Saturday , 14 November 2026

Lincoln City FC vs Derby County FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Sat 20 Jan 2024 · 15:00 UTC Sincil Bank Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Lincoln City FC vs Derby County FC — League One at Sincil Bank Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Oliver Yates
  • Assistant 1 Anthony Da Costa
  • Assistant 2 Daniel Smith (England)
6 games this season 🟨 3.8/game ⚽ 12.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Jan Derby County FC H 0–0 D
13 Jan Wycombe Wanderers FC A 1–1 D
01 Jan Blackpool FC A 0–2 L
29 Dec Northampton Town FC H 1–2 L
26 Dec Bolton Wanderers FC H 0–1 L
21 Dec Derby County FC A 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Jan Lincoln City FC A 0–0 D
15 Jan Burton Albion FC H 3–2 W
06 Jan Fleetwood Town FC A 3–1 W
01 Jan Peterborough United FC H 2–3 L
29 Dec Oxford United FC A 3–2 W
26 Dec Wigan Athletic FC A 1–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Lincoln City FC have kicked off against Derby County FC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 5' Both keepers have barely been tested. Lincoln City FC and Derby County FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 10' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 15' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 20' Lincoln City FC is showing some good football. However, Lincoln City FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 25' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 30' Lincoln City FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Derby County FC's shape.
  • 35' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Lincoln City FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 40' Derby County FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 45' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Derby County FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 50' The home supporters are growing impatient. Lincoln City FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 55' Lincoln City FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 55.
  • 60' Over 60 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 65' Derby County FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 70' It is a cagey affair so far. Lincoln City FC in their trying to find a way past Derby County FC's compact .
  • 75' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 75 minutes.
  • 80' With 1 assists to his name this season, Sean Roughan is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Derby County FC.
  • 85' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Paul Warne will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 90' Lincoln City FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • will have plenty to reflect on. were simply the better side today.

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1 Lincoln City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.11 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Derby County FC or Draw 68% + Under 2.5 goals 65%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Lincoln City FC32% Draw32% Derby County FC36%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes44% 0% No56%
Avg goals/match: 2.11
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 63%
37%
± 2.5 35%
65%
± 3.5 17%
83%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

Lincoln City FC or Draw
64%
Draw or Derby County FC
68%
Lincoln City FC or Derby County FC
68%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Lincoln City FC22% Draw53% Derby County FC25%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
14.4%
0 – 1
12.1%
1 – 0
10.8%
1 – 2
7.3%
0 – 2
7.2%
2 – 1
6.5%
2 – 0
5.8%
2 – 2
3.8%
1 – 3
2.7%
0 – 3
2.6%
3 – 1
2.2%

Asian Handicap — Lincoln City FC

Handicap Lincoln City FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 8% 88%
-1.5 12% — 88%
-1 12% 19% 69%
-0.5 31% — 69%
+0.5 64% — 36%
+1 64% 21% 15%
+1.5 85% — 15%
+2 85% 10% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

Lincoln City FC keeps clean sheet
34% ✗
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
37% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.