Sunday , 16 August 2026

Luton Town FC vs Liverpool FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2023-24
Sun 5 Nov 2023 · 16:30 UTC Kenilworth Road HT 45' · FT 45'
Tahith Chong 80' 1–0
1–1 90+5' Luis Diaz

Overview

Match Preview

Luton Town FC vs Liverpool FCPremier League at Kenilworth Road.

Match Details

  • Referee Andy Madley
  • Assistant 1 Harry Lennard
  • Assistant 2 Nicholas Hopton

Head-to-Head

1
1
Luton Town FC 2 games · Avg 3.5 goals Liverpool FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Nov Liverpool FC H 1–1 D
29 Oct Aston Villa FC A 1–3 L
21 Oct Nottingham Forest FC A 2–2 D
07 Oct Tottenham Hotspur FC H 0–1 L
03 Oct Burnley FC H 1–2 L
30 Sep Everton FC A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Nov Luton Town FC A 1–1 D
29 Oct Nottingham Forest FC H 3–0 W
26 Oct Toulouse FC H 5–1 W
21 Oct Everton FC H 2–0 W
08 Oct Brighton & Hove Albion FC A 2–2 D
05 Oct Royale Union Saint-Gilloise H 2–0 W

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Luton Town FC and Liverpool FC has kicked off!
  • 5' Over 5 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 10' It looks like no one’s ball. Luton Town FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 15' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Liverpool FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 20' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Liverpool FC that had 409 games and scored 805 goals.
  • 25' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 30' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 35' Luton Town FC are deployed in a 3-4-2-1 today, looking to exploit space against Liverpool FC's 4-3-3 shape.
  • 40' Liverpool FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 44' Marvelous Nakamba was booked on 44.
  • 49' Cody Gakpo is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Luton Town FC so far.
  • 54' It’s a booking for Liverpool FC player. Alexis Mac Allister gets a Yellow card.
  • 59' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 61' Fresh legs for Luton Town FC! Tahith Chong comes on to replace Andros Townsend.
  • 66' Another substitution for Liverpool FC to replace Diogo Jota by Cody Gakpo on 66 minute.
  • 67' A tactical swap from Liverpool FCHarvey Elliott on, Dominik Szoboszlai off on 67 minutes.
  • 72' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 75' Controversy at the stadium! Jurgen Klopp argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 75' Luton Town FC ring the changes. Carlton Morris has done his job and it is now time for Elijah Adebayo to step up.
  • 79' Fresh legs for Luton Town FC! Jacob Brown comes on to replace Chiedozie Ogbene.
  • 80' A goal from the Curacao international Tahith Chong! He fires home on 80 to make it 1-0!
  • 83' It is a substitution in Liverpool FC team. Ryan Gravenberch is replaced by Luis Diaz on 83 minute.
  • 88' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Luton Town FC and Liverpool FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.18 Luton Town FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.14 Liverpool FC xG
I would bet for: Luton Town FC or Liverpool FC 69% + Under 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Luton Town FC36% Draw31% Liverpool FC33%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.32
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 68%
32%
± 2.5 41%
59%
± 3.5 21%
79%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Luton Town FC or Draw
67%
Draw or Liverpool FC
64%
Luton Town FC or Liverpool FC
69%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Luton Town FC25% Draw51% Liverpool FC24%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
12%
1 – 0
10.3%
0 – 1
10%
2 – 1
7.5%
1 – 2
7.3%
2 – 0
6.6%
0 – 2
6.2%
2 – 2
4.4%
3 – 1
3%
1 – 3
2.8%
3 – 0
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Luton Town FC

Handicap Luton Town FC covers Push Liverpool FC covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 10% 85%
-1.5 15% 85%
-1 15% 20% 65%
-0.5 35% 65%
+0.5 67% 33%
+1 67% 19% 14%
+1.5 86% 14%
+2 86% 10% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
32%
Liverpool FC keeps clean sheet
31%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.