Sunday , 15 November 2026

Hull City AFC vs Birmingham City FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2025-26
Sat 18 Apr 2026 · 14:00 UTC The MKM Stadium 22,706 HT 45' · FT 45'
Joe Gelhardt 24' 1–0
1–1 77' Tomoki Iwata

Overview

Match Preview

Hull City AFC vs Birmingham City FC — Championship at The MKM Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Stephen Martin (England)
  • Assistant 1 Jacob Graham (England)
  • Assistant 2 Carl Fitch-Jackson
4 games this season 🟨 5.0/game ⚽ 11.5 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Apr Birmingham City FC H 1–1 D
11 Apr Sheffield United FC A 1–2 L
06 Apr Coventry City FC H 0–0 D
03 Apr Oxford United FC A 1–1 D
21 Mar Sheffield Wednesday FC H 3–1 W
14 Mar West Bromwich Albion FC A 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Apr Hull City AFC A 1–1 D
12 Apr Wrexham AFC H 2–0 W
06 Apr Ipswich Town FC A 1–2 L
03 Apr Blackburn Rovers FC H 0–1 L
21 Mar Derby County FC A 0–1 L
14 Mar Sheffield United FC H 1–1 D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
36% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
33% Clean Sheets
Birmingham City FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Birmingham City FC
0-15
2/1
16-30
6/1
31-45
4/7
46-60
4/1
61-75
4/1
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Birmingham City FC
August Priske 6 G 1 A
Liam Millar 4 G 3 A
Jay Stansfield 4 G 1 A
Demarai Gray 3 G
Phil Neumann 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds The MKM Stadium will turn into a battlefield for Hull City AFC and Birmingham City FC.
  • 5' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 10' Germany international Kai Wagner has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 3 assists in the Array this season.
  • 15' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 20' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 24' A stunning finish from Joe Gelhardt — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 29' Paddy McNair has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 29.
  • 34' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 39' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 44' Carlos Vicente has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 2 goals to his name this season.
  • 49' It’s high time Chris Davies made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 50' It is a substitution in Birmingham City FC team. Bright Osayi-Samuel is replaced by Ethan Laird on 50 minute.
  • 55' Jay Stansfield is having his name booked by the referee on 55.
  • 60' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 63' Birmingham City FC make a change. Jay Stansfield trudges off to be replaced by Marvin Ducksch on 63 minutes.
  • 67' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Joe Gelhardt.
  • 72' It is a cagey affair so far. Hull City AFC in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past Birmingham City FC's compact 4-2-3-1.
  • 75' A tactical swap from Hull City AFC — Lewis Koumas on, Liam Millar off on 75 minutes.
  • 77' GOAL! Tomoki Iwata scores on 77.
  • 82' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Birmingham City FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 83' The Hull City AFC bench stirs into life. Paddy McNair is withdrawn and Ryan John Giles gets his opportunity.
  • 85' Kieran Dowell has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 85.
  • 86' Birmingham City FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 86.
  • 87' The crowd applauds Amir Hadziahmetovic as he leaves the pitch. Kyle Joseph steps in for Hull City AFC.
  • 88' Birmingham City FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 90' Marvin Ducksch was booked on 90.
  • 90' The crowd applauds Carlos Vicente as he leaves the pitch. Seung-Ho Paik steps in for Birmingham City FC.
  • celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.32 Hull City AFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.04 Birmingham City FC xG
I would bet for: Hull City AFC or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Hull City AFC43% Draw29% Birmingham City FC28%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.36
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 68%
32%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Hull City AFC or Draw
72%
Draw or Birmingham City FC
57%
Hull City AFC or Birmingham City FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Hull City AFC29% Draw50% Birmingham City FC21%
Actual: Hull City AFC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
11.6%
1 – 0
11.3%
0 – 1
8.6%
2 – 1
8.3%
2 – 0
8%
1 – 2
6.5%
0 – 2
4.9%
2 – 2
4.4%
3 – 1
3.7%
3 – 0
3.5%
1 – 3
2.3%

Asian Handicap — Hull City AFC

Handicap Hull City AFC covers Push Birmingham City FC covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 13% 80%
-1.5 20% — 80%
-1 20% 22% 58%
-0.5 42% — 58%
+0.5 72% — 28%
+1 72% 17% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Hull City AFC keeps clean sheet
36% ✓
Birmingham City FC keeps clean sheet
27% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.