Sunday , 16 August 2026

Lincoln City FC vs Derby County FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Sat 20 Jan 2024 · 15:00 UTC Sincil Bank Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Lincoln City FC vs Derby County FCLeague One at Sincil Bank Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Oliver Yates
  • Assistant 1 Anthony Da Costa
  • Assistant 2 Daniel Smith (England)
3 games this season 🟨 1.7/game 13.0 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Jan Derby County FC H 0–0 D
13 Jan Wycombe Wanderers FC A 1–1 D
01 Jan Blackpool FC A 0–2 L
29 Dec Northampton Town FC H 1–2 L
26 Dec Bolton Wanderers FC H 0–1 L
21 Dec Derby County FC A 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Jan Lincoln City FC A 0–0 D
15 Jan Burton Albion FC H 3–2 W
06 Jan Fleetwood Town FC A 3–1 W
01 Jan Peterborough United FC H 2–3 L
29 Dec Oxford United FC A 3–2 W
26 Dec Wigan Athletic FC A 1–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Sincil Bank Stadium will turn into a battlefield for Lincoln City FC and Derby County FC.
  • 5' Josh Vickers has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 10' Both keepers have barely been tested. Lincoln City FC and Derby County FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 15' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 20' Derby County FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 25' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Curtis Nelson made 366 appearances and scored 15 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 30' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 35' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 40' Lincoln City FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 45' Nathaniel Mendez-Laing has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 50' Conor Hourihane has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 17 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 55' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Tom Shaw will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 60' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 65' Derby County FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 70' Freddie Draper needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 75' Over 75 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 80' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 85' A quiet spell here at Sincil Bank Stadium. Derby County FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 90' It’s high time Tom Shaw made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • It finishes all square. Lincoln City FC and Derby County FC share the spoils 0-0.

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1 Lincoln City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.11 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Derby County FC or Draw 68% + Under 2.5 goals 65%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Lincoln City FC32% Draw32% Derby County FC36%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes44% 0% No56%
Avg goals/match: 2.11
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 63%
37%
± 2.5 35%
65%
± 3.5 17%
83%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

Lincoln City FC or Draw
64%
Draw or Derby County FC
68%
Lincoln City FC or Derby County FC
68%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Lincoln City FC22% Draw53% Derby County FC25%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
14.4%
0 – 1
12.1%
1 – 0
10.8%
1 – 2
7.3%
0 – 2
7.2%
2 – 1
6.5%
2 – 0
5.8%
2 – 2
3.8%
1 – 3
2.7%
0 – 3
2.6%
3 – 1
2.2%

Asian Handicap — Lincoln City FC

Handicap Lincoln City FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 8% 88%
-1.5 12% 88%
-1 12% 19% 69%
-0.5 31% 69%
+0.5 64% 36%
+1 64% 21% 15%
+1.5 85% 15%
+2 85% 10% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Lincoln City FC keeps clean sheet
34%
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
37%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.