Saturday , 14 November 2026

Chelsea FC vs Leeds United FC, FA Cup 2023-24 LAST 16

FA Cup · 2023-24
Wed 28 Feb 2024 · 19:30 UTC Stamford Bridge HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 8' Mateo Fernandez
Nicolas Jackson 15' 1–1
Mykhailo Mudryk 37' 2–1
2–2 59' Mateo Fernandez
Conor Gallagher 90+2' 3–2

Overview

Match Preview

Chelsea FC vs Leeds United FC — FA Cup at Stamford Bridge.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Feb Leeds United FC H 3–2 W
17 Feb Manchester City FC A 1–1 D
12 Feb Crystal Palace FC A 3–1 W
07 Feb Aston Villa FC A 3–1 W
04 Feb Wolverhampton Wanderers FC H 2–4 L
31 Jan Liverpool FC A 1–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Feb Chelsea FC A 2–3 L
23 Feb Leicester City FC H 3–1 W
17 Feb Plymouth Argyle FC A 2–0 W
13 Feb Swansea City AFC A 4–0 W
10 Feb Rotherham United FC H 3–0 W
06 Feb Plymouth Argyle FC A 4–1 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
70% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' That's the starting whistle at Stamford Bridge. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Chelsea FC and Leeds United FC.
  • 5' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 8' The deadlock is broken! Mateo Fernandez gets on the scoresheet on 8 minutes.
  • 13' Chelsea FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 13.
  • 15' Nicolas Jackson makes no mistake. The score reads 1-1 and Chelsea FC are in front.
  • 20' Leeds United FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 25' Archie Gray has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 9 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
  • 30' Junior Firpo has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 35' Chelsea FC are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against Leeds United FC's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • 37' GOAL! Mykhailo Mudryk scores on 37. Assisted by Raheem Sterling
  • 40' It’s gonna be a card for Trevoh Chalobah.
  • 41' Enzo Fernandez was booked on 41.
  • 46' Robert Sanchez is a natural goalkeeper and has been asked to do a very specific job for Chelsea FC tonight.
  • 49' The referee has no hesitation. Moises Caicedo is booked for Chelsea FC — card on 49.
  • 54' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Levi Colwill suffering a number of foals already.
  • 59' Mateo Fernandez adds to his 0 season tally! Leeds United FC lead 2-2 — and this changes everything.
  • 61' It is a substitution in Chelsea FC team. Malo Gusto is replaced by Ben Chilwell on 61 minute.
  • 66' The home supporters are growing impatient. Chelsea FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 69' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Junior Firpo on 69 minutes.
  • 74' The Chelsea FC manager makes a substitution. Alfie Gilchrist departs to be replaced by Levi Colwill.
  • 79' Leeds United FC ring the changes. Joel Piroe has done his job and it is now time for Crysencio Summerville to step up.
  • 84' It is a cagey affair so far. Chelsea FC in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past Leeds United FC's compact 4-2-3-1.
  • 89' With 0 assists to his name this season, Wilfried Gnonto is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Chelsea FC.
  • 90' The supporters are chanting for Jimi Tauriainen. He replaces Mykhailo Mudryk on 90 minute.
  • What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Chelsea FC 3-2 Leeds United FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.67 Chelsea FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.69 Leeds United FC xG
I would bet for: Chelsea FC or Leeds United FC 76% + Both teams to score 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Chelsea FC42% Draw24% Leeds United FC34%
Actual: Chelsea FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes66% 0% No34%
Avg goals/match: 3.36
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 64%
36%
± 3.5 43%
57%
± 4.5 25%
75%

Double Chance

Chelsea FC or Draw
67%
Draw or Leeds United FC
58%
Chelsea FC or Leeds United FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Chelsea FC29% Draw42% Leeds United FC29%
Actual: Chelsea FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–2 not predicted
3 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
10.7%
1 – 2
8%
2 – 1
7.9%
2 – 2
6.6%
0 – 1
5.2%
1 – 0
5.1%
0 – 0
5%
0 – 2
5%
2 – 0
4.9%
1 – 3
4.5%
3 – 1
4.4%
2 – 3
3.8%

Asian Handicap — Chelsea FC

Handicap Chelsea FC covers Push Leeds United FC covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 11% 81%
-1.5 19% — 81%
-1 19% 18% 63%
-0.5 37% — 63%
+0.5 62% — 38%
+1 62% 18% 20%
+1.5 80% — 20%
+2 80% 11% 8%
+2.5 92% — 8%

Clean Sheet

Chelsea FC keeps clean sheet
19% ✓
Leeds United FC keeps clean sheet
20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.