Melbourne Victory FC vs Western United FC, A League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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A League · 2024-25

Melbourne Victory FC

3 – 4

Full Time

Western United FC

Fri 10 Jan 2025 · 08:35 UTC AAMI Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 24' Angus Thurgate

Adama Traore 56' Y

Daniel Arzani 56' Y

Y 57' Ben Garuccio

Kasey Bos 88' Y

Y 90' Noah Botic

Y 90' Matthew Grimaldi

Overview

Match Preview

Melbourne Victory FC vs Western United FC — A League at AAMI Park.

Melbourne Victory FC 4 games · 3 pts (2026/27)
Western United FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Adam Kersey
Referee

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Wellington Phoenix FC	4	10
2	Sydney FC	4	7
3	Brisbane Roar FC	3	7
4	Melbourne City FC	4	7
5	Perth Glory FC	4	6
6	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	4	5
7	Macarthur FC	4	5
8	Auckland FC	4	5
9	Melbourne Victory FC	4	3
10	Newcastle United Jets FC	4	2
11	Central Coast Mariners FC	4	2
12	Adelaide United FC	3	1

Head-to-Head

Melbourne Victory FC 13 games · Avg 3.9 goals Western United FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-01-10 Melbourne Victory FC 3–4 Western United FC 2024-12-01 Western United FC 1–3 Melbourne Victory FC 2024-03-14 Western United FC 2–2 Melbourne Victory FC 2024-02-20 Melbourne Victory FC 2–1 Western United FC 2023-03-13 Melbourne Victory FC 1–2 Western United FC

Recent Form

Melbourne Victory FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
10 Jan	Western United FC	H	3–4	L
04 Jan	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	H	2–2	D
01 Jan	Auckland FC	A	0–0	D
28 Dec	Sydney FC	A	0–3	L
21 Dec	Melbourne City FC	H	1–1	D
08 Dec	Perth Glory FC	H	2–0	W

Western United FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
10 Jan	Melbourne Victory FC	A	4–3	W
07 Jan	Melbourne City FC	A	0–2	L
03 Jan	Perth Glory FC	A	3–2	W
29 Dec	Brisbane Roar FC	H	1–0	W
21 Dec	Auckland FC	A	4–0	W
14 Dec	Sydney FC	A	4–3	W

Key Stats

85% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)

77% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

0% Clean Sheets
Melbourne Victory FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Melbourne Victory FC

0-15

1/1

16-30

1/–

31-45

–/1

46-60

–/1

61-75

3/1

76+

–/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Melbourne Victory FC

Keegan Jelacic	2 G
Jordi Valadon	2 G
Charles Nduka	1 G	2 A

Events

Match Events

0' Welcome to AAMI Park that hosts another battle between Melbourne Victory FC and Western United FC.
5' The 28-year-old Reno Piscopo has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
9' GOAL! Brendan Hamill scores on 9. Assisted by Jordi Valadon
14' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Bruno Fornaroli made 210 appearances and scored 63 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
17' The Japan Hiroshi Ibusuki breaks the deadlock on 17 minutes. 1-1!
22' It is a cagey affair so far. Melbourne Victory FC in their trying to find a way past Western United FC's compact .
24' Angus Thurgate was booked on 24.
29' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Western United FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
34' Supporters expect more eagerness from Noah Botic, as he is very good at scoring at AAMI Park with 3 goals in the last 3 games.
39' The Australia Bruno Fornaroli breaks the deadlock on 39 minutes. 2-1!
44' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
49' Abel Walatee is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Western United FC so far.
54' Western United FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 54.
56' A moment of madness from Adama Traore on 56 minutes earns him a card. Melbourne Victory FC will be frustrated.
57' Western United FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 57.
62' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Melbourne Victory FC and Western United FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
66' The whistle greets Reno Piscopo as he departs to be replaced by Nishan Velupillay.
69' Against the run of play, Abel Walatee has scored! This game has turned on its head.
74' A quiet spell here at AAMI Park. Western United FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
75' Kasey Bos is ready to make an impact after coming on for Adama Traore at the 75 minute mark.
76' The Melbourne Victory FC bench stirs into life. Bruno Fornaroli is withdrawn and Nikolaos Vergos gets his opportunity.
78' A change in the Western United FC ranks — Abel Walatee exits the field as Matthew Grimaldi enters on 78.
79' Clarismario is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
84' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Melbourne Victory FC that had 212 games and scored 301 goals.
87' The crowd applauds Zinedine Machach as he leaves the pitch. Joshua Rawlins steps in for Melbourne Victory FC.
88' Kasey Bos picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
90' Noah Botic was booked on 90.
Western United FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

