Sunday , 16 August 2026

Exeter City FC vs Cardiff City FC, League One 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2025-26
Sat 14 Mar 2026 · 15:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

2
Exeter City FC 2 games · Avg 2.5 goals Cardiff City FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Mar Cardiff City FC H 0–4 L
10 Mar Lincoln City FC H 0–1 L
07 Mar Barnsley FC A 1–2 L
03 Mar Burton Albion FC H 1–1 D
28 Feb Bolton Wanderers FC H 1–5 L
21 Feb Peterborough United FC A 3–3 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Mar Exeter City FC A 4–0 W
10 Mar Barnsley FC A 1–1 D
07 Mar Lincoln City FC H 0–2 L
28 Feb Doncaster Rovers FC A 4–0 W
21 Feb Plymouth Argyle FC A 2–5 L
17 Feb AFC Wimbledon H 4–1 W

Season Stats

Exeter City FC Cardiff City FC
#4 Position #2
49 Points 91
46 Played 46
12 / 13 / 21 W / D / L 27 / 10 / 9
52 Scored 90
61 Conceded 50
-9 GD +40
1.07 PPG 1.98
26% Win % 59%

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Exeter City FC are 4th (49 pts). Cardiff City FC are 2nd (91 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Exeter City FC Lineups

Cardiff City FC Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.79 Exeter City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.33 Cardiff City FC xG
I would bet for: Cardiff City FC to win 62% + Over 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Exeter City FC16% Draw22% Cardiff City FC62%
Actual: Cardiff City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 3.12
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 59%
41%
± 3.5 37%
63%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

Exeter City FC or Draw
38%
Draw or Cardiff City FC
84%
Exeter City FC or Cardiff City FC
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Exeter City FC10% Draw39% Cardiff City FC51%
Actual: Cardiff City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 2
11.9%
0 – 1
10%
1 – 2
9.1%
0 – 3
9%
1 – 1
8.8%
1 – 3
7.1%
0 – 0
5.9%
0 – 4
Actual
1 – 4
4.2%
2 – 2
3.6%
2 – 1
3.1%
1 – 0
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Exeter City FC

Handicap Exeter City FC covers Push Cardiff City FC covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 2% 97%
-1.5 3% 97%
-1 3% 7% 90%
-0.5 10% 90%
+0.5 30% 70%
+1 30% 23% 48%
+1.5 52% 48%
+2 52% 21% 27%
+2.5 73% 27%

Clean Sheet

Exeter City FC keeps clean sheet
11%
Cardiff City FC keeps clean sheet
46%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.