Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Sunderland AFC vs Middlesbrough FC, Championship 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2023-24
Sat 7 Oct 2023 · 11:30 UTC Stadium of Light HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 58' Sam Greenwood
0–2 60' Matt Crooks
0–3 72' Isaiah Jones
0–4 90' Marcus Forss

Overview

Match Preview

Sunderland AFC vs Middlesbrough FC — Championship at Stadium of Light.

Match Details

  • Referee Jarred Gillett
  • Assistant 1 Darren Cann
  • Assistant 2 Akil Howson
4 games this season 🟨 3.8/game ⚽ 8.5 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Oct Middlesbrough FC H 0–4 L
04 Oct Watford FC H 2–0 W
29 Sep Sheffield Wednesday FC A 3–0 W
24 Sep Cardiff City FC H 0–1 L
20 Sep Blackburn Rovers FC A 3–1 W
16 Sep Queens Park Rangers FC A 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Oct Sunderland AFC A 4–0 W
03 Oct Cardiff City FC H 2–0 W
30 Sep Watford FC A 3–2 W
23 Sep Southampton FC H 2–1 W
19 Sep Sheffield Wednesday FC A 1–1 D
16 Sep Blackburn Rovers FC A 1–2 L

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
13% Clean Sheets
Middlesbrough FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Middlesbrough FC
0-15
3/3
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
2/4
61-75
3/3
76+
4/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Middlesbrough FC
William Lankshear 6 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.06 Sunderland AFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.58 Middlesbrough FC xG
I would bet for: Middlesbrough FC or Draw 73%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sunderland AFC27% Draw29% Middlesbrough FC44%
Actual: Middlesbrough FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.64
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 49%
51%
± 3.5 28%
72%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Sunderland AFC or Draw
56%
Draw or Middlesbrough FC
73%
Sunderland AFC or Middlesbrough FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Sunderland AFC19% Draw47% Middlesbrough FC34%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 0–4 not predicted
0 – 4
Actual
1 – 1
12.9%
0 – 1
10.3%
0 – 0
9.1%
1 – 2
9.1%
0 – 2
8.7%
1 – 0
6.6%
2 – 1
6.1%
2 – 2
4.9%
1 – 3
4.8%
0 – 3
4.5%
2 – 0
3.9%
2 – 3
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Sunderland AFC

Handicap Sunderland AFC covers Push Middlesbrough FC covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 7% 91%
-1.5 9% — 91%
-1 9% 15% 76%
-0.5 24% — 76%
+0.5 52% — 48%
+1 52% 23% 25%
+1.5 75% — 25%
+2 75% 15% 10%
+2.5 90% — 10%

Clean Sheet

Sunderland AFC keeps clean sheet
21% ✓
Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
35% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.