Millwall FC vs Middlesbrough FC, Championship 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Millwall FC vs Middlesbrough FC — Championship at The Den.
- Millwall FC 8 games · 11 pts (2026/27)
- Middlesbrough FC 8 games · 15 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea City AFC | 8 | 17 |
| 2 | West Ham United FC | 8 | 15 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough FC | 8 | 15 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 7 | 14 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 8 | 14 |
| 6 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 8 | 13 |
| 7 | Stoke City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 8 | Bristol City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 9 | Charlton Athletic FC | 8 | 12 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 11 | Millwall FC | 8 | 11 |
| 12 | Lincoln City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 13 | Southampton FC | 8 | 10 |
| 14 | Wrexham AFC | 8 | 10 |
| 15 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 8 | 10 |
| 16 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 8 | 9 |
| 17 | Norwich City FC | 8 | 9 |
| 18 | Sheffield United FC | 8 | 9 |
| 19 | Portsmouth FC | 7 | 8 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 8 | 8 |
| 21 | Cardiff City FC | 8 | 7 |
| 22 | Derby County FC | 8 | 5 |
| 23 | Preston North End FC | 8 | 4 |
| 24 | Burnley FC | 8 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct | Middlesbrough FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 05 Oct | Rotherham United FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Oct | Blackburn Rovers FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 17 Sep | Blackpool FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 14 Sep | Queens Park Rangers FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 03 Sep | Cardiff City FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct | Millwall FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 05 Oct | Birmingham City FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 01 Oct | Coventry City FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 17 Sep | Rotherham United FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 13 Sep | Cardiff City FC | H | 2–3 | L |
| 05 Sep | Sunderland AFC | H | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Millwall FC | Middlesbrough FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #11 | Position | #3 |
| 11 | Points | 15 |
| 8 | Played | 8 |
| 3 / 2 / 3 | W / D / L | 4 / 3 / 1 |
| 15 | Scored | 16 |
| 15 | Conceded | 12 |
| +0 | GD | +4 |
| 1.38 | PPG | 1.88 |
| 38% | Win % | 50% |
Key Stats
41%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
H2H (17 games)
35%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
38%
Clean Sheets
Millwall FC this season
Millwall FC this season
13%
Clean Sheets
Middlesbrough FC this season
Middlesbrough FC this season
Millwall FC are 11th (11 pts). Middlesbrough FC are 3rd (15 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Millwall FC
0-15
2/–
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/2
46-60
3/4
61-75
–/4
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Middlesbrough FC
0-15
3/3
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
2/4
61-75
3/3
76+
4/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Millwall FC
| Lyndon Dykes | 4 G | 1 A |
| Tairyk Arconte | 3 G | |
| Josh Coburn | 2 G | |
| Luke Cundle | 1 G |
Middlesbrough FC
| William Lankshear | 6 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. Middlesbrough FC get us underway at The Den.
- 5' Zian Flemming is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 2 goals this season for the forward.
- 10' Andreas Voglsammer has been relatively quiet despite scoring 21 goals in his last 255 appearances.
- 15' A quiet spell here at The Den. Middlesbrough FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 20' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 25' Middlesbrough FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 29' A moment of madness from Murray Wallace on 29 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Millwall FC will be frustrated.
- 34' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 39' Jake Cooper has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 69 cards already picked up this season.
- 42' Tyler Burey picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 47' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 49' What composure from Zian Flemming! The Netherlands international strokes it home. 2-0.
- 51' Time for substitution for Middlesbrough FC. Marc Bola is replaced by Ryan John Giles.
- 56' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 57' A meaty challenge results in booking for Isaiah Jones on 57.
- 57' The Millwall FC bench stirs into life. Tyler Burey is withdrawn and Callum Styles gets his opportunity.
- 62' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 65' Middlesbrough FC make a change. Paddy McNair trudges off to be replaced by Anfernee Dijksteel on 65 minutes.
- 66' The whistle greets Tom Bradshaw as he departs to be replaced by Benik Afobe.
- 71' Marc Bola is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Middlesbrough FC so far.
- 75' Time for substitution for Middlesbrough FC. Rodrigo Muniz is replaced by Matthew Hoppe.
- 80' Middlesbrough FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 82' The supporters are chanting for George Honeyman. He replaces Zian Flemming on 82 minute.
- 83' Another change for Millwall FC made on 83 minute. Andreas Voglsammer leaves to be changed by Mason Bennett.
- 88' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Darragh Lenihan suffering a number of foals already.
- It finishes all square. Millwall FC and Middlesbrough FC share the spoils 2-0.
Lineups
Millwall FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
14
Tyler Burey ↓ Callum Styles 57'
-
9
Tom Bradshaw ↓ Benik Afobe 66'
- 4
- 5
- 3
- 23
- 1
-
10
Zian Flemming ↓ George Honeyman 82'
- 21
- 2
- 8
Bench
-
7
Benik Afobe ↑ 66'
-
39
George Honeyman ↑ 82'
- 6
-
20
Mason Bennett ↑ 83'
- 33
- 16
-
17
Callum Styles ↑ 57'
Coach
Gary Rowett
Middlesbrough FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 17
- 6
- 16
-
27
Marc Bola ↓ Ryan John Giles 51'
- 26
- 25
-
29
Chuba Akpom ↓ Marcus Forss 65'
- 1
-
8
Riley McGree ↓ Hayden Hackney 51'
-
9
Rodrigo Muniz ↓ Matthew Hoppe 75'
- 2
Bench
- 4
-
21
Marcus Forss ↑ 65'
-
3
Ryan John Giles ↑ 51'
- 23
-
15
Anfernee Dijksteel ↑ 65'
-
30
Hayden Hackney ↑ 51'
-
13
Matthew Hoppe ↑ 75'
Coach
Chris Wilder
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Duncan Watmore | 2 |
| Josh Coburn | 2 |
| Zian Flemming | 2 |
| Marcus Forss | 2 |
| Paddy McNair | 1 |
| Romain Esse | 1 |
| Aiden O'Brien | 1 |
| William Lankshear | 1 |
Head to Head
Millwall FC Form
Middlesbrough FC Form
2022-10-08
Millwall FC
2–0
Middlesbrough FC
L
2022-10-05
Middlesbrough FC
1–0
Birmingham City FC
W
2022-10-01
Coventry City FC
1–0
Middlesbrough FC
L
2022-09-17
Middlesbrough FC
0–0
Rotherham United FC
D
2022-09-13
Middlesbrough FC
2–3
Cardiff City FC
L
2022-09-05
Middlesbrough FC
1–0
Sunderland AFC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.78
Millwall FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.5
Middlesbrough FC xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 64% + Over 2.5 goals 63%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Millwall FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.28
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 2.5 | 63% |
|
37% |
| ± 3.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
| ± 4.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
Double Chance
Millwall FC or Draw
71%
Draw or Middlesbrough FC
53%
Millwall FC or Middlesbrough FC
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Millwall FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.9%
2 – 1
8.6%
1 – 2
7.3%
2 – 2
6.4%
1 – 0
6%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
5.3%
3 – 1
5.1%
0 – 1
4.9%
0 – 2
4.3%
3 – 2
3.8%
1 – 3
3.6%
Asian Handicap — Millwall FC
| Handicap | Millwall FC covers | Push | Middlesbrough FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 13% | 76% |
| -1.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| -1 | 24% | 20% | 57% |
| -0.5 | 43% | — | 57% |
| +0.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +1 | 68% | 16% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +2 | 85% | 9% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
23%
✗
Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

