Thursday , 2 July 2026

Millwall FC vs Middlesbrough FC, Championship 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2022-23
Sat 8 Oct 2022 · 14:00 UTC The Den HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Oct Middlesbrough FC H 2–0 W
05 Oct Rotherham United FC A 1–1 D
01 Oct Blackburn Rovers FC A 1–2 L
17 Sep Blackpool FC H 2–1 W
14 Sep Queens Park Rangers FC H 0–2 L
03 Sep Cardiff City FC H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Oct Millwall FC A 0–2 L
05 Oct Birmingham City FC H 1–0 W
01 Oct Coventry City FC A 0–1 L
17 Sep Rotherham United FC H 0–0 D
13 Sep Cardiff City FC H 2–3 L
05 Sep Sunderland AFC H 1–0 W

Season Stats

Millwall FC Middlesbrough FC
#3 Position #5
83 Points 80
46 Played 46
24 / 11 / 11 W / D / L 22 / 14 / 10
64 Scored 72
49 Conceded 47
+15 GD +25
1.80 PPG 1.74
52% Win % 48%

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
31% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Millwall FC are 3rd (83 pts). Middlesbrough FC are 5th (80 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at The Den. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' What a moment for Zian Flemming! That strike on 5 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 10' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Chuba Akpom suffering a number of foals already.
  • 15' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 20' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Middlesbrough FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 25' Middlesbrough FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 29' Murray Wallace has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 29.
  • 34' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 39' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Chris Wilder will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 42' Tyler Burey picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 47' A quiet spell here at The Den. Millwall FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 49' GOAL! Zian Flemming scores on 49.
  • 51' Ryan John Giles is replacing Marc Bola for the Middlesbrough FC side.
  • 56' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Millwall FC and Middlesbrough FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 57' Isaiah Jones has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 57.
  • 57' The supporters are chanting for Callum Styles. He replaces Tyler Burey on 57 minute.
  • 62' The energy levels are beginning to show. Gary Rowett might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 65' Anfernee Dijksteel gets the nod from Middlesbrough FC. He replaces Paddy McNair and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 66' A tactical swap from Millwall FCBenik Afobe on, Tom Bradshaw off on 66 minutes.
  • 71' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 75' Fresh legs for Middlesbrough FC! Matthew Hoppe comes on to replace Rodrigo Muniz.
  • 80' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 82' It is a substitution in Millwall FC team. Zian Flemming is replaced by George Honeyman on 82 minute.
  • 83' Millwall FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Mason Bennett is hanging Andreas Voglsammer on the field on 83 minute.
  • 88' Middlesbrough FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 2-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.29 Millwall FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.88 Middlesbrough FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 63% + Under — clean sheet likely 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Millwall FC48% Draw29% Middlesbrough FC23%
Actual: Millwall FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes43% 0% No57%
Avg goals/match: 2.17
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 64%
36%
± 2.5 37%
63%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Millwall FC or Draw
77%
Draw or Middlesbrough FC
52%
Millwall FC or Middlesbrough FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Millwall FC30% Draw52% Middlesbrough FC18%
Actual: Millwall FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.9%
0 – 0
13.7%
1 – 0
13.5%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
8.7%
2 – 1
8.1%
1 – 2
5.5%
0 – 2
4.2%
3 – 0
3.9%
2 – 2
3.7%
3 – 1
3.6%
3 – 2
1.7%

Asian Handicap — Millwall FC

Handicap Millwall FC covers Push Middlesbrough FC covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 13% 79%
-1.5 21% 79%
-1 21% 24% 55%
-0.5 45% 55%
+0.5 76% 24%
+1 76% 16% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
42%
Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
28%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.