Sunday , 16 August 2026

Hull City AFC vs Birmingham City FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2025-26
Sat 18 Apr 2026 · 14:00 UTC The MKM Stadium 22,706 HT 45' · FT 45'
Joe Gelhardt 24' 1–0
1–1 77' Tomoki Iwata

Overview

Match Preview

Hull City AFC vs Birmingham City FCChampionship at The MKM Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Stephen Martin (England)
  • Assistant 1 Jacob Graham (England)
  • Assistant 2 Carl Fitch-Jackson

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Apr Birmingham City FC H 1–1 D
11 Apr Sheffield United FC A 1–2 L
06 Apr Coventry City FC H 0–0 D
03 Apr Oxford United FC A 1–1 D
21 Mar Sheffield Wednesday FC H 3–1 W
14 Mar West Bromwich Albion FC A 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Apr Hull City AFC A 1–1 D
12 Apr Wrexham AFC H 2–0 W
06 Apr Ipswich Town FC A 1–2 L
03 Apr Blackburn Rovers FC H 0–1 L
21 Mar Derby County FC A 0–1 L
14 Mar Sheffield United FC H 1–1 D

Season Stats

Hull City AFC Birmingham City FC
#3 Position #15
73 Points 0
46 Played 0
21 / 10 / 15 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
70 Scored 0
66 Conceded 0
+4 GD +0
1.59 PPG
46% Win %

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
36% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
100% Clean Sheets
Birmingham City FC this season

Hull City AFC are 3rd (73 pts). Birmingham City FC are 15th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Hull City AFC have kicked off against Birmingham City FC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 5' Oliver McBurnie, a Scotland , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 10' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Hull City AFC and Birmingham City FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 15' Hull City AFC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 20' It is a cagey affair so far. Hull City AFC in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past Birmingham City FC's compact 4-2-3-1.
  • 24' What a moment for Joe Gelhardt! That strike on 24 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 29' The referee has no hesitation. Paddy McNair is booked for Hull City AFC — card on 29.
  • 34' Kai Wagner has been relatively quiet despite scoring 9 goals in his last 286 appearances.
  • 39' Tomoki Iwata needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 1 Red cards this season.
  • 44' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 49' Supporters expect more eagerness from John Egan, as he is very good at scoring at The MKM Stadium with 2 goals in the last 1 games.
  • 50' Another change for Birmingham City FC made on 50 minute. Bright Osayi-Samuel leaves to be changed by Ethan Laird.
  • 55' The referee has no hesitation. Jay Stansfield is booked for Birmingham City FC — card on 55.
  • 60' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 63' The Birmingham City FC bench stirs into life. Jay Stansfield is withdrawn and Marvin Ducksch gets his opportunity.
  • 67' A moment of madness from Joe Gelhardt on 67 minutes earns him a card. Hull City AFC will be frustrated.
  • 72' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Hull City AFC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 75' A change in the Hull City AFC ranks — Liam Millar exits the field as Lewis Koumas enters on 75.
  • 77' Tomoki Iwata makes no mistake. The score reads 1-1 and Birmingham City FC are in front.
  • 82' It looks like no one’s ball. Hull City AFC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 83' Ryan John Giles gets the nod from Hull City AFC. He replaces Paddy McNair and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 85' Kieran Dowell catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 85.
  • 86' Birmingham City FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 87' Hull City AFC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Kyle Joseph is hanging Amir Hadziahmetovic on the field on 87 minute.
  • 88' Phil Neumann catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 88.
  • 90' Controversy at the stadium! Marvin Ducksch argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 90' The whistle greets Carlos Vicente as he departs to be replaced by Seung-Ho Paik.
  • 1-1 the final result. will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.68 Hull City AFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.51 Birmingham City FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 87% + Under — clean sheet likely 78%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Hull City AFC37% Draw40% Birmingham City FC23%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes22% 0% No78%
Avg goals/match: 1.19
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 67%
33%
± 1.5 34%
66%
± 2.5 13%
87%
± 3.5 4%
96%
± 4.5 1%
99%

Double Chance

Hull City AFC or Draw
77%
Draw or Birmingham City FC
63%
Hull City AFC or Birmingham City FC
60%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Hull City AFC19% Draw69% Birmingham City FC12%
Actual: Hull City AFC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
33.3%
1 – 0
18.9%
0 – 1
13.7%
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
6.4%
2 – 1
3.8%
0 – 2
3.5%
1 – 2
2.8%
3 – 0
1.4%
2 – 2
1.1%
3 – 1
0.9%
0 – 3
0.6%

Asian Handicap — Hull City AFC

Handicap Hull City AFC covers Push Birmingham City FC covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 7% 91%
-1.5 9% 91%
-1 9% 23% 68%
-0.5 32% 68%
+0.5 78% 22%
+1 78% 17% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Hull City AFC keeps clean sheet
60%
Birmingham City FC keeps clean sheet
51%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.