Hull City AFC vs Birmingham City FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Hull City AFC vs Birmingham City FC — Championship at The MKM Stadium.
- Hull City AFC 46 games · 73 pts (2026/27)
- Birmingham City FC 8 games · 11 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Stephen Martin (England)
- Assistant 1 Jacob Graham (England)
- Assistant 2 Carl Fitch-Jackson
4 games this season
🟨 4.0/game
⚽ 13.3 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea City AFC | 8 | 17 |
| 2 | West Ham United FC | 8 | 15 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough FC | 8 | 15 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 7 | 14 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 8 | 14 |
| 6 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 8 | 13 |
| 7 | Stoke City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 8 | Bristol City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 9 | Charlton Athletic FC | 8 | 12 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 11 | Millwall FC | 8 | 11 |
| 12 | Lincoln City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 13 | Southampton FC | 8 | 10 |
| 14 | Wrexham AFC | 8 | 10 |
| 15 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 8 | 10 |
| 16 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 8 | 9 |
| 17 | Norwich City FC | 8 | 9 |
| 18 | Sheffield United FC | 8 | 9 |
| 19 | Portsmouth FC | 7 | 8 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 8 | 8 |
| 21 | Cardiff City FC | 8 | 7 |
| 22 | Derby County FC | 8 | 5 |
| 23 | Preston North End FC | 8 | 4 |
| 24 | Burnley FC | 8 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr | Birmingham City FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Apr | Sheffield United FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 06 Apr | Coventry City FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 03 Apr | Oxford United FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 21 Mar | Sheffield Wednesday FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 14 Mar | West Bromwich Albion FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr | Hull City AFC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Apr | Wrexham AFC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 06 Apr | Ipswich Town FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 03 Apr | Blackburn Rovers FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 21 Mar | Derby County FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 14 Mar | Sheffield United FC | H | 1–1 | D |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
H2H (14 games)
36%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
13%
Clean Sheets
Birmingham City FC this season
Birmingham City FC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Birmingham City FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
1/6
46-60
2/1
61-75
3/–
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Birmingham City FC
| Phil Neumann | 2 G |
| Demarai Gray | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Hull City AFC have kicked off against Birmingham City FC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
- 5' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 10' South Korea international Seung-Ho Paik has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 15' It is a cagey affair so far. Hull City AFC in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past Birmingham City FC's compact 4-2-3-1.
- 20' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 24' Magnificent from Joe Gelhardt! That is 14 goals in 387 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 29' That is a card for Hull City AFC. Paddy McNair will be fuming at that decision.
- 34' Matt Crooks, a England midfielder, has 19 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 39' Hull City AFC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 39.
- 44' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Chris Davies will be considering his options from the bench.
- 49' The travelling Birmingham City FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 50' A change in the Birmingham City FC ranks — Bright Osayi-Samuel exits the field as Ethan Laird enters on 50.
- 55' The referee has no hesitation. Jay Stansfield is booked for Birmingham City FC — card on 55.
- 60' The 29-year-old Kai Wagner has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 3 assists is a remarkable return.
- 63' Marvin Ducksch has so much to prove this time. He replaces Jay Stansfield on 63 minute.
- 67' Joe Gelhardt has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 67.
- 72' A quiet spell here at The MKM Stadium. Hull City AFC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 75' Lewis Koumas has so much to prove this time. He replaces Liam Millar on 75 minute.
- 77' Brilliant from the ! Tomoki Iwata makes it 1-1 with a superb finish on 77.
- 82' Demarai Gray has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
- 83' Ryan John Giles is replacing Paddy McNair for the Hull City AFC side.
- 85' Kieran Dowell picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 86' Demarai Gray is having his name booked by the referee on 86.
- 87' Kyle Joseph is replacing Amir Hadziahmetovic for the Hull City AFC side.
- 88' The referee calls foul for Phil Neumann. He receives a card.
