Sunday , 16 August 2026

Luton Town FC vs Exeter City FC, League One 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2025-26
Tue 17 Mar 2026 · 19:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

1
1
Luton Town FC 2 games · Avg 3.0 goals Exeter City FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Mar Exeter City FC H 3–2 W
14 Mar Wycombe Wanderers FC A 2–1 W
10 Mar Doncaster Rovers FC A 1–1 D
07 Mar Reading FC H 2–3 L
28 Feb Port Vale FC A 1–1 D
21 Feb Burton Albion FC H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Mar Luton Town FC A 2–3 L
14 Mar Cardiff City FC H 0–4 L
10 Mar Lincoln City FC H 0–1 L
07 Mar Barnsley FC A 1–2 L
03 Mar Burton Albion FC H 1–1 D
28 Feb Bolton Wanderers FC H 1–5 L

Season Stats

Luton Town FC Exeter City FC
#11 Position #4
3 Points 49
1 Played 46
1 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 12 / 13 / 21
4 Scored 52
3 Conceded 61
+1 GD -9
3.00 PPG 1.07
100% Win % 26%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Luton Town FC this season

Luton Town FC are 11th (3 pts). Exeter City FC are 4th (49 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Luton Town FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
/
31-45
/2
46-60
2/
61-75
/
76+
1/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Luton Town FC Lineups

Exeter City FC Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
3.4 Luton Town FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.13 Exeter City FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 90% + Both teams to score 84%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Luton Town FC61% Draw18% Exeter City FC21%
Actual: Luton Town FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes84% 0% No16%
Avg goals/match: 5.53
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 99%
1%
± 1.5 97%
3%
± 2.5 90%
10%
± 3.5 78%
22%
± 4.5 62%
38%

Double Chance

Luton Town FC or Draw
79%
Draw or Exeter City FC
39%
Luton Town FC or Exeter City FC
82%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Luton Town FC48% Draw30% Exeter City FC22%
Actual: Luton Town FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
3 – 2
Actual
3 – 1
5.5%
2 – 2
5.2%
2 – 1
5.1%
4 – 2
4.8%
4 – 1
4.6%
3 – 3
4.1%
2 – 3
3.7%
1 – 1
3.5%
4 – 3
3.4%
5 – 2
3.3%
1 – 2
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Luton Town FC

Handicap Luton Town FC covers Push Exeter City FC covers
-2.5 27% 73%
-2 27% 16% 56%
-1.5 44% 56%
-1 44% 17% 39%
-0.5 61% 39%
+0.5 77% 23%
+1 77% 11% 12%
+1.5 88% 12%
+2 88% 7% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
13%
Exeter City FC keeps clean sheet
4%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.