Thursday , 2 July 2026

Barnsley FC vs Exeter City FC, League One 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2025-26
Sat 7 Mar 2026 · 15:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Mar Exeter City FC H 2–1 W
03 Mar Wycombe Wanderers FC H 0–1 L
28 Feb Leyton Orient FC A 3–1 W
21 Feb Huddersfield Town AFC A 1–2 L
17 Feb Peterborough United FC H 2–1 W
14 Feb AFC Wimbledon H 3–3 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Mar Barnsley FC A 1–2 L
03 Mar Burton Albion FC H 1–1 D
28 Feb Bolton Wanderers FC H 1–5 L
21 Feb Peterborough United FC A 3–3 D
17 Feb Wycombe Wanderers FC H 1–1 D
14 Feb Northampton Town FC H 0–0 D

Season Stats

Barnsley FC Exeter City FC
#15 Position #21
59 Points 49
46 Played 46
15 / 14 / 17 W / D / L 12 / 13 / 21
68 Scored 52
73 Conceded 61
-5 GD -9
1.28 PPG 1.07
33% Win % 26%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Barnsley FC are 15th (59 pts). Exeter City FC are 21st (49 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Barnsley FC Lineups

Exeter City FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.73 Barnsley FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.51 Exeter City FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 64% + Over 2.5 goals 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Barnsley FC45% Draw25% Exeter City FC30%
Actual: Barnsley FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes64% 0% No36%
Avg goals/match: 3.24
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 62%
38%
± 3.5 40%
60%
± 4.5 23%
77%

Double Chance

Barnsley FC or Draw
70%
Draw or Exeter City FC
55%
Barnsley FC or Exeter City FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Barnsley FC32% Draw42% Exeter City FC26%
Actual: Barnsley FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.1%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
7.4%
2 – 2
6.4%
1 – 0
6%
2 – 0
5.8%
0 – 0
5.5%
0 – 1
5.2%
3 – 1
4.9%
0 – 2
4.5%
1 – 3
3.7%
3 – 2
3.7%

Asian Handicap — Barnsley FC

Handicap Barnsley FC covers Push Exeter City FC covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 13% 77%
-1.5 23% 77%
-1 23% 19% 58%
-0.5 42% 58%
+0.5 67% 33%
+1 67% 17% 16%
+1.5 84% 16%
+2 84% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

Barnsley FC keeps clean sheet
23%
Exeter City FC keeps clean sheet
19%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.