Saturday , 14 November 2026

Burnley FC vs Plymouth Argyle FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Tue 1 Oct 2024 · 18:45 UTC Turf Moor 18,779 HT 45' · FT 45'
Josh Brownhill pen 26' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Burnley FC vs Plymouth Argyle FC — Championship at Turf Moor.

Match Details

  • Referee Bobby Madley (England)
  • Assistant 1 Blake Antrobus (England)
  • Assistant 2
3 games this season 🟨 2.3/game ⚽ 10.0 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Head-to-Head

2
Burnley FC 2 games · Avg 3.0 goals Plymouth Argyle FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Oct Plymouth Argyle FC H 1–0 W
28 Sep Oxford United FC A 0–0 D
21 Sep Portsmouth FC H 2–1 W
14 Sep Leeds United FC A 1–0 W
31 Aug Blackburn Rovers FC H 1–1 D
24 Aug Sunderland AFC A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Oct Burnley FC A 0–1 L
27 Sep Luton Town FC H 3–1 W
21 Sep West Bromwich Albion FC A 0–1 L
14 Sep Sunderland AFC H 3–2 W
31 Aug Stoke City FC H 0–1 L
24 Aug Queens Park Rangers FC A 1–1 D

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
13% Clean Sheets
Burnley FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Burnley FC
0-15
2/4
16-30
6/3
31-45
4/4
46-60
5/5
61-75
–/9
76+
3/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Burnley FC
Largie Ramazani 4 G 1 A
Zeki Amdouni 3 G 1 A
Zian Flemming 2 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.22 Burnley FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.65 Plymouth Argyle FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 71% + Under — clean sheet likely 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Burnley FC51% Draw30% Plymouth Argyle FC19%
Actual: Burnley FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes35% 0% No65%
Avg goals/match: 1.87
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 82%
18%
± 1.5 56%
44%
± 2.5 29%
71%
± 3.5 13%
87%
± 4.5 5%
95%

Double Chance

Burnley FC or Draw
81%
Draw or Plymouth Argyle FC
49%
Burnley FC or Plymouth Argyle FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Burnley FC31% Draw56% Plymouth Argyle FC13%
Actual: Burnley FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
17.8%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
13.1%
2 – 0
10.9%
0 – 1
8.7%
2 – 1
7.4%
3 – 0
4.4%
1 – 2
3.9%
3 – 1
3.1%
0 – 2
3%
2 – 2
2.5%
4 – 0
1.4%

Asian Handicap — Burnley FC

Handicap Burnley FC covers Push Plymouth Argyle FC covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 14% 78%
-1.5 22% — 78%
-1 22% 26% 52%
-0.5 48% — 52%
+0.5 82% — 18%
+1 82% 13% 5%
+1.5 95% — 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
52% ✓
Plymouth Argyle FC keeps clean sheet
30% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.