Thursday , 2 July 2026

Hull City AFC vs Birmingham City FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2025-26
Sat 18 Apr 2026 · 14:00 UTC The MKM Stadium 22,706 HT 45' · FT 45'
Joe Gelhardt 24' 1–0
1–1 77' Tomoki Iwata

Overview

Match Preview

Hull City AFC vs Birmingham City FCChampionship at The MKM Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Stephen Martin (England)
  • Assistant 1 Jacob Graham (England)
  • Assistant 2 Carl Fitch-Jackson

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Apr Birmingham City FC H 1–1 D
11 Apr Sheffield United FC A 1–2 L
06 Apr Coventry City FC H 0–0 D
03 Apr Oxford United FC A 1–1 D
21 Mar Sheffield Wednesday FC H 3–1 W
14 Mar West Bromwich Albion FC A 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Apr Hull City AFC A 1–1 D
12 Apr Wrexham AFC H 2–0 W
06 Apr Ipswich Town FC A 1–2 L
03 Apr Blackburn Rovers FC H 0–1 L
21 Mar Derby County FC A 0–1 L
14 Mar Sheffield United FC H 1–1 D

Season Stats

Hull City AFC Birmingham City FC
#6 Position #10
73 Points 64
46 Played 46
21 / 10 / 15 W / D / L 17 / 13 / 16
70 Scored 57
66 Conceded 56
+4 GD +1
1.59 PPG 1.39
46% Win % 37%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
36% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Hull City AFC are 6th (73 pts). Birmingham City FC are 10th (64 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Birmingham City FC kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 10' Liam Millar needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 15' Marvin Ducksch has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 34 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 20' Birmingham City FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 24' GOAL! Joe Gelhardt scores on 24.
  • 29' The referee calls foul for Paddy McNair. He receives a card.
  • 34' Hull City AFC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 39' Birmingham City FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 39.
  • 44' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Birmingham City FC that had 383 games and scored 417 goals.
  • 49' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 50' Another change for Birmingham City FC made on 50 minute. Bright Osayi-Samuel leaves to be changed by Ethan Laird.
  • 55' It’s gonna be a card for Jay Stansfield.
  • 60' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 63' The supporters are chanting for Marvin Ducksch. He replaces Jay Stansfield on 63 minute.
  • 67' A meaty challenge results in booking for Joe Gelhardt on 67.
  • 72' Hull City AFC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Joe Gelhardt scoring 1 goals.
  • 75' The whistle greets Liam Millar as he departs to be replaced by Lewis Koumas.
  • 77' What an equalizer from Tomoki Iwata!
  • 82' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Birmingham City FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 83' Another change for Hull City AFC made on 83 minute. Paddy McNair leaves to be changed by Ryan John Giles.
  • 85' Hull City AFC receives a card for a hard tackle on 85.
  • 86' It’s gonna be a card for Demarai Gray.
  • 87' It is a substitution in Hull City AFC team. Amir Hadziahmetovic is replaced by Kyle Joseph on 87 minute.
  • 88' Phil Neumann is having his name booked by the referee on 88.
  • 90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Marvin Ducksch on 90.
  • 90' The Birmingham City FC manager makes a substitution. Carlos Vicente departs to be replaced by Seung-Ho Paik.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.5 Hull City AFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.17 Birmingham City FC xG
I would bet for: Hull City AFC or Birmingham City FC 72%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Hull City AFC45% Draw28% Birmingham City FC27%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.67
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 49%
51%
± 3.5 28%
72%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

Hull City AFC or Draw
72%
Draw or Birmingham City FC
55%
Hull City AFC or Birmingham City FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Hull City AFC31% Draw47% Birmingham City FC22%
Actual: Hull City AFC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
9.5%
0 – 0
9%
2 – 1
8.8%
2 – 0
7.6%
0 – 1
7.1%
1 – 2
6.8%
2 – 2
5.2%
0 – 2
4.6%
3 – 1
4.4%
3 – 0
3.7%
1 – 3
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Hull City AFC

Handicap Hull City AFC covers Push Birmingham City FC covers
-2.5 9% 91%
-2 9% 13% 78%
-1.5 22% 78%
-1 22% 21% 57%
-0.5 43% 57%
+0.5 72% 28%
+1 72% 16% 12%
+1.5 88% 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Hull City AFC keeps clean sheet
32%
Birmingham City FC keeps clean sheet
23%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.