Saturday , 14 November 2026

Derby County FC vs Lincoln City FC, League One 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2022-23
Tue 14 Feb 2023 · 19:45 UTC Pride Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

1
2
1
Derby County FC 4 games · Avg 2.0 goals Lincoln City FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Feb Lincoln City FC H 1–1 D
11 Feb Wycombe Wanderers FC A 2–3 L
04 Feb Morecambe FC H 5–0 W
30 Jan West Ham United FC H 0–2 L
24 Jan Port Vale FC A 2–1 W
21 Jan Bolton Wanderers FC H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Feb Derby County FC A 1–1 D
11 Feb Bristol Rovers FC H 1–0 W
04 Feb Accrington Stanley FC A 3–0 W
28 Jan Cambridge United FC H 0–0 D
14 Jan Milton Keynes Dons FC A 0–0 D
07 Jan Charlton Athletic FC A 1–2 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Derby County FC to score. At the same time, Lincoln City FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' Both keepers have barely been tested. Derby County FC and Lincoln City FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 10' A quiet spell here at Pride Park. Lincoln City FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 12' Derby County FC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 12.
  • 17' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Derby County FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 21' The referee shows Lincoln City FC player a Yellow card on 21.
  • 26' Derby County FC is showing some good football. However, Derby County FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 31' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 36' Regan Poole needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 40' A meaty challenge results in booking for Paudie O'Connor on 40.
  • 43' Olamide Shodipo has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 43 minutes.
  • 46' Tom Barkhuizen gets the nod from Derby County FC. He replaces Lewis Dobbin and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 51' Derby County FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Louie Sibley is hanging Haydon Roberts on the field on 51 minute.
  • 55' Controversy at the stadium! Ben House argues furiously but the Red card stands.
  • 57' A tactical swap from Lincoln City FC — Lasse Sorensen on, Olamide Shodipo off on 57 minutes.
  • 62' Lincoln City FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 64' Lincoln City FC make a change. Teddy Bishop trudges off to be replaced by Max Sanders on 64 minutes.
  • 69' Brilliant from the ! Conor Hourihane makes it 1-1 with a superb finish on 69.
  • 74' The travelling Lincoln City FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 77' Time for substitution for Lincoln City FC. Jack Diamond is replaced by Luke Plange.
  • 82' The home supporters are growing impatient. Derby County FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 87' Derby County FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • will have plenty to reflect on. were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.18 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.2 Lincoln City FC xG
I would bet for: Derby County FC or Lincoln City FC 70% + Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC36% Draw30% Lincoln City FC34%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.38
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
66%
Draw or Lincoln City FC
64%
Derby County FC or Lincoln City FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC25% Draw50% Lincoln City FC25%
Actual: Lincoln City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
11.5%
0 – 1
10%
1 – 0
9.8%
1 – 2
7.6%
2 – 1
7.4%
0 – 2
6.4%
2 – 0
6.2%
2 – 2
4.6%
1 – 3
3.1%
3 – 1
3%
0 – 3
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Lincoln City FC covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 10% 85%
-1.5 15% — 85%
-1 15% 19% 66%
-0.5 34% — 66%
+0.5 65% — 35%
+1 65% 20% 15%
+1.5 85% — 15%
+2 85% 10% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
31% ✓
Lincoln City FC keeps clean sheet
31% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.