Sunday , 16 August 2026

Burnley FC vs Plymouth Argyle FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Tue 1 Oct 2024 · 18:45 UTC Turf Moor 18,779 HT 45' · FT 45'
Josh Brownhill pen 26' 1–0

Overview

Head-to-Head

2
Burnley FC 2 games · Avg 3.0 goals Plymouth Argyle FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Oct Plymouth Argyle FC H 1–0 W
28 Sep Oxford United FC A 0–0 D
21 Sep Portsmouth FC H 2–1 W
14 Sep Leeds United FC A 1–0 W
31 Aug Blackburn Rovers FC H 1–1 D
24 Aug Sunderland AFC A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Oct Burnley FC A 0–1 L
27 Sep Luton Town FC H 3–1 W
21 Sep West Bromwich Albion FC A 0–1 L
14 Sep Sunderland AFC H 3–2 W
31 Aug Stoke City FC H 0–1 L
24 Aug Queens Park Rangers FC A 1–1 D

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Burnley FC and Plymouth Argyle FC is underway.
  • 5' The travelling Plymouth Argyle FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 10' Supporters expect more eagerness from Bashir Humphreys, as he is very good at scoring at Turf Moor with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
  • 15' Plymouth Argyle FC come into this ranked 16 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 20' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 25' Over 25 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 26' Brilliant from the ! Josh Brownhill makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 26.
  • 31' Plymouth Argyle FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 33' Burnley FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 38' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Burnley FC and Plymouth Argyle FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 43' Burnley FC are deployed in a 4-1-4-1 today, looking to exploit space against Plymouth Argyle FC's 4-5-1 shape.
  • 48' Plymouth Argyle FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 53' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 58' It is a cagey affair so far. Burnley FC in their 4-1-4-1 trying to find a way past Plymouth Argyle FC's compact 4-5-1.
  • 63' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 67' Another change for Plymouth Argyle FC made on 67 minute. Ibrahim Cissoko leaves to be changed by Mustapha Bundu.
  • 68' Another change for Plymouth Argyle FC made on 68 minute. Nathanael Ogbeta leaves to be changed by Bali Mumba.
  • 72' A change in the Burnley FC ranks — Luca Koleosho exits the field as Jeremy Sarmiento enters on 72.
  • 77' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 81' Matthew Sorinola gets the nod from Plymouth Argyle FC. He replaces Victor Palsson and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 82' Burnley FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Josh Laurent is hanging Hannibal Mejbri on the field on 82 minute.
  • 87' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 89' Time for substitution for Plymouth Argyle FC. Darko Gyabi is replaced by Joseph Hatch.
  • 90' It is a substitution in Burnley FC team. Josh Cullen is replaced by Han-Noah Massengo on 90 minute.
  • With this win, Burnley FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.22 Burnley FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.65 Plymouth Argyle FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 71% + Under — clean sheet likely 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Burnley FC51% Draw30% Plymouth Argyle FC19%
Actual: Burnley FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes35% 0% No65%
Avg goals/match: 1.87
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 82%
18%
± 1.5 56%
44%
± 2.5 29%
71%
± 3.5 13%
87%
± 4.5 5%
95%

Double Chance

Burnley FC or Draw
81%
Draw or Plymouth Argyle FC
49%
Burnley FC or Plymouth Argyle FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Burnley FC31% Draw56% Plymouth Argyle FC13%
Actual: Burnley FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
17.8%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
13.1%
2 – 0
10.9%
0 – 1
8.7%
2 – 1
7.4%
3 – 0
4.4%
1 – 2
3.9%
3 – 1
3.1%
0 – 2
3%
2 – 2
2.5%
4 – 0
1.4%

Asian Handicap — Burnley FC

Handicap Burnley FC covers Push Plymouth Argyle FC covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 14% 78%
-1.5 22% 78%
-1 22% 26% 52%
-0.5 48% 52%
+0.5 82% 18%
+1 82% 13% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
52%
Plymouth Argyle FC keeps clean sheet
30%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.