Exeter City FC vs Cardiff City FC, League One 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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League One · 2025-26

Exeter City FC

0 – 4

Full Time

Cardiff City FC

Sat 14 Mar 2026 · 15:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Exeter City FC vs Cardiff City FC — League One .

Exeter City FC 46 games · 49 pts (2026/27)
Cardiff City FC 46 games · 91 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Benjamin Speedie (England)

7 games this season 🟨 2.9/game ⚽ 10.1 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Bradford City AFC	7	15
2	Sheffield Wednesday FC	7	14
3	Stockport County FC	8	13
4	Plymouth Argyle FC	8	13
5	Cambridge United FC	8	13
6	Huddersfield Town AFC	7	12
7	Burton Albion FC	8	12
8	AFC Wimbledon	8	12
9	Reading FC	7	11
10	Oxford United FC	6	11
11	Leyton Orient FC	7	10
12	Wycombe Wanderers FC	8	10
13	Stevenage FC	7	9
14	Leicester City FC	7	9
15	Blackpool FC	7	8
16	Luton Town FC	7	8
17	Mansfield Town FC	7	8
18	Barnsley FC	7	8
19	Bromley FC	7	8
20	Notts County FC	7	7
21	Doncaster Rovers FC	7	6
22	Milton Keynes Dons FC	7	6
23	Peterborough United FC	8	5
24	Wigan Athletic FC	7	4

Head-to-Head

Exeter City FC 2 games · Avg 2.5 goals Cardiff City FC

Last 5 meetings

2026-03-14 Exeter City FC 0–4 Cardiff City FC 2025-12-26 Cardiff City FC 1–0 Exeter City FC

Recent Form

Exeter City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
14 Mar	Cardiff City FC	H	0–4	L
10 Mar	Lincoln City FC	H	0–1	L
07 Mar	Barnsley FC	A	1–2	L
03 Mar	Burton Albion FC	H	1–1	D
28 Feb	Bolton Wanderers FC	H	1–5	L
21 Feb	Peterborough United FC	A	3–3	D

Cardiff City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
14 Mar	Exeter City FC	A	4–0	W
10 Mar	Barnsley FC	A	1–1	D
07 Mar	Lincoln City FC	H	0–2	L
28 Feb	Doncaster Rovers FC	A	4–0	W
21 Feb	Plymouth Argyle FC	A	2–5	L
17 Feb	AFC Wimbledon	H	4–1	W

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' The ball is rolling at . Exeter City FC are looking to make home advantage count against Cardiff City FC.
What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Exeter City FC 0-4 Cardiff City FC.

Lineups

Exeter City FC Lineups

Cardiff City FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

0.9 Exeter City FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.91 Cardiff City FC xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct

Exeter City FC20% Draw25% Cardiff City FC55%

Actual: Cardiff City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes51% 0% No49%

Avg goals/match: 2.81

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	92%	8%
± 1.5	77%	23%
± 2.5	52%	48%
± 3.5	31%	69%
± 4.5	16%	84%

Double Chance

Exeter City FC or Draw

45%

Draw or Cardiff City FC

80%

Exeter City FC or Cardiff City FC

75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Exeter City FC14% Draw44% Cardiff City FC42%

Actual: Cardiff City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

11.2%

0 – 1

10.8%

0 – 2

10.8%

1 – 2

9.5%

0 – 0

7.8%

0 – 3

6.7%

1 – 3

6.1%

1 – 0

4.6%

2 – 1

4.5%

2 – 2

4.3%

0 – 4

Actual

1 – 4

Asian Handicap — Exeter City FC

Handicap	Exeter City FC covers	Push	Cardiff City FC covers
-2.5	1%	—	99%
-2	1%	4%	94%
-1.5	6%	—	94%
-1	6%	11%	84%
-0.5	16%	—	84%
+0.5	40%	—	60%
+1	40%	24%	36%
+1.5	64%	—	36%
+2	64%	18%	17%
+2.5	83%	—	17%

Clean Sheet

Exeter City FC keeps clean sheet

16% ✓

Cardiff City FC keeps clean sheet

41% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.