Sunday , 16 August 2026

Lincoln City FC vs Derby County FC, League One 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2022-23
Tue 13 Sep 2022 · 18:45 UTC LNER Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

1
2
1
Lincoln City FC 4 games · Avg 2.0 goals Derby County FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Sep Derby County FC H 2–0 W
03 Sep Cambridge United FC A 0–2 L
27 Aug Fleetwood Town FC H 2–2 D
20 Aug Peterborough United FC A 0–4 L
16 Aug Oxford United FC A 2–1 W
13 Aug Forest Green Rovers FC H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Sep Lincoln City FC A 0–2 L
03 Sep Plymouth Argyle FC H 2–3 L
27 Aug Peterborough United FC H 2–1 W
20 Aug Fleetwood Town FC A 0–0 D
16 Aug Shrewsbury Town FC A 0–0 D
13 Aug Barnsley FC H 2–1 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' That's the starting whistle at LNER Stadium. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Lincoln City FC and Derby County FC.
  • 5' Joseph Wildsmith is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Lincoln City FC so far.
  • 10' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Lincoln City FC and Derby County FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 12' Goal! Jack Diamond scores his 12 goal in 363 matches.
  • 17' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 22' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 27' Lincoln City FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 27.
  • 32' The home supporters are growing impatient. Lincoln City FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 33' The crowd applauds Teddy Bishop as he leaves the pitch. Tashan Oakley-Boothe steps in for Lincoln City FC.
  • 38' Over 38 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 43' Derby County FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 48' Paudie O'Connor has been relatively quiet despite scoring 8 goals in his last 384 appearances.
  • 51' The referee has no hesitation. Conor Hourihane is booked for Derby County FC — Yellow card on 51.
  • 53' Tom Barkhuizen is ready to make an impact after coming on for Lewis Dobbin at the 53 minute mark.
  • 54' The referee has no hesitation. Eiran Cashin is booked for Derby County FC — Yellow card on 54.
  • 57' Controversy at the stadium! Sean Roughan argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 62' Timothy Eyoma needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 65' Carl Rushworth has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 65.
  • 68' What composure from Ben House! The Scotland international strokes it home. 2-0.
  • 71' A tactical swap from Derby County FC — William Osula on, Max Bird off on 71 minutes.
  • 76' James Collins has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 81' Lincoln City FC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 86' Lincoln City FC make a change. Jordan Garrick trudges off to be replaced by Adam Jackson on 86 minutes.
  • Another three points for Lincoln City FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.48 Lincoln City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.67 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 64% + Under — clean sheet likely 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Lincoln City FC55% Draw28% Derby County FC17%
Actual: Lincoln City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes39% 0% No61%
Avg goals/match: 2.15
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 63%
37%
± 2.5 36%
64%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

Lincoln City FC or Draw
82%
Draw or Derby County FC
45%
Lincoln City FC or Derby County FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Lincoln City FC37% Draw51% Derby County FC12%
Actual: Lincoln City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
16.2%
0 – 0
13.9%
1 – 1
12.3%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
8.3%
0 – 1
6.6%
3 – 0
6%
3 – 1
4.2%
1 – 2
3.7%
2 – 2
2.9%
0 – 2
2.4%
4 – 0
2.2%

Asian Handicap — Lincoln City FC

Handicap Lincoln City FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 12% 88%
-2 12% 17% 71%
-1.5 29% 71%
-1 29% 26% 45%
-0.5 55% 45%
+0.5 85% 15%
+1 85% 11% 4%
+1.5 96% 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Lincoln City FC keeps clean sheet
52%
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
24%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.