Hull City AFC vs Birmingham City FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Hull City AFC vs Birmingham City FC — Championship at The MKM Stadium.
- Hull City AFC 46 games · 73 pts (2026/27)
- Birmingham City FC 46 games · 64 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Stephen Martin (England)
- Assistant 1 Jacob Graham (England)
- Assistant 2 Carl Fitch-Jackson
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry City FC | 46 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich Town FC | 46 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall FC | 46 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton FC | 46 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough FC | 46 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City AFC | 46 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham AFC | 46 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby County FC | 46 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich City FC | 46 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 46 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea City AFC | 46 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City FC | 46 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield United FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston North End FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 46 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford FC | 46 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City FC | 46 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth FC | 46 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 46 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford United FC | 46 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester City FC | 46 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 46 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr | Birmingham City FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Apr | Sheffield United FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 06 Apr | Coventry City FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 03 Apr | Oxford United FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 21 Mar | Sheffield Wednesday FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 14 Mar | West Bromwich Albion FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr | Hull City AFC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Apr | Wrexham AFC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 06 Apr | Ipswich Town FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 03 Apr | Blackburn Rovers FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 21 Mar | Derby County FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 14 Mar | Sheffield United FC | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| Hull City AFC | Birmingham City FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #10 |
| 73 | Points | 64 |
| 46 | Played | 46 |
| 21 / 10 / 15 | W / D / L | 17 / 13 / 16 |
| 70 | Scored | 57 |
| 66 | Conceded | 56 |
| +4 | GD | +1 |
| 1.59 | PPG | 1.39 |
| 46% | Win % | 37% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
H2H (14 games)
36%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Hull City AFC are 6th (73 pts). Birmingham City FC are 10th (64 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. Birmingham City FC kicks off things out of here…
- 5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 10' Liam Millar needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 15' Marvin Ducksch has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 34 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 20' Birmingham City FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 24' GOAL! Joe Gelhardt scores on 24.
- 29' The referee calls foul for Paddy McNair. He receives a card.
- 34' Hull City AFC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 39' Birmingham City FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 39.
- 44' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Birmingham City FC that had 383 games and scored 417 goals.
- 49' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 50' Another change for Birmingham City FC made on 50 minute. Bright Osayi-Samuel leaves to be changed by Ethan Laird.
- 55' It’s gonna be a card for Jay Stansfield.
- 60' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 63' The supporters are chanting for Marvin Ducksch. He replaces Jay Stansfield on 63 minute.
- 67' A meaty challenge results in booking for Joe Gelhardt on 67.
- 72' Hull City AFC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Joe Gelhardt scoring 1 goals.
- 75' The whistle greets Liam Millar as he departs to be replaced by Lewis Koumas.
- 77' What an equalizer from Tomoki Iwata!
- 82' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Birmingham City FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 83' Another change for Hull City AFC made on 83 minute. Paddy McNair leaves to be changed by Ryan John Giles.
- 85' Hull City AFC receives a card for a hard tackle on 85.
- 86' It’s gonna be a card for Demarai Gray.
- 87' It is a substitution in Hull City AFC team. Amir Hadziahmetovic is replaced by Kyle Joseph on 87 minute.
- 88' Phil Neumann is having his name booked by the referee on 88.
- 90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Marvin Ducksch on 90.
- 90' The Birmingham City FC manager makes a substitution. Carlos Vicente departs to be replaced by Seung-Ho Paik.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-1.
Lineups
Hull City AFC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 9
- 15
-
37
Paddy McNair ↓ Ryan John Giles 83'
- 2
- 6
-
21
Joe Gelhardt ↓ Kieran Dowell 75'
- 1
-
7
Liam Millar ↓ Lewis Koumas 75'
- 20
- 25
-
10
Mohamed Belloumi ↓ Yu Hirakawa 83'
Bench
-
26
Kieran Dowell ↑ 75'
-
3
Ryan John Giles ↑ 83'
- 12
- 23
- 8
-
22
Kyle Joseph ↑ 87'
- 4
-
36
Lewis Koumas ↑ 75'
-
13
Yu Hirakawa ↑ 83'
Coach
Sergej Jakirović
Birmingham City FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 26
- 5
- 31
- 24
-
28
Jay Stansfield ↓ Marvin Ducksch 63'
- 4
- 25
- 14
-
29
August Priske ↓ Alex Cochrane 90'
-
17
Ibrahim Osman ↓ Demarai Gray 63'
-
23
Carlos Vicente ↓ Seung-Ho Paik 90'
Bench
-
10
Demarai Gray ↑ 63'
- 6
- 21
-
33
Marvin Ducksch ↑ 63'
- 16
-
20
Alex Cochrane ↑ 90'
-
2
Ethan Laird ↑ 50'
- 7
-
8
Seung-Ho Paik ↑ 90'
Coach
Chris Davies
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Che Adams | 3 |
| Gary Gardner | 2 |
| Lukas Jutkiewicz | 2 |
| Kamil Grosicki | 2 |
| Fraizer Campbell | 2 |
| Jarrod Bowen | 2 |
| Liam Delap | 1 |
| Jaden Philogene-Bidace | 1 |
Head to Head
Hull City AFC Form
2026-04-18
Hull City AFC
1–1
Birmingham City FC
D
2026-04-11
Sheffield United FC
2–1
Hull City AFC
L
2026-04-06
Hull City AFC
0–0
Coventry City FC
D
2026-04-03
Oxford United FC
1–1
Hull City AFC
D
2026-03-21
Hull City AFC
3–1
Sheffield Wednesday FC
W
2026-03-14
West Bromwich Albion FC
3–0
Hull City AFC
L
Birmingham City FC Form
2026-04-18
Hull City AFC
1–1
Birmingham City FC
D
2026-04-12
Birmingham City FC
2–0
Wrexham AFC
W
2026-04-06
Ipswich Town FC
2–1
Birmingham City FC
L
2026-04-03
Birmingham City FC
0–1
Blackburn Rovers FC
L
2026-03-21
Derby County FC
1–0
Birmingham City FC
L
2026-03-14
Birmingham City FC
1–1
Sheffield United FC
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.5
Hull City AFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.17
Birmingham City FC xG
I would bet for:
Hull City AFC or Birmingham City FC 72%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.67
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 2.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
| ± 3.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
| ± 4.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
Double Chance
Hull City AFC or Draw
72%
Draw or Birmingham City FC
55%
Hull City AFC or Birmingham City FC
72%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Hull City AFC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
9.5%
0 – 0
9%
2 – 1
8.8%
2 – 0
7.6%
0 – 1
7.1%
1 – 2
6.8%
2 – 2
5.2%
0 – 2
4.6%
3 – 1
4.4%
3 – 0
3.7%
1 – 3
2.7%
Asian Handicap — Hull City AFC
| Handicap | Hull City AFC covers | Push | Birmingham City FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 13% | 78% |
| -1.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -1 | 22% | 21% | 57% |
| -0.5 | 43% | — | 57% |
| +0.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +1 | 72% | 16% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 8% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Hull City AFC keeps clean sheet
32%
✓
Birmingham City FC keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

