Thursday , 2 July 2026

Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs Luton Town FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2023-24
Sat 12 Aug 2023 · 14:00 UTC Amex Stadium 31,872 HT 45' · FT 45'
Solly March 36' 1–0
Joao Pedro pen 71' 2–0
2–1 81' Carlton Morris pen
Simon Adingra 85' 3–1
Evan Ferguson 90+5' 4–1

Overview

Match Preview

Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs Luton Town FCPremier League at Amex Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee David Coote
  • Assistant 1 Mark Scholes
  • Assistant 2 Tim Wood

Head-to-Head

1
1
Brighton & Hove Albion FC 2 games · Avg 4.5 goals Luton Town FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Aug Luton Town FC H 4–1 W
28 May Aston Villa FC A 1–2 L
24 May Manchester City FC H 1–1 D
21 May Southampton FC H 3–1 W
18 May Newcastle United FC A 1–4 L
14 May Arsenal FC A 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Aug Brighton & Hove Albion FC A 1–4 L
27 May Coventry City FC A 7–6 W
16 May Sunderland AFC H 2–0 W
13 May Sunderland AFC A 1–2 L
08 May Hull City AFC H 0–0 D
01 May Blackburn Rovers FC A 1–1 D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.48 Brighton & Hove Albion FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.33 Luton Town FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 72% + Both teams to score 67%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Brighton & Hove Albion FC59% Draw21% Luton Town FC20%
Actual: Brighton & Hove Albion FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes67% 0% No33%
Avg goals/match: 3.81
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 89%
11%
± 2.5 72%
28%
± 3.5 52%
48%
± 4.5 33%
67%

Double Chance

Brighton & Hove Albion FC or Draw
80%
Draw or Luton Town FC
41%
Brighton & Hove Albion FC or Luton Town FC
79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Brighton & Hove Albion FC46% Draw37% Luton Town FC17%
Actual: Brighton & Hove Albion FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
8.8%
1 – 1
8.1%
3 – 1
7.2%
2 – 0
6.9%
2 – 2
5.8%
3 – 0
5.6%
1 – 0
5.2%
3 – 2
4.8%
1 – 2
4.8%
4 – 1
Actual
4 – 0
3.4%
0 – 0
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Brighton & Hove Albion FC

Handicap Brighton & Hove Albion FC covers Push Luton Town FC covers
-2.5 23% 77%
-2 23% 18% 59%
-1.5 41% 59%
-1 41% 20% 39%
-0.5 61% 39%
+0.5 81% 19%
+1 81% 11% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 5% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Brighton & Hove Albion FC keeps clean sheet
27%
Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
9%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.