Sunday , 26 July 2026

Luton Town FC vs Bristol City FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Mon 21 Apr 2025 · 14:00 UTC Kenilworth Road 11,874 HT 45' · FT 45'
Thelo Aasgaard 49' 1–0
1–1 52' George Tanner
Carlton Morris 59' 2–1
Isaiah Jones 72' 3–1

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Apr Bristol City FC H 3–1 W
18 Apr Derby County FC A 1–0 W
12 Apr Blackburn Rovers FC H 0–1 L
08 Apr Stoke City FC A 1–1 D
05 Apr Leeds United FC H 1–1 D
29 Mar Hull City AFC A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Apr Luton Town FC A 1–3 L
18 Apr Sunderland AFC H 2–1 W
12 Apr Queens Park Rangers FC A 1–1 D
08 Apr West Bromwich Albion FC H 2–1 W
05 Apr Watford FC H 2–1 W
29 Mar Burnley FC A 0–1 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Luton Town FC to score. At the same time, Bristol City FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 10' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 15' Luton Town FC are deployed in a 3-4-3 today, looking to exploit space against Bristol City FC's 3-4-2-1 shape.
  • 20' Haydon Roberts gets the nod from Bristol City FC. He replaces Cameron Pring and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 22' The referee calls foul for Ross McCrorie. He receives a card.
  • 27' Bristol City FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 32' Over 32 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 37' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Elijah Morrison suffering a number of foals already.
  • 42' The home supporters are growing impatient. Luton Town FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 47' George Earthy, a England midfielder, has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 49' Magnificent from Thelo Aasgaard! That is 34 goals in 380 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 52' Against the run of play, George Tanner has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 57' Supporters expect more eagerness from Marcus McGuane, as he is very good at scoring at Kenilworth Road with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 59' GOAL! Carlton Morris fires home to make it 2-1!
  • 60' Bristol City FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. George Earthy is hanging Nahki Wells on the field on 60 minute.
  • 65' Luton Town FC is showing some good football. However, Luton Town FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 68' Fresh legs for Luton Town FC! Reece Burke comes on to replace Christ Makosso.
  • 72' Isaiah Jones makes no mistake. The score reads 3-1 and Luton Town FC are in front.
  • 76' Elijah Morrison has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ross McCrorie on 76 minute.
  • 81' named a 3-4-3 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-2-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 82' That is a card for Bristol City FC. George Earthy will be fuming at that decision.
  • 83' It’s gonna be a card for Jason Knight.
  • 83' Shandon Baptiste has so much to prove this time. He replaces Lamine Dabo on 83 minute.
  • 88' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • The points are shared — Luton Town FC 3-1 Bristol City FC. Honours even.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.44 Luton Town FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.01 Bristol City FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Luton Town FC48% Draw28% Bristol City FC24%
Actual: Luton Town FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.45
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Luton Town FC or Draw
76%
Draw or Bristol City FC
52%
Luton Town FC or Bristol City FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Luton Town FC32% Draw49% Bristol City FC19%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.5%
1 – 0
11.3%
0 – 0
10.7%
2 – 1
8.7%
2 – 0
8.7%
0 – 1
7.6%
1 – 2
6.1%
2 – 2
4.5%
0 – 2
4.3%
3 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
4.1%
3 – 2
2.3%

Asian Handicap — Luton Town FC

Handicap Luton Town FC covers Push Bristol City FC covers
-2.5 9% 91%
-2 9% 14% 77%
-1.5 23% 77%
-1 23% 23% 55%
-0.5 45% 55%
+0.5 75% 25%
+1 75% 16% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
37%
Bristol City FC keeps clean sheet
24%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.