Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Liverpool FC vs Burnley FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2025-26
Sat 17 Jan 2026 · 15:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Liverpool FC vs Burnley FC — Premier League .

Match Details

  • Referee Andy Madley
5 games this season 🟨 3.0/game ⚽ 11.4 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Jan Burnley FC H 1–1 D
12 Jan Barnsley FC H 4–1 W
08 Jan Arsenal FC A 0–0 D
04 Jan Fulham FC A 2–2 D
01 Jan Leeds United FC H 0–0 D
27 Dec Wolverhampton Wanderers FC H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Jan Liverpool FC A 1–1 D
10 Jan Millwall FC H 5–1 W
07 Jan Manchester United FC H 2–2 D
03 Jan Brighton & Hove Albion FC A 0–2 L
30 Dec Newcastle United FC H 1–3 L
27 Dec Everton FC H 0–0 D

Key Stats

42% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
42% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
60% Clean Sheets
Liverpool FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Liverpool FC
0-15
2/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/–
46-60
3/1
61-75
–/1
76+
2/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Liverpool FC
Alexander Isak 4 G
Cody Gakpo 1 G 3 A
Dominik Szoboszlai 1 G
Victor Munoz 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Liverpool FC gets underway.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-1 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

Liverpool FC Lineups

Burnley FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.49 Liverpool FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.84 Burnley FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 59% + Under — clean sheet likely 55%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Liverpool FC54% Draw27% Burnley FC19%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.33
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 67%
33%
± 2.5 41%
59%
± 3.5 21%
79%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Liverpool FC or Draw
81%
Draw or Burnley FC
46%
Liverpool FC or Burnley FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Liverpool FC35% Draw50% Burnley FC15%
Actual: Liverpool FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
13.5%
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
11.9%
2 – 0
10.5%
2 – 1
8.8%
0 – 1
7%
3 – 0
5.1%
1 – 2
4.9%
3 – 1
4.4%
2 – 2
3.7%
0 – 2
3.3%
3 – 2
2%

Asian Handicap — Liverpool FC

Handicap Liverpool FC covers Push Burnley FC covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 16% 74%
-1.5 26% — 74%
-1 26% 25% 49%
-0.5 51% — 49%
+0.5 80% — 20%
+1 80% 13% 6%
+1.5 94% — 6%
+2 94% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Liverpool FC keeps clean sheet
44% ✓
Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.