Thursday , 2 July 2026

Lincoln City FC vs Derby County FC, League One 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2022-23
Tue 13 Sep 2022 · 18:45 UTC LNER Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

1
2
1
Lincoln City FC 4 games · Avg 2.0 goals Derby County FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Sep Derby County FC H 2–0 W
03 Sep Cambridge United FC A 0–2 L
27 Aug Fleetwood Town FC H 2–2 D
20 Aug Peterborough United FC A 0–4 L
16 Aug Oxford United FC A 2–1 W
13 Aug Forest Green Rovers FC H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Sep Lincoln City FC A 0–2 L
03 Sep Plymouth Argyle FC H 2–3 L
27 Aug Peterborough United FC H 2–1 W
20 Aug Fleetwood Town FC A 0–0 D
16 Aug Shrewsbury Town FC A 0–0 D
13 Aug Barnsley FC H 2–1 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at LNER Stadium. Lincoln City FC are looking to make home advantage count against Derby County FC.
  • 5' Lincoln City FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Derby County FC's shape.
  • 10' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Jack Diamond suffering a number of foals already.
  • 12' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Jack Diamond makes it 1-0.
  • 17' David McGoldrick, a Ireland , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 22' Timothy Eyoma has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 27' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 32' Teddy Bishop has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 33' A tactical swap from Lincoln City FCTashan Oakley-Boothe on, Teddy Bishop off on 33 minutes.
  • 38' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 43' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 48' With 0 assists to his name this season, William Osula is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Derby County FC.
  • 51' Conor Hourihane catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 51.
  • 53' Tom Barkhuizen gets the nod from Derby County FC. He replaces Lewis Dobbin and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 54' The referee shows Derby County FC player a Yellow card on 54.
  • 57' Poor challenge from Sean Roughan. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 62' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Lincoln City FC and Derby County FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 65' A meaty challenge results in booking for Carl Rushworth on 65.
  • 68' The Scotland Ben House breaks the deadlock on 68 minutes. 2-0!
  • 71' William Osula is replacing Max Bird for the Derby County FC side.
  • 76' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 81' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Paudie O'Connor.
  • 86' It is a substitution in Lincoln City FC team. Jordan Garrick is replaced by Adam Jackson on 86 minute.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Derby County FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.48 Lincoln City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.67 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 64% + Under — clean sheet likely 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Lincoln City FC55% Draw28% Derby County FC17%
Actual: Lincoln City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes39% 0% No61%
Avg goals/match: 2.15
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 63%
37%
± 2.5 36%
64%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

Lincoln City FC or Draw
82%
Draw or Derby County FC
45%
Lincoln City FC or Derby County FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Lincoln City FC37% Draw51% Derby County FC12%
Actual: Lincoln City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
16.2%
0 – 0
13.9%
1 – 1
12.3%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
8.3%
0 – 1
6.6%
3 – 0
6%
3 – 1
4.2%
1 – 2
3.7%
2 – 2
2.9%
0 – 2
2.4%
4 – 0
2.2%

Asian Handicap — Lincoln City FC

Handicap Lincoln City FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 12% 88%
-2 12% 17% 71%
-1.5 29% 71%
-1 29% 26% 45%
-0.5 55% 45%
+0.5 85% 15%
+1 85% 11% 4%
+1.5 96% 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Lincoln City FC keeps clean sheet
52%
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
24%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.