Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Burnley FC vs Plymouth Argyle FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Tue 1 Oct 2024 · 18:45 UTC Turf Moor 18,779 HT 45' · FT 45'
Josh Brownhill pen 26' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Burnley FC vs Plymouth Argyle FC — Championship at Turf Moor.

Match Details

  • Referee Bobby Madley (England)
  • Assistant 1 Blake Antrobus (England)
  • Assistant 2

Head-to-Head

2
Burnley FC 2 games · Avg 3.0 goals Plymouth Argyle FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Oct Plymouth Argyle FC H 1–0 W
28 Sep Oxford United FC A 0–0 D
21 Sep Portsmouth FC H 2–1 W
14 Sep Leeds United FC A 1–0 W
31 Aug Blackburn Rovers FC H 1–1 D
24 Aug Sunderland AFC A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Oct Burnley FC A 0–1 L
27 Sep Luton Town FC H 3–1 W
21 Sep West Bromwich Albion FC A 0–1 L
14 Sep Sunderland AFC H 3–2 W
31 Aug Stoke City FC H 0–1 L
24 Aug Queens Park Rangers FC A 1–1 D

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Burnley FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Burnley FC
0-15
–/4
16-30
2/3
31-45
1/1
46-60
3/2
61-75
–/4
76+
2/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Burnley FC
Zian Flemming 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Turf Moor will turn into a battlefield for Burnley FC and Plymouth Argyle FC.
  • 5' Morgan Whittaker is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Burnley FC tonight.
  • 10' Hannibal Mejbri has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 7 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 15' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 20' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Burnley FC and Plymouth Argyle FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 25' The home supporters are growing impatient. Burnley FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 26' Josh Brownhill has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 26 minutes.
  • 31' Rami Hajal, a Sweden , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 33' CJ Egan-Riley catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 33.
  • 38' Over 38 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 43' Burnley FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 48' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Plymouth Argyle FC that had 338 games and scored 416 goals.
  • 53' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 58' Plymouth Argyle FC have won 416 goals from 338 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 63' Darko Gyabi has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 67' A change in the Plymouth Argyle FC ranks — Ibrahim Cissoko exits the field as Mustapha Bundu enters on 67.
  • 68' Bali Mumba is ready to make an impact after coming on for Nathanael Ogbeta at the 68 minute mark.
  • 72' Burnley FC make a change. Luca Koleosho trudges off to be replaced by Jeremy Sarmiento on 72 minutes.
  • 77' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 81' Matthew Sorinola is replacing Victor Palsson for the Plymouth Argyle FC side.
  • 82' Hannibal Mejbri makes way for Josh Laurent at the 82 minute mark. A tactical switch from Burnley FC.
  • 87' Josh Cullen needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 50 Yellow cards this season.
  • 89' The Plymouth Argyle FC manager makes a substitution. Darko Gyabi departs to be replaced by Joseph Hatch.
  • 90' Burnley FC ring the changes. Josh Cullen has done his job and it is now time for Han-Noah Massengo to step up.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Burnley FC to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.22 Burnley FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.65 Plymouth Argyle FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 71% + Under — clean sheet likely 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Burnley FC51% Draw30% Plymouth Argyle FC19%
Actual: Burnley FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes35% 0% No65%
Avg goals/match: 1.87
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 82%
18%
± 1.5 56%
44%
± 2.5 29%
71%
± 3.5 13%
87%
± 4.5 5%
95%

Double Chance

Burnley FC or Draw
81%
Draw or Plymouth Argyle FC
49%
Burnley FC or Plymouth Argyle FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Burnley FC31% Draw56% Plymouth Argyle FC13%
Actual: Burnley FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
17.8%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
13.1%
2 – 0
10.9%
0 – 1
8.7%
2 – 1
7.4%
3 – 0
4.4%
1 – 2
3.9%
3 – 1
3.1%
0 – 2
3%
2 – 2
2.5%
4 – 0
1.4%

Asian Handicap — Burnley FC

Handicap Burnley FC covers Push Plymouth Argyle FC covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 14% 78%
-1.5 22% — 78%
-1 22% 26% 52%
-0.5 48% — 52%
+0.5 82% — 18%
+1 82% 13% 5%
+1.5 95% — 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
52% ✓
Plymouth Argyle FC keeps clean sheet
30% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.