Port Vale FC vs Luton Town FC, League One 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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League One · 2025-26

Port Vale FC

1 – 1

Full Time

Luton Town FC

Sat 28 Feb 2026 · 15:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Port Vale FC vs Luton Town FC — League One .

Port Vale FC 46 games · 42 pts (2026/27)
Luton Town FC 46 games · 74 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Lee Swabey

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Lincoln City FC	46	103
2	Cardiff City FC	46	91
3	Stockport County FC	46	77
4	Bradford City AFC	46	77
5	Bolton Wanderers FC	46	75
6	Stevenage FC	46	75
7	Luton Town FC	46	74
8	Plymouth Argyle FC	46	73
9	Huddersfield Town AFC	46	67
10	Mansfield Town FC	46	65
11	Wycombe Wanderers FC	46	63
12	Reading FC	46	63
13	Blackpool FC	46	60
14	Doncaster Rovers FC	46	60
15	Barnsley FC	46	59
16	Wigan Athletic FC	46	56
17	Burton Albion FC	46	54
18	Peterborough United FC	46	53
19	AFC Wimbledon	46	53
20	Leyton Orient FC	46	52
21	Exeter City FC	46	49
22	Port Vale FC	46	42
23	Rotherham United FC	46	41
24	Northampton Town FC	46	35

Head-to-Head

Port Vale FC 2 games · Avg 3.0 goals Luton Town FC

Last 5 meetings

2026-02-28 Port Vale FC 1–1 Luton Town FC 2025-12-13 Luton Town FC 2–2 Port Vale FC

Recent Form

Port Vale FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
28 Feb	Luton Town FC	H	1–1	D
24 Feb	Northampton Town FC	A	1–0	W
21 Feb	Reading FC	H	1–1	D
17 Feb	Stevenage FC	A	1–2	L
07 Feb	Burton Albion FC	H	2–2	D
03 Feb	AFC Wimbledon	H	0–1	L

Luton Town FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
28 Feb	Port Vale FC	A	1–1	D
21 Feb	Burton Albion FC	H	1–1	D
18 Feb	Wigan Athletic FC	A	0–1	L
14 Feb	Cardiff City FC	A	1–3	L
07 Feb	Bradford City AFC	H	2–1	W
31 Jan	Blackpool FC	H	1–0	W

Season Stats

Port Vale FC		Luton Town FC
#22	Position	#7
42	Points	74
46	Played	46
10 / 12 / 24	W / D / L	21 / 11 / 14
36	Scored	68
61	Conceded	56
-25	GD	+12
0.91	PPG	1.61
22%	Win %	46%

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Port Vale FC are 22nd (42 pts). Luton Town FC are 7th (74 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' We are underway at . The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.

Lineups

Port Vale FC Lineups

Luton Town FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.13 Port Vale FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.32 Luton Town FC xG

I would bet for: Port Vale FC or Luton Town FC 71% + Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Port Vale FC35% Draw29% Luton Town FC36%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes50% 0% No50%

Avg goals/match: 2.45

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	89%	11%
± 1.5	70%	30%
± 2.5	44%	56%
± 3.5	23%	77%
± 4.5	11%	89%

Double Chance

Port Vale FC or Draw

64%

Draw or Luton Town FC

65%

Port Vale FC or Luton Town FC

71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Port Vale FC23% Draw49% Luton Town FC28%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

Actual

0 – 0

10.8%

0 – 1

10.3%

1 – 0

8.6%

1 – 2

8.2%

0 – 2

7.3%

2 – 1

2 – 0

5.3%

2 – 2

4.7%

1 – 3

3.6%

0 – 3

3.2%

3 – 1

2.7%

Asian Handicap — Port Vale FC

Handicap	Port Vale FC covers	Push	Luton Town FC covers
-2.5	4%	—	96%
-2	4%	9%	87%
-1.5	13%	—	87%
-1	13%	18%	70%
-0.5	30%	—	70%
+0.5	61%	—	39%
+1	61%	21%	18%
+1.5	82%	—	18%
+2	82%	12%	7%
+2.5	93%	—	7%

Clean Sheet

Port Vale FC keeps clean sheet

28% ✓

Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet

33% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.