Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Port Vale FC vs Luton Town FC, League One 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2025-26
Sat 28 Feb 2026 · 15:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

2
Port Vale FC 2 games · Avg 3.0 goals Luton Town FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Feb Luton Town FC H 1–1 D
24 Feb Northampton Town FC A 1–0 W
21 Feb Reading FC H 1–1 D
17 Feb Stevenage FC A 1–2 L
07 Feb Burton Albion FC H 2–2 D
03 Feb AFC Wimbledon H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Feb Port Vale FC A 1–1 D
21 Feb Burton Albion FC H 1–1 D
18 Feb Wigan Athletic FC A 0–1 L
14 Feb Cardiff City FC A 1–3 L
07 Feb Bradford City AFC H 2–1 W
31 Jan Blackpool FC H 1–0 W

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
Luton Town FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Luton Town FC
0-15
1/2
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/5
46-60
3/2
61-75
2/2
76+
4/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Luton Town FC
Nahki Wells 4 G 1 A
Kasey Palmer 2 G 2 A
Callum Marshall 2 G
Jake Richards 1 G 1 A
Gideon Kodua 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Port Vale FC Lineups

Luton Town FC Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.36 Port Vale FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.13 Luton Town FC xG
I would bet for: Port Vale FC or Luton Town FC 71% + Under 2.5 goals 55%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Port Vale FC42% Draw29% Luton Town FC29%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.49
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Port Vale FC or Draw
71%
Draw or Luton Town FC
58%
Port Vale FC or Luton Town FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Port Vale FC29% Draw49% Luton Town FC22%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
10.4%
1 – 0
10.2%
2 – 1
8.3%
0 – 1
8.3%
2 – 0
7.4%
1 – 2
6.9%
0 – 2
5.1%
2 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
3.8%
3 – 0
3.3%
1 – 3
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Port Vale FC

Handicap Port Vale FC covers Push Luton Town FC covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% — 81%
-1 19% 21% 60%
-0.5 40% — 60%
+0.5 70% — 30%
+1 70% 17% 12%
+1.5 88% — 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Port Vale FC keeps clean sheet
33% ✓
Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
26% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.