Thursday , 2 July 2026

Burnley FC vs Newcastle United FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2025-26
Tue 30 Dec 2025 · 19:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Dec Newcastle United FC H 1–3 L
27 Dec Everton FC H 0–0 D
20 Dec AFC Bournemouth A 1–1 D
13 Dec Fulham FC H 2–3 L
06 Dec Newcastle United FC A 1–2 L
03 Dec Crystal Palace FC H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Dec Burnley FC A 3–1 W
26 Dec Manchester United FC A 0–1 L
20 Dec Chelsea FC H 2–2 D
14 Dec Sunderland AFC A 0–1 L
10 Dec Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 2–2 D
06 Dec Burnley FC H 2–1 W

Season Stats

Burnley FC Newcastle United FC
#2 Position #19
22 Points 0
38 Played 0
4 / 10 / 24 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
38 Scored 0
75 Conceded 0
-37 GD +0
0.58 PPG
11% Win %

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Burnley FC are 2nd (22 pts). Newcastle United FC are 19th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Burnley FC Lineups

Newcastle United FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
0.47 Burnley FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.03 Newcastle United FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 80% + Under — clean sheet likely 74%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Burnley FC18% Draw34% Newcastle United FC48%
Actual: Newcastle United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes26% 0% No74%
Avg goals/match: 1.5
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 75%
25%
± 1.5 44%
56%
± 2.5 20%
80%
± 3.5 7%
93%
± 4.5 2%
98%

Double Chance

Burnley FC or Draw
52%
Draw or Newcastle United FC
82%
Burnley FC or Newcastle United FC
66%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Burnley FC10% Draw62% Newcastle United FC28%
Actual: Newcastle United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
25%
0 – 1
21.6%
1 – 1
11.7%
0 – 2
11.1%
1 – 0
9%
1 – 2
5.7%
0 – 3
3.7%
2 – 1
2.5%
2 – 0
2.2%
1 – 3
Actual
2 – 2
1.5%
0 – 4
1%

Asian Handicap — Burnley FC

Handicap Burnley FC covers Push Newcastle United FC covers
-2.5 0% 100%
-2 0% 3% 97%
-1.5 3% 97%
-1 3% 12% 85%
-0.5 15% 85%
+0.5 53% 47%
+1 53% 28% 19%
+1.5 81% 19%
+2 81% 13% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
37%
Newcastle United FC keeps clean sheet
63%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.