Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Auckland FC vs Central Coast Mariners FC, A League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2024-25
Sun 16 Mar 2025 · 04:00 UTC Mt Smart Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 77' Brian Kaltak

Overview

Match Preview

Auckland FC vs Central Coast Mariners FC — A League at Mt Smart Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Adam Kersey
  • Referee

Head-to-Head

2
2
1
Auckland FC 5 games · Avg 3.4 goals Central Coast Mariners FC

Recent Form

Season Stats

Auckland FC Central Coast Mariners FC
#3 Position #9
42 Points 32
26 Played 26
11 / 9 / 6 W / D / L 8 / 8 / 10
42 Scored 35
29 Conceded 42
+13 GD -7
1.62 PPG 1.23
42% Win % 31%

Key Stats

80% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
80% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Auckland FC are 3rd (42 pts). Central Coast Mariners FC are 9th (32 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.54 Auckland FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.31 Central Coast Mariners FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 72% + Both teams to score 67%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Auckland FC61% Draw20% Central Coast Mariners FC19%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes67% 0% No33%
Avg goals/match: 3.85
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 89%
11%
± 2.5 72%
28%
± 3.5 53%
47%
± 4.5 34%
66%

Double Chance

Auckland FC or Draw
81%
Draw or Central Coast Mariners FC
39%
Auckland FC or Central Coast Mariners FC
80%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Auckland FC47% Draw36% Central Coast Mariners FC17%
Actual: Auckland FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
8.8%
1 – 1
7.9%
3 – 1
7.3%
2 – 0
7%
3 – 0
5.7%
2 – 2
Actual
1 – 0
5.1%
3 – 2
4.8%
4 – 1
4.6%
1 – 2
4.6%
4 – 0
3.6%
0 – 0
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Auckland FC

Handicap Auckland FC covers Push Central Coast Mariners FC covers
-2.5 24% — 76%
-2 24% 18% 58%
-1.5 42% — 58%
-1 42% 20% 37%
-0.5 63% — 37%
+0.5 82% — 18%
+1 82% 10% 8%
+1.5 92% — 8%
+2 92% 5% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Auckland FC keeps clean sheet
28% ✓
Central Coast Mariners FC keeps clean sheet
9% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.