Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Melbourne City FC vs Western United FC, A League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2024-25
Tue 7 Jan 2025 · 07:00 UTC AAMI Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Melbourne City FC vs Western United FC — A League at AAMI Park.

Match Details

  • Referee
  • Referee

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Jan Western United FC H 2–0 W
03 Jan Wellington Phoenix FC H 2–0 W
31 Dec Central Coast Mariners FC A 1–1 D
21 Dec Melbourne Victory FC A 1–1 D
15 Dec Auckland FC H 2–2 D
06 Dec Brisbane Roar FC A 4–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Jan Melbourne City FC A 0–2 L
03 Jan Perth Glory FC A 3–2 W
29 Dec Brisbane Roar FC H 1–0 W
21 Dec Auckland FC A 4–0 W
14 Dec Sydney FC A 4–3 W
07 Dec Macarthur FC H 0–0 D

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.53 Melbourne City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.11 Western United FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Melbourne City FC49% Draw26% Western United FC25%
Actual: Melbourne City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.64
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 48%
52%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Melbourne City FC or Draw
76%
Draw or Western United FC
51%
Melbourne City FC or Western United FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Melbourne City FC33% Draw47% Western United FC20%
Actual: Melbourne City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13%
1 – 0
10%
0 – 0
9.2%
2 – 1
8.9%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
6.9%
1 – 2
6.4%
2 – 2
5%
3 – 1
4.6%
0 – 2
4.3%
3 – 0
4.1%
3 – 2
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Melbourne City FC

Handicap Melbourne City FC covers Push Western United FC covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 14% 76%
-1.5 24% — 76%
-1 24% 22% 54%
-0.5 46% — 54%
+0.5 74% — 26%
+1 74% 16% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Melbourne City FC keeps clean sheet
34% ✗
Western United FC keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.