Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Lincoln City FC vs Derby County FC, League One 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2022-23
Tue 13 Sep 2022 · 18:45 UTC LNER Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

1
2
1
Lincoln City FC 4 games · Avg 2.0 goals Derby County FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Sep Derby County FC H 2–0 W
03 Sep Cambridge United FC A 0–2 L
27 Aug Fleetwood Town FC H 2–2 D
20 Aug Peterborough United FC A 0–4 L
16 Aug Oxford United FC A 2–1 W
13 Aug Forest Green Rovers FC H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Sep Lincoln City FC A 0–2 L
03 Sep Plymouth Argyle FC H 2–3 L
27 Aug Peterborough United FC H 2–1 W
20 Aug Fleetwood Town FC A 0–0 D
16 Aug Shrewsbury Town FC A 0–0 D
13 Aug Barnsley FC H 2–1 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Lincoln City FC have kicked off against Derby County FC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 5' Lincoln City FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 10' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Liam Rosenior will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 12' Against the run of play, Jack Diamond has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 17' Derby County FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 22' Lincoln City FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 27' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Lincoln City FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 32' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 33' Tashan Oakley-Boothe is replacing Teddy Bishop for the Lincoln City FC side.
  • 38' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Derby County FC that had 390 games and scored 457 goals.
  • 43' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 48' David McGoldrick is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Derby County FC so far.
  • 51' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Conor Hourihane.
  • 53' Fresh legs for Derby County FC! Tom Barkhuizen comes on to replace Lewis Dobbin.
  • 54' Derby County FC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 57' Sean Roughan is having his name booked by the referee on 57.
  • 62' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Lincoln City FC and Derby County FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 65' The referee shows Lincoln City FC player a Yellow card on 65.
  • 68' Ben House doubles the advantage! 2-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 71' The whistle greets Max Bird as he departs to be replaced by William Osula.
  • 76' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Jordan Garrick made 388 appearances and scored 14 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 81' Controversy at the stadium! Paudie O'Connor argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 86' The whistle greets Jordan Garrick as he departs to be replaced by Adam Jackson.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Lincoln City FC to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.48 Lincoln City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.67 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 64% + Under — clean sheet likely 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Lincoln City FC55% Draw28% Derby County FC17%
Actual: Lincoln City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes39% 0% No61%
Avg goals/match: 2.15
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 63%
37%
± 2.5 36%
64%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

Lincoln City FC or Draw
82%
Draw or Derby County FC
45%
Lincoln City FC or Derby County FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Lincoln City FC37% Draw51% Derby County FC12%
Actual: Lincoln City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
16.2%
0 – 0
13.9%
1 – 1
12.3%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
8.3%
0 – 1
6.6%
3 – 0
6%
3 – 1
4.2%
1 – 2
3.7%
2 – 2
2.9%
0 – 2
2.4%
4 – 0
2.2%

Asian Handicap — Lincoln City FC

Handicap Lincoln City FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 12% — 88%
-2 12% 17% 71%
-1.5 29% — 71%
-1 29% 26% 45%
-0.5 55% — 45%
+0.5 85% — 15%
+1 85% 11% 4%
+1.5 96% — 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Lincoln City FC keeps clean sheet
52% ✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
24% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.