Thursday , 2 July 2026

Luton Town FC vs Exeter City FC, League One 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2025-26
Tue 17 Mar 2026 · 19:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Luton Town FC vs Exeter City FCLeague One .

Match Details

  • Referee Alex Chilowicz
3 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 4.0 goals/game

Head-to-Head

1
1
Luton Town FC 2 games · Avg 3.0 goals Exeter City FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Mar Exeter City FC H 3–2 W
14 Mar Wycombe Wanderers FC A 2–1 W
10 Mar Doncaster Rovers FC A 1–1 D
07 Mar Reading FC H 2–3 L
28 Feb Port Vale FC A 1–1 D
21 Feb Burton Albion FC H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Mar Luton Town FC A 2–3 L
14 Mar Cardiff City FC H 0–4 L
10 Mar Lincoln City FC H 0–1 L
07 Mar Barnsley FC A 1–2 L
03 Mar Burton Albion FC H 1–1 D
28 Feb Bolton Wanderers FC H 1–5 L

Season Stats

Luton Town FC Exeter City FC
#7 Position #21
74 Points 49
46 Played 46
21 / 11 / 14 W / D / L 12 / 13 / 21
68 Scored 52
56 Conceded 61
+12 GD -9
1.61 PPG 1.07
46% Win % 26%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Luton Town FC are 7th (74 pts). Exeter City FC are 21st (49 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Luton Town FC Lineups

Exeter City FC Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.94 Luton Town FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.39 Exeter City FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 64% + Over 2.5 goals 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Luton Town FC53% Draw23% Exeter City FC24%
Actual: Luton Town FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes64% 0% No36%
Avg goals/match: 3.33
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 64%
36%
± 3.5 42%
58%
± 4.5 25%
75%

Double Chance

Luton Town FC or Draw
76%
Draw or Exeter City FC
47%
Luton Town FC or Exeter City FC
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Luton Town FC36% Draw41% Exeter City FC23%
Actual: Luton Town FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.5%
2 – 1
9%
2 – 0
6.7%
1 – 2
6.5%
1 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
6.2%
3 – 1
5.8%
0 – 0
5.1%
0 – 1
4.3%
3 – 0
4.2%
3 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Luton Town FC

Handicap Luton Town FC covers Push Exeter City FC covers
-2.5 13% 87%
-2 13% 15% 72%
-1.5 28% 72%
-1 28% 21% 51%
-0.5 49% 51%
+0.5 73% 27%
+1 73% 15% 12%
+1.5 88% 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
26%
Exeter City FC keeps clean sheet
15%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.