Melbourne Victory FC Lineups

Starting XI

8
Zinedine Machach ↓ Joshua Rawlins 87'
5
Brendan Hamill
21
Roderick Miranda
7
Daniel Arzani ↓ Clarismario 75'
10
Bruno Fornaroli ↓ Nikolaos Vergos 76'
27
Reno Piscopo ↓ Nishan Velupillay 66'
3
Adama Traore ↓ Kasey Bos 75'
6
Ryan Teague
25
Jack Duncan
2
Jason Geria
14
Jordi Valadon

Bench

22
Joshua Rawlins ↑ 87'
17
Nishan Velupillay ↑ 66'
18
Fabian Monge
28
Kasey Bos ↑ 75'
30
Daniel Graskoski
9
Nikolaos Vergos ↑ 76'
11
Clarismario ↑ 75'

Coach Arthur Diles

Western United FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach John Aloisi

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Besart Berisha	4
Bruno Fornaroli	3
Noah Botic	3
Ben Folami	2
Daniel Penha	2
Elvis Kamsoba	2
Brendan Hamill	2
Hiroshi Ibusuki	2

Head to Head

Melbourne Victory FC Form

2025-01-10 Melbourne Victory FC 3–4 Western United FC L 2025-01-04 Melbourne Victory FC 2–2 Western Sydney Wanderers FC D 2025-01-01 Auckland FC 0–0 Melbourne Victory FC D 2024-12-28 Sydney FC 3–0 Melbourne Victory FC L 2024-12-21 Melbourne Victory FC 1–1 Melbourne City FC D 2024-12-08 Melbourne Victory FC 2–0 Perth Glory FC W

Western United FC Form

2025-01-10 Melbourne Victory FC 3–4 Western United FC W 2025-01-07 Melbourne City FC 2–0 Western United FC L 2025-01-03 Perth Glory FC 2–3 Western United FC W 2024-12-29 Western United FC 1–0 Brisbane Roar FC W 2024-12-21 Auckland FC 0–4 Western United FC W 2024-12-14 Sydney FC 3–4 Western United FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.77 Melbourne Victory FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.73 Western United FC xG

I would bet for: Melbourne Victory FC or Western United FC 75% + Both teams to score 68%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Melbourne Victory FC37% Draw25% Western United FC38%

Actual: Western United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes68% 0% No32%

Avg goals/match: 3.5

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	86%	14%
± 2.5	67%	33%
± 3.5	46%	54%
± 4.5	28%	72%

Double Chance

Melbourne Victory FC or Draw

62%

Draw or Western United FC

63%

Melbourne Victory FC or Western United FC

75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Melbourne Victory FC30% Draw41% Western United FC29%

Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–4 not predicted

3 – 4

Actual

1 – 1

10.1%

2 – 1

7.9%

1 – 2

7.7%

2 – 2

6.8%

2 – 0

4.8%

1 – 0

4.7%

3 – 1

4.6%

0 – 1

4.6%

0 – 2

4.6%

1 – 3

4.4%

0 – 0

4.4%

3 – 2

Asian Handicap — Melbourne Victory FC

Handicap	Melbourne Victory FC covers	Push	Western United FC covers
-2.5	9%	—	91%
-2	9%	12%	79%
-1.5	21%	—	79%
-1	21%	18%	61%
-0.5	39%	—	61%
+0.5	63%	—	37%
+1	63%	18%	20%
+1.5	80%	—	20%
+2	80%	11%	8%
+2.5	92%	—	8%

Clean Sheet

Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet

19% ✓

Western United FC keeps clean sheet

18% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.