Peter Kioso 46'
- 3
- 4
-
23
Siriki Dembele ↓ Tyler Goodrham 65'
-
24
Hidde ter Avest ↓ Ole Romeny 83'
- 1
- 47
- 7
- 16
- 18
Bench
-
50
Tom Bradshaw ↑ 65'
- 21
- 6
- 2
-
11
Ole Romeny ↑ 83'
- 20
-
19
Tyler Goodrham ↑ 65'
-
30
Peter Kioso ↑ 46'
-
44
Stanley Mills ↑ 65'
Coach
Gary Rowett
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Emmanuel Latte Lath | 3 |
| Finn Azaz | 2 |
| Kelechi Iheanacho | 1 |
| Neto Borges | 1 |
| Michal Helik | 1 |
| Tommy Conway | 1 |
| Dane Scarlett | 1 |
| Greg Leigh | 1 |
Head to Head
Middlesbrough FC Form
2025-03-29
Middlesbrough FC
2–1
Oxford United FC
W
2025-03-15
Luton Town FC
0–0
Middlesbrough FC
D
2025-03-11
Middlesbrough FC
2–1
Queens Park Rangers FC
W
2025-03-08
Swansea City AFC
1–0
Middlesbrough FC
L
2025-03-01
Middlesbrough FC
1–0
Derby County FC
W
2025-02-25
Stoke City FC
1–3
Middlesbrough FC
W
Oxford United FC Form
2025-03-29
Middlesbrough FC
2–1
Oxford United FC
L
2025-03-15
Oxford United FC
1–0
Watford FC
W
2025-03-12
Hull City AFC
2–1
Oxford United FC
L
2025-03-07
Norwich City FC
1–1
Oxford United FC
D
2025-03-01
Oxford United FC
2–3
Coventry City FC
L
2025-02-22
West Bromwich Albion FC
2–0
Oxford United FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.25
Middlesbrough FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.92
Oxford United FC xG
I would bet for:
Middlesbrough FC to win 65% + Over 2.5 goals 60%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Middlesbrough FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.17
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 2.5 | 60% |
|
40% |
| ± 3.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
| ± 4.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
Double Chance
Middlesbrough FC or Draw
86%
Draw or Oxford United FC
35%
Middlesbrough FC or Oxford United FC
80%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Oxford United FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 0
10.5%
1 – 1
9.5%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
9%
3 – 0
7.7%
3 – 1
7.1%
0 – 0
5.7%
2 – 2
4.3%
4 – 0
4.3%
4 – 1
4%
1 – 2
3.9%
3 – 2
3.3%
Asian Handicap — Middlesbrough FC
| Handicap | Middlesbrough FC covers | Push | Oxford United FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| -2 | 24% | 20% | 56% |
| -1.5 | 44% | — | 56% |
| -1 | 44% | 22% | 34% |
| -0.5 | 66% | — | 34% |
| +0.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +1 | 87% | 9% | 5% |
| +1.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
| +2 | 95% | 3% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
40%
✓
Oxford United FC keeps clean sheet
11%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

