Melbourne Victory FC vs Western United FC, A League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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A League · 2024-25

Melbourne Victory FC

3 – 4

Full Time

Western United FC

Fri 10 Jan 2025 · 08:35 UTC AAMI Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 24' Angus Thurgate

Adama Traore 56' Y

Daniel Arzani 56' Y

Y 57' Ben Garuccio

Kasey Bos 88' Y

Y 90' Noah Botic

Y 90' Matthew Grimaldi

Overview

Match Preview

Melbourne Victory FC vs Western United FC — A League at AAMI Park.

Melbourne Victory FC 26 games · 40 pts (2025/26)
Western United FC 0 games · 0 pts (2025/26)

Match Details

Referee Adam Kersey
Referee

18 games this season 🟨 0.4/game ⚽ 3.9 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Newcastle United Jets FC	26	48
2	Adelaide United FC	26	43
3	Auckland FC	26	42
4	Melbourne Victory FC	26	40
5	Sydney FC	26	39
6	Melbourne City FC	26	38
7	Macarthur FC	26	34
8	Wellington Phoenix FC	26	33
9	Central Coast Mariners FC	26	32
10	Perth Glory FC	26	31
11	Brisbane Roar FC	26	26
12	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	26	21

Head-to-Head

Melbourne Victory FC 13 games · Avg 3.9 goals Western United FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-01-10 Melbourne Victory FC 3–4 Western United FC 2024-12-01 Western United FC 1–3 Melbourne Victory FC 2024-03-14 Western United FC 2–2 Melbourne Victory FC 2024-02-20 Melbourne Victory FC 2–1 Western United FC 2023-03-13 Melbourne Victory FC 1–2 Western United FC

Recent Form

Melbourne Victory FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
10 Jan	Western United FC	H	3–4	L
04 Jan	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	H	2–2	D
01 Jan	Auckland FC	A	0–0	D
28 Dec	Sydney FC	A	0–3	L
21 Dec	Melbourne City FC	H	1–1	D
08 Dec	Perth Glory FC	H	2–0	W

Western United FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
10 Jan	Melbourne Victory FC	A	4–3	W
07 Jan	Melbourne City FC	A	0–2	L
03 Jan	Perth Glory FC	A	3–2	W
29 Dec	Brisbane Roar FC	H	1–0	W
21 Dec	Auckland FC	A	4–0	W
14 Dec	Sydney FC	A	4–3	W

Key Stats

85% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)

77% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

23% Clean Sheets
Melbourne Victory FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Melbourne Victory FC

0-15

–/–

16-30

1/1

31-45

2/1

46-60

1/–

61-75

1/–

76+

1/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Melbourne Victory FC

Nikolaos Vergos	7 G	1 A
Clarismario	6 G
Mata	5 G	12 A
Keegan Jelacic	5 G	2 A
Charles Nduka	5 G	2 A

Events

Match Events

0' In just a few seconds AAMI Park will turn into a battlefield for Melbourne Victory FC and Western United FC.
5' Melbourne Victory FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 5.
9' Against the run of play, Brendan Hamill has scored! This game has turned on its head.
14' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
17' The deadlock is broken! Hiroshi Ibusuki gets on the scoresheet on 17 minutes.
22' Over 22 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
24' That looks like a foul for a card for Angus Thurgate.
29' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Angus Thurgate suffering a number of foals already.
34' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Melbourne Victory FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
39' Magnificent from Bruno Fornaroli! That is 63 goals in 208 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
44' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
49' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Melbourne Victory FC and Western United FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
54' Adama Traore needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 18 Yellow cards this season.
56' Adama Traore has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 56.
57' That is a card for Western United FC. Ben Garuccio will be fuming at that decision.
62' Luke Vickery, a Australia , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
66' The crowd applauds Reno Piscopo as he leaves the pitch. Nishan Velupillay steps in for Melbourne Victory FC.
69' Brilliant from the ! Abel Walatee makes it 2-2 with a superb finish on 69.
74' Melbourne Victory FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Western United FC backline.
75' Melbourne Victory FC make a change. Adama Traore trudges off to be replaced by Kasey Bos on 75 minutes.
76' Melbourne Victory FC ring the changes. Bruno Fornaroli has done his job and it is now time for Nikolaos Vergos to step up.
78' Western United FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Matthew Grimaldi is hanging Abel Walatee on the field on 78 minute.
79' GOAL! Clarismario scores on 79. Assisted by Zinedine Machach
84' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
87' A tactical swap from Melbourne Victory FC — Joshua Rawlins on, Zinedine Machach off on 87 minutes.
88' Melbourne Victory FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 88.
90' The referee calls foul for Noah Botic. He receives a card.
Western United FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

