Middlesbrough FC vs Oxford United FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Middlesbrough FC vs Oxford United FC — Championship at Riverside Stadium.
- Middlesbrough FC 15 games · 29 pts (2026/27)
- Oxford United FC 46 games · 47 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Matt Donohue
- Assistant 1 Paul Hodskinson
- Assistant 2 Jonathan Hunt
7 games this season
🟨 4.4/game
⚽ 10.3 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Birmingham City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough FC | 15 | 29 |
| 3 | Stoke City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 15 | 28 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 15 | 28 |
| 6 | Swansea City AFC | 15 | 26 |
| 7 | Southampton FC | 15 | 24 |
| 8 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 15 | 24 |
| 9 | West Ham United FC | 15 | 23 |
| 10 | Sheffield United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 11 | Portsmouth FC | 15 | 22 |
| 12 | Norwich City FC | 15 | 21 |
| 13 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 15 | 21 |
| 14 | Cardiff City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 15 | Wrexham AFC | 15 | 18 |
| 16 | Millwall FC | 15 | 18 |
| 17 | Bristol City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 18 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 15 | 17 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 15 | 17 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 15 | 15 |
| 21 | Lincoln City FC | 15 | 15 |
| 22 | Burnley FC | 15 | 10 |
| 23 | Derby County FC | 15 | 10 |
| 24 | Preston North End FC | 15 | 8 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar | Oxford United FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 15 Mar | Luton Town FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 11 Mar | Queens Park Rangers FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 08 Mar | Swansea City AFC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 01 Mar | Derby County FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 25 Feb | Stoke City FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar | Middlesbrough FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 15 Mar | Watford FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Mar | Hull City AFC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 07 Mar | Norwich City FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Mar | Coventry City FC | H | 2–3 | L |
| 22 Feb | West Bromwich Albion FC | A | 0–2 | L |
Key Stats
75%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
27%
Clean Sheets
Middlesbrough FC this season
Middlesbrough FC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Middlesbrough FC
0-15
5/3
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/3
46-60
5/4
61-75
6/4
76+
7/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Middlesbrough FC
| William Lankshear | 13 G | |
| Amario Cozier-Duberry | 3 G | 4 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Middlesbrough FC and Oxford United FC is underway.
- 5' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 5 minutes.
- 10' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Middlesbrough FC and Oxford United FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 15' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Middlesbrough FC that had 397 games and scored 498 goals.
- 20' The 22-year-old Ben Nelson has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 25' Over 25 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 30' The travelling Oxford United FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 35' Oxford United FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 38' The deadlock is broken! Michal Helik gets on the scoresheet on 38 minutes.
- 43' Will Vaulks needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 46' Peter Kioso is replacing Matt Phillips for the Oxford United FC side.
- 48' Kelechi Iheanacho doubles the advantage! 1-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 53' It’s high time Michael Carrick made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 57' Poor challenge from Mark Harris. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 62' Hidde ter Avest is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Middlesbrough FC so far.
- 65' A change in the Oxford United FC ranks — Przemyslaw Placheta exits the field as Stanley Mills enters on 65.
- 66' Middlesbrough FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Morgan Whittaker is hanging Delano Burgzorg on the field on 66 minute.
- 71' Tyler Goodrham is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Middlesbrough FC tonight.
- 75' A change in the Middlesbrough FC ranks — Kelechi Iheanacho exits the field as Marcus Forss enters on 75.
- 80' Neto Borges puts Middlesbrough FC on the lead.
- 83' Ole Romeny gets the nod from Oxford United FC. He replaces Hidde ter Avest and will look to change the dynamic.
- 85' A change in the Middlesbrough FC ranks — Samuel Iling-Junior exits the field as Ryan John Giles enters on 85.
- 87' Ole Romeny was booked on 87.
- Game over. The scoreline of 2-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.
Lineups
Middlesbrough FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 9
- 32
- 15
- 10
- 30
- 7
- 18
- 20
-
22
Tommy Conway ↓ Rav van den Berg 85'
- 29
- 16
Bench
-
21
Marcus Forss ↑ 75'
-
28
Ryan John Giles ↑ 85'
- 4
- 8
- 23
-
11
Morgan Whittaker ↑ 66'
-
3
Rav van den Berg ↑ 85'
- 49
- 36
Coach
Michael Carrick
Oxford United FC Lineups
5-3-2Starting XI
-
9
Mark Harris ↓ Tom Bradshaw 65'
-
10
Matt Phillips ↓ Peter Kioso 46'
- 3
- 4
-
23
Siriki Dembele ↓ Tyler Goodrham 65'
-
24
Hidde ter Avest ↓ Ole Romeny 83'
- 1
- 47
- 7
- 16
- 18
Bench
-
50
Tom Bradshaw ↑ 65'
- 21
- 6
- 2
-
11
Ole Romeny ↑ 83'
- 20
-
19
Tyler Goodrham ↑ 65'
-
30
Peter Kioso ↑ 46'
-
44
Stanley Mills ↑ 65'
Coach
Gary Rowett
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Emmanuel Latte Lath | 3 |
| Finn Azaz | 2 |
| Tommy Conway | 1 |
| Dane Scarlett | 1 |
| Greg Leigh | 1 |
| Kelechi Iheanacho | 1 |
| Neto Borges | 1 |
| Michal Helik | 1 |
Head to Head
Middlesbrough FC Form
2025-03-29
Middlesbrough FC
2–1
Oxford United FC
W
2025-03-15
Luton Town FC
0–0
Middlesbrough FC
D
2025-03-11
Middlesbrough FC
2–1
Queens Park Rangers FC
W
2025-03-08
Swansea City AFC
1–0
Middlesbrough FC
L
2025-03-01
Middlesbrough FC
1–0
Derby County FC
W
2025-02-25
Stoke City FC
1–3
Middlesbrough FC
W
Oxford United FC Form
2025-03-29
Middlesbrough FC
2–1
Oxford United FC
L
2025-03-15
Oxford United FC
1–0
Watford FC
W
2025-03-12
Hull City AFC
2–1
Oxford United FC
L
2025-03-07
Norwich City FC
1–1
Oxford United FC
D
2025-03-01
Oxford United FC
2–3
Coventry City FC
L
2025-02-22
West Bromwich Albion FC
2–0
Oxford United FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.01
Middlesbrough FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.08
Oxford United FC xG
I would bet for:
Middlesbrough FC to win 59% + Over 2.5 goals 59%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Middlesbrough FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.09
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 2.5 | 59% |
|
41% |
| ± 3.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
| ± 4.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
Double Chance
Middlesbrough FC or Draw
82%
Draw or Oxford United FC
41%
Middlesbrough FC or Oxford United FC
78%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Oxford United FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.7%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
9.1%
1 – 0
8.5%
3 – 1
6.4%
0 – 0
6.1%
3 – 0
5.9%
2 – 2
5.2%
1 – 2
5.1%
0 – 1
4.2%
3 – 2
3.5%
4 – 1
3.3%
Asian Handicap — Middlesbrough FC
| Handicap | Middlesbrough FC covers | Push | Oxford United FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -2 | 17% | 18% | 65% |
| -1.5 | 35% | — | 65% |
| -1 | 35% | 22% | 43% |
| -0.5 | 57% | — | 43% |
| +0.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +1 | 81% | 12% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
34%
✓
Oxford United FC keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.