- 90' Marvin Ducksch has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 90.
- 90' The whistle greets Carlos Vicente as he departs to be replaced by Seung-Ho Paik.
- The final score is 1-1.
Lineups
Hull City AFC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 9
- 15
-
37
Paddy McNair ↓ Ryan John Giles 83'
- 2
- 6
-
21
Joe Gelhardt ↓ Kieran Dowell 75'
- 1
-
7
Liam Millar ↓ Lewis Koumas 75'
- 20
- 25
-
10
Mohamed Belloumi ↓ Yu Hirakawa 83'
Bench
-
26
Kieran Dowell ↑ 75'
-
3
Ryan John Giles ↑ 83'
- 12
- 23
- 8
-
22
Kyle Joseph ↑ 87'
- 4
-
36
Lewis Koumas ↑ 75'
-
13
Yu Hirakawa ↑ 83'
Coach
Sergej Jakirović
Birmingham City FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 26
- 5
- 31
- 24
-
28
Jay Stansfield ↓ Marvin Ducksch 63'
- 4
- 25
- 14
-
29
August Priske ↓ Alex Cochrane 90'
-
17
Ibrahim Osman ↓ Demarai Gray 63'
-
23
Carlos Vicente ↓ Seung-Ho Paik 90'
Bench
-
10
Demarai Gray ↑ 63'
- 6
- 21
-
33
Marvin Ducksch ↑ 63'
- 16
-
20
Alex Cochrane ↑ 90'
-
2
Ethan Laird ↑ 50'
- 7
-
8
Seung-Ho Paik ↑ 90'
Coach
Chris Davies
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Che Adams | 3 |
| Lukas Jutkiewicz | 2 |
| Kamil Grosicki | 2 |
| Fraizer Campbell | 2 |
| Jarrod Bowen | 2 |
| Gary Gardner | 2 |
| Josh Magennis | 1 |
| Ozan Tufan | 1 |
Head to Head
Hull City AFC Form
2026-04-18
Hull City AFC
1–1
Birmingham City FC
D
2026-04-11
Sheffield United FC
2–1
Hull City AFC
L
2026-04-06
Hull City AFC
0–0
Coventry City FC
D
2026-04-03
Oxford United FC
1–1
Hull City AFC
D
2026-03-21
Hull City AFC
3–1
Sheffield Wednesday FC
W
2026-03-14
West Bromwich Albion FC
3–0
Hull City AFC
L
Birmingham City FC Form
2026-04-18
Hull City AFC
1–1
Birmingham City FC
D
2026-04-12
Birmingham City FC
2–0
Wrexham AFC
W
2026-04-06
Ipswich Town FC
2–1
Birmingham City FC
L
2026-04-03
Birmingham City FC
0–1
Blackburn Rovers FC
L
2026-03-21
Derby County FC
1–0
Birmingham City FC
L
2026-03-14
Birmingham City FC
1–1
Sheffield United FC
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.32
Hull City AFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.04
Birmingham City FC xG
I would bet for:
Hull City AFC or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 58%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.36
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 2.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
| ± 3.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
Hull City AFC or Draw
72%
Draw or Birmingham City FC
57%
Hull City AFC or Birmingham City FC
71%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Hull City AFC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
11.6%
1 – 0
11.3%
0 – 1
8.6%
2 – 1
8.3%
2 – 0
8%
1 – 2
6.5%
0 – 2
4.9%
2 – 2
4.4%
3 – 1
3.7%
3 – 0
3.5%
1 – 3
2.3%
Asian Handicap — Hull City AFC
| Handicap | Hull City AFC covers | Push | Birmingham City FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 13% | 80% |
| -1.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -1 | 20% | 22% | 58% |
| -0.5 | 42% | — | 58% |
| +0.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +1 | 72% | 17% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 8% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Hull City AFC keeps clean sheet
36%
✓
Birmingham City FC keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

