Thursday , 2 July 2026

Burnley FC vs Plymouth Argyle FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Tue 1 Oct 2024 · 18:45 UTC Turf Moor 18,779 HT 45' · FT 45'
Josh Brownhill pen 26' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Burnley FC vs Plymouth Argyle FCChampionship at Turf Moor.

Match Details

  • Referee Bobby Madley (England)
  • Assistant 1 Blake Antrobus (England)
  • Assistant 2

Head-to-Head

2
Burnley FC 2 games · Avg 3.0 goals Plymouth Argyle FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Oct Plymouth Argyle FC H 1–0 W
28 Sep Oxford United FC A 0–0 D
21 Sep Portsmouth FC H 2–1 W
14 Sep Leeds United FC A 1–0 W
31 Aug Blackburn Rovers FC H 1–1 D
24 Aug Sunderland AFC A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Oct Burnley FC A 0–1 L
27 Sep Luton Town FC H 3–1 W
21 Sep West Bromwich Albion FC A 0–1 L
14 Sep Sunderland AFC H 3–2 W
31 Aug Stoke City FC H 0–1 L
24 Aug Queens Park Rangers FC A 1–1 D

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Burnley FC to score. At the same time, Plymouth Argyle FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' Burnley FC is showing some good football. However, Burnley FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 10' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 15' Plymouth Argyle FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 20' Burnley FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 20.
  • 25' Jaidon Anthony needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 10 Yellow cards this season.
  • 26' Josh Brownhill puts Burnley FC on the lead.
  • 31' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 31 minutes.
  • 33' The referee shows Burnley FC player a card on 33.
  • 38' Supporters expect more eagerness from Bali Mumba, as he is very good at scoring at Turf Moor with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 43' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 48' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Plymouth Argyle FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 53' It’s high time Wayne Rooney made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 58' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Adam Randell suffering a number of foals already.
  • 63' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Burnley FC that had 342 games and scored 404 goals.
  • 67' The Plymouth Argyle FC manager makes a substitution. Ibrahim Cissoko departs to be replaced by Mustapha Bundu.
  • 68' The whistle greets Nathanael Ogbeta as he departs to be replaced by Bali Mumba.
  • 72' Another change for Burnley FC made on 72 minute. Luca Koleosho leaves to be changed by Jeremy Sarmiento.
  • 77' It looks surprising Burnley FC does not make any changes. Mustapha Bundu has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 81' It is a substitution in Plymouth Argyle FC team. Victor Palsson is replaced by Matthew Sorinola on 81 minute.
  • 82' The whistle greets Hannibal Mejbri as he departs to be replaced by Josh Laurent.
  • 87' It looks like no one’s ball. Plymouth Argyle FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 89' Another change for Plymouth Argyle FC made on 89 minute. Darko Gyabi leaves to be changed by Joseph Hatch.
  • 90' Han-Noah Massengo is replacing Josh Cullen for the Burnley FC side.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Burnley FC players.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.22 Burnley FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.65 Plymouth Argyle FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 71% + Under — clean sheet likely 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Burnley FC51% Draw30% Plymouth Argyle FC19%
Actual: Burnley FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes35% 0% No65%
Avg goals/match: 1.87
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 82%
18%
± 1.5 56%
44%
± 2.5 29%
71%
± 3.5 13%
87%
± 4.5 5%
95%

Double Chance

Burnley FC or Draw
81%
Draw or Plymouth Argyle FC
49%
Burnley FC or Plymouth Argyle FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Burnley FC31% Draw56% Plymouth Argyle FC13%
Actual: Burnley FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
17.8%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
13.1%
2 – 0
10.9%
0 – 1
8.7%
2 – 1
7.4%
3 – 0
4.4%
1 – 2
3.9%
3 – 1
3.1%
0 – 2
3%
2 – 2
2.5%
4 – 0
1.4%

Asian Handicap — Burnley FC

Handicap Burnley FC covers Push Plymouth Argyle FC covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 14% 78%
-1.5 22% 78%
-1 22% 26% 52%
-0.5 48% 52%
+0.5 82% 18%
+1 82% 13% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
52%
Plymouth Argyle FC keeps clean sheet
30%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.