Melbourne Victory FC Lineups

Starting XI

8
Zinedine Machach ↓ Joshua Rawlins 87'
5
Brendan Hamill
21
Roderick Miranda
7
Daniel Arzani ↓ Clarismario 75'
10
Bruno Fornaroli ↓ Nikolaos Vergos 76'
27
Reno Piscopo ↓ Nishan Velupillay 66'
3
Adama Traore ↓ Kasey Bos 75'
6
Ryan Teague
25
Jack Duncan
2
Jason Geria
14
Jordi Valadon

Bench

22
Joshua Rawlins ↑ 87'
17
Nishan Velupillay ↑ 66'
18
Fabian Monge
28
Kasey Bos ↑ 75'
30
Daniel Graskoski
9
Nikolaos Vergos ↑ 76'
11
Clarismario ↑ 75'

Coach Arthur Diles

Western United FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach John Aloisi

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Besart Berisha	4
Bruno Fornaroli	3
Noah Botic	3
Elvis Kamsoba	2
Brendan Hamill	2
Hiroshi Ibusuki	2
Jacob Butterfield	2
Rudy Gestede	2

Head to Head

Melbourne Victory FC Form

2025-01-10 Melbourne Victory FC 3–4 Western United FC L 2025-01-04 Melbourne Victory FC 2–2 Western Sydney Wanderers FC D 2025-01-01 Auckland FC 0–0 Melbourne Victory FC D 2024-12-28 Sydney FC 3–0 Melbourne Victory FC L 2024-12-21 Melbourne Victory FC 1–1 Melbourne City FC D 2024-12-08 Melbourne Victory FC 2–0 Perth Glory FC W

Western United FC Form

2025-01-10 Melbourne Victory FC 3–4 Western United FC W 2025-01-07 Melbourne City FC 2–0 Western United FC L 2025-01-03 Perth Glory FC 2–3 Western United FC W 2024-12-29 Western United FC 1–0 Brisbane Roar FC W 2024-12-21 Auckland FC 0–4 Western United FC W 2024-12-14 Sydney FC 3–4 Western United FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.77 Melbourne Victory FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.73 Western United FC xG

I would bet for: Melbourne Victory FC or Western United FC 75% + Both teams to score 68%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Melbourne Victory FC37% Draw25% Western United FC38%

Actual: Western United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes68% 0% No32%

Avg goals/match: 3.5

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	86%	14%
± 2.5	67%	33%
± 3.5	46%	54%
± 4.5	28%	72%

Double Chance

Melbourne Victory FC or Draw

62%

Draw or Western United FC

63%

Melbourne Victory FC or Western United FC

75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Melbourne Victory FC30% Draw41% Western United FC29%

Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–4 not predicted

3 – 4

Actual

1 – 1

10.1%

2 – 1

7.9%

1 – 2

7.7%

2 – 2

6.8%

2 – 0

4.8%

1 – 0

4.7%

3 – 1

4.6%

0 – 1

4.6%

0 – 2

4.6%

1 – 3

4.4%

0 – 0

4.4%

3 – 2

Asian Handicap — Melbourne Victory FC

Handicap	Melbourne Victory FC covers	Push	Western United FC covers
-2.5	9%	—	91%
-2	9%	12%	79%
-1.5	21%	—	79%
-1	21%	18%	61%
-0.5	39%	—	61%
+0.5	63%	—	37%
+1	63%	18%	20%
+1.5	80%	—	20%
+2	80%	11%	8%
+2.5	92%	—	8%

Clean Sheet

Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet

19% ✓

Western United FC keeps clean sheet

18% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.