Melbourne Victory FC vs Sydney FC, A League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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A League · 2025-26

Melbourne Victory FC

4 – 0

Full Time

Sydney FC

Mon 26 Jan 2026 · 06:40 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Melbourne Victory FC vs Sydney FC — A League .

Melbourne Victory FC 26 games · 40 pts (2026/27)
Sydney FC 26 games · 39 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Daniel Elder
Referee Sam Kelly (Australia)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Newcastle United Jets FC	26	48
2	Adelaide United FC	26	43
3	Auckland FC	26	42
4	Melbourne Victory FC	26	40
5	Sydney FC	26	39
6	Melbourne City FC	26	38
7	Macarthur FC	26	34
8	Wellington Phoenix FC	26	33
9	Central Coast Mariners FC	26	32
10	Perth Glory FC	26	31
11	Brisbane Roar FC	26	26
12	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	26	21

Head-to-Head

Melbourne Victory FC 22 games · Avg 3.2 goals Sydney FC

Last 5 meetings

2026-01-26 Melbourne Victory FC 4–0 Sydney FC 2025-11-22 Sydney FC 3–0 Melbourne Victory FC 2025-01-24 Melbourne Victory FC 2–0 Sydney FC 2024-12-28 Sydney FC 3–0 Melbourne Victory FC 2024-01-26 Melbourne Victory FC 1–1 Sydney FC

Recent Form

Melbourne Victory FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
26 Jan	Sydney FC	H	4–0	W
17 Jan	Adelaide United FC	A	1–2	L
10 Jan	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	H	0–1	L
02 Jan	Perth Glory FC	H	3–2	W
29 Dec	Wellington Phoenix FC	H	5–1	W
20 Dec	Melbourne City FC	A	1–0	W

Sydney FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
26 Jan	Melbourne Victory FC	A	0–4	L
18 Jan	Wellington Phoenix FC	H	0–2	L
10 Jan	Macarthur FC	A	3–0	W
03 Jan	Melbourne City FC	A	0–0	D
20 Dec	Newcastle United Jets FC	A	0–2	L
13 Dec	Perth Glory FC	A	1–0	W

Season Stats

Melbourne Victory FC		Sydney FC
#4	Position	#5
40	Points	39
26	Played	26
11 / 7 / 8	W / D / L	11 / 6 / 9
44	Scored	33
33	Conceded	25
+11	GD	+8
1.54	PPG	1.50
42%	Win %	42%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)

73% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts). Sydney FC are 5th (39 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Melbourne Victory FC and Sydney FC has kicked off!
The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Sydney FC.

Lineups

Melbourne Victory FC Lineups

Sydney FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Adam Le Fondre	8
Kosta Barbarouses	5
Milos Ninkovic	4
Ola Toivonen	4
Bobo	3
Zinedine Machach	3
Bruno Fornaroli	2
Nicholas D'Agostino	2

Head to Head

Melbourne Victory FC Form

2026-01-26 Melbourne Victory FC 4–0 Sydney FC W 2026-01-17 Adelaide United FC 2–1 Melbourne Victory FC L 2026-01-10 Melbourne Victory FC 0–1 Western Sydney Wanderers FC L 2026-01-02 Melbourne Victory FC 3–2 Perth Glory FC W 2025-12-29 Melbourne Victory FC 5–1 Wellington Phoenix FC W 2025-12-20 Melbourne City FC 0–1 Melbourne Victory FC W

Sydney FC Form

2026-01-26 Melbourne Victory FC 4–0 Sydney FC L 2026-01-18 Sydney FC 0–2 Wellington Phoenix FC L 2026-01-10 Macarthur FC 0–3 Sydney FC W 2026-01-03 Melbourne City FC 0–0 Sydney FC D 2025-12-20 Newcastle United Jets FC 2–0 Sydney FC L 2025-12-13 Perth Glory FC 0–1 Sydney FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.65 Melbourne Victory FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.09 Sydney FC xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct

Melbourne Victory FC50% Draw26% Sydney FC24%

Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes54% 0% No46%

Avg goals/match: 2.74

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	92%	8%
± 1.5	76%	24%
± 2.5	51%	49%
± 3.5	29%	71%
± 4.5	15%	85%

Double Chance

Melbourne Victory FC or Draw

76%

Draw or Sydney FC

50%

Melbourne Victory FC or Sydney FC

74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Melbourne Victory FC35% Draw46% Sydney FC19%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–0 not predicted

4 – 0

Actual

1 – 1

12.5%

1 – 0

9.8%

2 – 1

9.2%

2 – 0

8.6%

0 – 0

8.4%

0 – 1

6.1%

1 – 2

6.1%

3 – 1

5.1%

2 – 2

3 – 0

4.7%

0 – 2

3.8%

3 – 2

2.9%

Asian Handicap — Melbourne Victory FC

Handicap	Melbourne Victory FC covers	Push	Sydney FC covers
-2.5	11%	—	89%
-2	11%	15%	73%
-1.5	27%	—	73%
-1	27%	22%	51%
-0.5	49%	—	51%
+0.5	76%	—	24%
+1	76%	14%	9%
+1.5	91%	—	9%
+2	91%	7%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet

34% ✗

Sydney FC keeps clean sheet

20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.