Sunday , 16 August 2026

Luton Town FC vs Stoke City FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Tue 10 Dec 2024 · 19:45 UTC Kenilworth Road 10,537 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 6' Thomas Cannon
Carlton Morris 24' 1–1
Elijah Adebayo 90' 2–1

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Dec Stoke City FC H 2–1 W
07 Dec Swansea City AFC H 1–1 D
30 Nov Norwich City FC A 2–4 L
27 Nov Leeds United FC A 0–3 L
23 Nov Hull City AFC H 1–0 W
09 Nov Middlesbrough FC A 1–5 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Dec Luton Town FC A 1–2 L
07 Dec Sunderland AFC A 1–2 L
30 Nov Burnley FC H 0–2 L
26 Nov Preston North End FC H 0–0 D
23 Nov Queens Park Rangers FC A 1–1 D
09 Nov Millwall FC H 1–1 D

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Stoke City FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Stoke City FC
0-15
1/
16-30
/1
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
/1
76+
/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Kenilworth Road. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' Stoke City FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 6' Thomas Cannon is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 11' Luton Town FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Stoke City FC backline.
  • 16' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 21' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Rob Edwards will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 24' What a moment for Carlton Morris! That strike on 24 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 29' Over 29 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 34' It looks surprising Luton Town FC does not make any changes. Mark McGuinness has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 39' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 44' Lynden Gooch has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 3 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 49' Stoke City FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 49.
  • 54' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Lewis Koumas suffering a number of foals already.
  • 55' The referee calls foul for Tahith Chong. He receives a card.
  • 60' Thomas Kaminski has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 65' Stoke City FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 70' Stoke City FC come into this ranked 15 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 75' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 80' Luton Town FC currently sit 18 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 84' The Stoke City FC bench stirs into life. Joon-ho Bae is withdrawn and Andrew Moran gets his opportunity.
  • 85' Wouter Burger was booked on 85.
  • 89' Poor challenge from Lewis Koumas. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 89' Another change for Stoke City FC made on 89 minute. Lewis Koumas leaves to be changed by Lynden Gooch.
  • 90' Assisted by Tom Krauss with the perfectly-timed delivery and Elijah Adebayo makes no mistake. 2-1!
  • 90' Emre Tezgel is ready to make an impact after coming on for Wouter Burger at the 90 minute mark.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 2-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.36 Luton Town FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.01 Stoke City FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Luton Town FC47% Draw28% Stoke City FC25%
Actual: Luton Town FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.37
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Luton Town FC or Draw
75%
Draw or Stoke City FC
53%
Luton Town FC or Stoke City FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Luton Town FC30% Draw50% Stoke City FC20%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.8%
1 – 0
11.6%
0 – 0
11.5%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
8.3%
0 – 1
8.3%
1 – 2
6.3%
0 – 2
4.6%
2 – 2
4.4%
3 – 1
3.9%
3 – 0
3.7%
1 – 3
2.1%

Asian Handicap — Luton Town FC

Handicap Luton Town FC covers Push Stoke City FC covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 13% 79%
-1.5 21% 79%
-1 21% 22% 57%
-0.5 43% 57%
+0.5 74% 26%
+1 74% 16% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
37%
Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
26%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.