Thursday , 2 July 2026

Exeter City FC vs Cardiff City FC, League One 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2025-26
Sat 14 Mar 2026 · 15:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Exeter City FC vs Cardiff City FCLeague One .

Match Details

  • Referee Benjamin Speedie (England)

Head-to-Head

2
Exeter City FC 2 games · Avg 2.5 goals Cardiff City FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Mar Cardiff City FC H 0–4 L
10 Mar Lincoln City FC H 0–1 L
07 Mar Barnsley FC A 1–2 L
03 Mar Burton Albion FC H 1–1 D
28 Feb Bolton Wanderers FC H 1–5 L
21 Feb Peterborough United FC A 3–3 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Mar Exeter City FC A 4–0 W
10 Mar Barnsley FC A 1–1 D
07 Mar Lincoln City FC H 0–2 L
28 Feb Doncaster Rovers FC A 4–0 W
21 Feb Plymouth Argyle FC A 2–5 L
17 Feb AFC Wimbledon H 4–1 W

Season Stats

Exeter City FC Cardiff City FC
#21 Position #2
49 Points 91
46 Played 46
12 / 13 / 21 W / D / L 27 / 10 / 9
52 Scored 90
61 Conceded 50
-9 GD +40
1.07 PPG 1.98
26% Win % 59%

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Exeter City FC are 21st (49 pts). Cardiff City FC are 2nd (91 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Exeter City FC is hosting Cardiff City FC for another epic battle.
  • The final score is 0-4.

Lineups

Exeter City FC Lineups

Cardiff City FC Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.79 Exeter City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.33 Cardiff City FC xG
I would bet for: Cardiff City FC to win 62% + Over 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Exeter City FC16% Draw22% Cardiff City FC62%
Actual: Cardiff City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 3.12
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 59%
41%
± 3.5 37%
63%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

Exeter City FC or Draw
38%
Draw or Cardiff City FC
84%
Exeter City FC or Cardiff City FC
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Exeter City FC10% Draw39% Cardiff City FC51%
Actual: Cardiff City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 2
11.9%
0 – 1
10%
1 – 2
9.1%
0 – 3
9%
1 – 1
8.9%
1 – 3
7.1%
0 – 0
5.9%
0 – 4
Actual
1 – 4
4.2%
2 – 2
3.6%
2 – 1
3.1%
1 – 0
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Exeter City FC

Handicap Exeter City FC covers Push Cardiff City FC covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 2% 97%
-1.5 3% 97%
-1 3% 7% 90%
-0.5 10% 90%
+0.5 30% 70%
+1 30% 23% 48%
+1.5 52% 48%
+2 52% 21% 27%
+2.5 73% 27%

Clean Sheet

Exeter City FC keeps clean sheet
11%
Cardiff City FC keeps clean sheet
46%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.