Luton Town FC vs Stoke City FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Luton Town FC vs Stoke City FC — Championship at Kenilworth Road.
- Luton Town FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Stoke City FC 8 games · 13 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Tom Nield
- Assistant 1 Rob Hyde (England)
- Assistant 2 Hugh Gilroy (England)
4 games this season
🟨 1.5/game
⚽ 2.0 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea City AFC | 8 | 17 |
| 2 | West Ham United FC | 8 | 15 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough FC | 8 | 15 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 7 | 14 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 8 | 14 |
| 6 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 8 | 13 |
| 7 | Stoke City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 8 | Bristol City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 9 | Charlton Athletic FC | 8 | 12 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 11 | Millwall FC | 8 | 11 |
| 12 | Lincoln City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 13 | Southampton FC | 8 | 10 |
| 14 | Wrexham AFC | 8 | 10 |
| 15 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 8 | 10 |
| 16 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 8 | 9 |
| 17 | Norwich City FC | 8 | 9 |
| 18 | Sheffield United FC | 8 | 9 |
| 19 | Portsmouth FC | 7 | 8 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 8 | 8 |
| 21 | Cardiff City FC | 8 | 7 |
| 22 | Derby County FC | 8 | 5 |
| 23 | Preston North End FC | 8 | 4 |
| 24 | Burnley FC | 8 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec | Stoke City FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 07 Dec | Swansea City AFC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 30 Nov | Norwich City FC | A | 2–4 | L |
| 27 Nov | Leeds United FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 23 Nov | Hull City AFC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 09 Nov | Middlesbrough FC | A | 1–5 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec | Luton Town FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 07 Dec | Sunderland AFC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 30 Nov | Burnley FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 26 Nov | Preston North End FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 23 Nov | Queens Park Rangers FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 09 Nov | Millwall FC | H | 1–1 | D |
Key Stats
40%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
25%
Clean Sheets
Stoke City FC this season
Stoke City FC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Stoke City FC
0-15
4/1
16-30
4/3
31-45
2/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/2
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Stoke City FC
| Ethan Galbraith | 4 G | 1 A |
| Eric Bocat | 2 G | 2 A |
| Sam Gallagher | 2 G | 1 A |
| Justin Devenny | 2 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Kenilworth Road. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' It’s high time Rob Edwards made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 6' The deadlock is broken! Thomas Cannon gets on the scoresheet on 6 minutes.
- 11' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 16' The energy levels are beginning to show. Chicho Pelach might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 21' It looks surprising Stoke City FC does not make any changes. Million Manhoef has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 24' Against the run of play, Carlton Morris has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 29' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Luton Town FC and Stoke City FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 34' Luton Town FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 39' Tatsuki Seko needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 44' Luton Town FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Stoke City FC backline.
- 49' Nigeria international Victor Moses has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 54' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Stoke City FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 55' It’s a booking for Luton Town FC player. Tahith Chong gets a card.
- 60' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 65' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 70' The 25-year-old Tom Krauss has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 75' Ashley Phillips has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 80' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 84' The whistle greets Joon-ho Bae as he departs to be replaced by Andrew Moran.
- 85' Wouter Burger is having his name booked by the referee on 85.
- 89' Stoke City FC player sees a card in front of him.
- 89' Stoke City FC make a change. Lewis Koumas trudges off to be replaced by Lynden Gooch on 89 minutes.
- 90' Elijah Adebayo does the damage! The net is bulging and Luton Town FC surge ahead!
- 90' Emre Tezgel is replacing Wouter Burger for the Stoke City FC side.
- 2-1 the final result. Stoke City FC will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
Luton Town FC Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 29
- 7
- 19
- 9
- 18
- 11
- 27
- 24
- 14
- 8
- 6
Bench
- 25
- 13
- 10
- 23
- 1
- 5
- 17
- 38
- 37
Coach
Rob Edwards
Stoke City FC Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 16
-
6
Wouter Burger ↓ Emre Tezgel 90'
- 5
- 17
- 12
- 1
- 42
- 26
- 9
-
10
Joon-ho Bae ↓ Andrew Moran 84'
-
11
Lewis Koumas ↓ Lynden Gooch 89'
Bench
- 23
-
2
Lynden Gooch ↑ 89'
- 3
- 13
- 7
- 22
-
37
Emre Tezgel ↑ 90'
-
24
Andrew Moran ↑ 84'
- 30
Coach
Chicho Pelach
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Nick Powell | 4 |
| Lewis Baker | 2 |
| Joe Allen | 2 |
| Steven Fletcher | 2 |
| Jacob Brown | 1 |
| Danny Hylton | 1 |
| Cameron Jerome | 1 |
| Tom Lockyer | 1 |
Head to Head
Luton Town FC Form
Stoke City FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.36
Luton Town FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.01
Stoke City FC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 58%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Luton Town FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.37
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 2.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
| ± 3.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
Luton Town FC or Draw
75%
Draw or Stoke City FC
53%
Luton Town FC or Stoke City FC
72%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.8%
1 – 0
11.6%
0 – 0
11.5%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
8.3%
0 – 1
8.3%
1 – 2
6.3%
0 – 2
4.6%
2 – 2
4.4%
3 – 1
3.9%
3 – 0
3.7%
1 – 3
2.1%
Asian Handicap — Luton Town FC
| Handicap | Luton Town FC covers | Push | Stoke City FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 13% | 79% |
| -1.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| -1 | 21% | 22% | 57% |
| -0.5 | 43% | — | 57% |
| +0.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +1 | 74% | 16% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
37%
✓
Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

