Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Luton Town FC vs Exeter City FC, League One 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2025-26
Tue 17 Mar 2026 · 19:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Luton Town FC vs Exeter City FC — League One .

Match Details

  • Referee Alex Chilowicz
5 games this season 🟨 1.8/game ⚽ 5.0 goals/game

Head-to-Head

1
1
Luton Town FC 2 games · Avg 3.0 goals Exeter City FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Mar Exeter City FC H 3–2 W
14 Mar Wycombe Wanderers FC A 2–1 W
10 Mar Doncaster Rovers FC A 1–1 D
07 Mar Reading FC H 2–3 L
28 Feb Port Vale FC A 1–1 D
21 Feb Burton Albion FC H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Mar Luton Town FC A 2–3 L
14 Mar Cardiff City FC H 0–4 L
10 Mar Lincoln City FC H 0–1 L
07 Mar Barnsley FC A 1–2 L
03 Mar Burton Albion FC H 1–1 D
28 Feb Bolton Wanderers FC H 1–5 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
Luton Town FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Luton Town FC
0-15
1/2
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/5
46-60
3/2
61-75
2/2
76+
4/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Luton Town FC
Nahki Wells 4 G 1 A
Kasey Palmer 2 G 2 A
Callum Marshall 2 G
Jake Richards 1 G 1 A
Gideon Kodua 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Luton Town FC Lineups

Exeter City FC Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.73 Luton Town FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.42 Exeter City FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 62% + Over 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Luton Town FC49% Draw24% Exeter City FC27%
Actual: Luton Town FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 3.15
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 60%
40%
± 3.5 38%
62%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

Luton Town FC or Draw
73%
Draw or Exeter City FC
51%
Luton Town FC or Exeter City FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Luton Town FC33% Draw43% Exeter City FC24%
Actual: Luton Town FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.4%
2 – 1
8.8%
1 – 2
7.2%
1 – 0
6.7%
2 – 0
6.4%
2 – 2
6.2%
0 – 0
6%
0 – 1
5.3%
3 – 1
5%
0 – 2
4.3%
3 – 2
Actual
3 – 0
3.6%

Asian Handicap — Luton Town FC

Handicap Luton Town FC covers Push Exeter City FC covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 13% 76%
-1.5 24% — 76%
-1 24% 20% 56%
-0.5 44% — 56%
+0.5 69% — 31%
+1 69% 16% 14%
+1.5 86% — 14%
+2 86% 9% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
25% ✓
Exeter City FC keeps clean sheet
19% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.