Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Burnley FC vs Newcastle United FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2025-26
Tue 30 Dec 2025 · 19:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Burnley FC vs Newcastle United FC — Premier League .

Match Details

  • Referee Robert Jones
3 games this season 🟨 3.3/game ⚽ 11.7 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Dec Newcastle United FC H 1–3 L
27 Dec Everton FC H 0–0 D
20 Dec AFC Bournemouth A 1–1 D
13 Dec Fulham FC H 2–3 L
06 Dec Newcastle United FC A 1–2 L
03 Dec Crystal Palace FC H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Dec Burnley FC A 3–1 W
26 Dec Manchester United FC A 0–1 L
20 Dec Chelsea FC H 2–2 D
14 Dec Sunderland AFC A 0–1 L
10 Dec Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 2–2 D
06 Dec Burnley FC H 2–1 W

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Newcastle United FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Newcastle United FC
0-15
3/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/2
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/1
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Newcastle United FC
Joe Willock 2 G
Anthony Elanga 2 G
Yoane Wissa 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! Burnley FC welcome Newcastle United FC for this crunch clash at .
  • Game over. The scoreline of 1-3 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

Burnley FC Lineups

Newcastle United FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.12 Burnley FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.55 Newcastle United FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Burnley FC26% Draw27% Newcastle United FC47%
Actual: Newcastle United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.67
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 49%
51%
± 3.5 28%
72%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

Burnley FC or Draw
53%
Draw or Newcastle United FC
74%
Burnley FC or Newcastle United FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Burnley FC20% Draw47% Newcastle United FC33%
Actual: Newcastle United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.9%
0 – 1
9.8%
1 – 2
9%
0 – 0
8.9%
0 – 2
8.1%
1 – 0
6.7%
2 – 1
6.5%
2 – 2
5.1%
1 – 3
Actual
2 – 0
4.2%
0 – 3
4.1%
2 – 3
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Burnley FC

Handicap Burnley FC covers Push Newcastle United FC covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 7% 89%
-1.5 11% — 89%
-1 11% 15% 74%
-0.5 26% — 74%
+0.5 54% — 46%
+1 54% 22% 24%
+1.5 76% — 24%
+2 76% 14% 10%
+2.5 90% — 10%

Clean Sheet

Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
22% ✓
Newcastle United FC keeps clean sheet
33% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.