Thursday , 2 July 2026

Derby County FC vs Lincoln City FC, League One 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2022-23
Tue 14 Feb 2023 · 19:45 UTC Pride Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

1
2
1
Derby County FC 4 games · Avg 2.0 goals Lincoln City FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Feb Lincoln City FC H 1–1 D
11 Feb Wycombe Wanderers FC A 2–3 L
04 Feb Morecambe FC H 5–0 W
30 Jan West Ham United FC H 0–2 L
24 Jan Port Vale FC A 2–1 W
21 Jan Bolton Wanderers FC H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Feb Derby County FC A 1–1 D
11 Feb Bristol Rovers FC H 1–0 W
04 Feb Accrington Stanley FC A 3–0 W
28 Jan Cambridge United FC H 0–0 D
14 Jan Milton Keynes Dons FC A 0–0 D
07 Jan Charlton Athletic FC A 1–2 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Derby County FC and Lincoln City FC get this one started.
  • 5' Lincoln City FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 10' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 12' Poor challenge from Jason Knight. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 17' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Lasse Sorensen made 380 appearances and scored 11 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 21' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Ben House.
  • 26' James Collins, a Ireland , has 41 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 31' Lewis Montsma has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 36' Over 36 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 40' That is a Yellow card for Lincoln City FC. Paudie O'Connor will be fuming at that decision.
  • 43' Against the run of play, Olamide Shodipo has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 46' The Derby County FC manager makes a substitution. Lewis Dobbin departs to be replaced by Tom Barkhuizen.
  • 51' The crowd applauds Haydon Roberts as he leaves the pitch. Louie Sibley steps in for Derby County FC.
  • 55' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Red card for Ben House.
  • 57' Lincoln City FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Lasse Sorensen is hanging Olamide Shodipo on the field on 57 minute.
  • 62' Regan Poole has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 2 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 64' Lincoln City FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Max Sanders is hanging Teddy Bishop on the field on 64 minute.
  • 69' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Conor Hourihane makes no mistake. 1-1!
  • 74' Derby County FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Lincoln City FC's shape.
  • 77' The supporters are chanting for Luke Plange. He replaces Jack Diamond on 77 minute.
  • 82' Derby County FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Lincoln City FC backline.
  • 87' Joseph Wildsmith has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 5 cards already picked up this season.
  • The points are shared — Derby County FC 1-1 Lincoln City FC. Honours even.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.18 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.2 Lincoln City FC xG
I would bet for: Derby County FC or Lincoln City FC 70% + Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC36% Draw30% Lincoln City FC34%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.38
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
66%
Draw or Lincoln City FC
64%
Derby County FC or Lincoln City FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC25% Draw50% Lincoln City FC25%
Actual: Lincoln City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
11.5%
0 – 1
10%
1 – 0
9.8%
1 – 2
7.6%
2 – 1
7.4%
0 – 2
6.4%
2 – 0
6.2%
2 – 2
4.6%
1 – 3
3.1%
3 – 1
3%
0 – 3
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Lincoln City FC covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 10% 85%
-1.5 15% 85%
-1 15% 19% 66%
-0.5 34% 66%
+0.5 65% 35%
+1 65% 20% 15%
+1.5 85% 15%
+2 85% 10% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
31%
Lincoln City FC keeps clean sheet
31%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.