Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Chelsea FC vs Leeds United FC, FA Cup 2023-24 LAST 16

FA Cup · 2023-24
Wed 28 Feb 2024 · 19:30 UTC Stamford Bridge HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 8' Mateo Fernandez
Nicolas Jackson 15' 1–1
Mykhailo Mudryk 37' 2–1
2–2 59' Mateo Fernandez
Conor Gallagher 90+2' 3–2

Overview

Match Preview

Chelsea FC vs Leeds United FC — FA Cup at Stamford Bridge.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Feb Leeds United FC H 3–2 W
17 Feb Manchester City FC A 1–1 D
12 Feb Crystal Palace FC A 3–1 W
07 Feb Aston Villa FC A 3–1 W
04 Feb Wolverhampton Wanderers FC H 2–4 L
31 Jan Liverpool FC A 1–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Feb Chelsea FC A 2–3 L
23 Feb Leicester City FC H 3–1 W
17 Feb Plymouth Argyle FC A 2–0 W
13 Feb Swansea City AFC A 4–0 W
10 Feb Rotherham United FC H 3–0 W
06 Feb Plymouth Argyle FC A 4–1 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
70% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
Chelsea FC this season
20% Clean Sheets
Leeds United FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Chelsea FC
0-15
1/–
16-30
2/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/1
76+
2/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Leeds United FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
1/–
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Chelsea FC
Pedro Neto 4 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! Chelsea FC vs Leeds United FC — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' Raheem Sterling has been relatively quiet despite scoring 113 goals in his last 438 appearances.
  • 8' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Mateo Fernandez makes it 0-1.
  • 13' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 13 minutes.
  • 15' Nicolas Jackson adds to his 0 season tally! Chelsea FC lead 1-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 20' Ethan Ampadu is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Chelsea FC tonight.
  • 25' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 30' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 35' It is a cagey affair so far. Chelsea FC in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past Leeds United FC's compact 4-2-3-1.
  • 37' Mykhailo Mudryk has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 37 minutes.
  • 40' Trevoh Chalobah was booked on 40.
  • 41' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Enzo Fernandez on 41 minutes.
  • 46' Chelsea FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Enzo Fernandez scoring 1 goals.
  • 49' The referee has no hesitation. Moises Caicedo is booked for Chelsea FC — card on 49.
  • 54' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 59' Mateo Fernandez makes no mistake. The score reads 2-2 and Leeds United FC are in front.
  • 61' A change in the Chelsea FC ranks — Malo Gusto exits the field as Ben Chilwell enters on 61.
  • 66' It looks surprising Chelsea FC does not make any changes. Enzo Fernandez has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 69' The referee has no hesitation. Junior Firpo is booked for Leeds United FC — card on 69.
  • 74' The supporters are chanting for Levi Colwill. He replaces Alfie Gilchrist on 74 minute.
  • 79' Crysencio Summerville is ready to make an impact after coming on for Joel Piroe at the 79 minute mark.
  • 84' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 89' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 90' The Chelsea FC manager makes a substitution. Mykhailo Mudryk departs to be replaced by Jimi Tauriainen.
  • Full Time. Chelsea FC beats Leeds United FC

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.67 Chelsea FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.69 Leeds United FC xG
I would bet for: Chelsea FC or Leeds United FC 76% + Both teams to score 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Chelsea FC42% Draw24% Leeds United FC34%
Actual: Chelsea FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes66% 0% No34%
Avg goals/match: 3.36
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 64%
36%
± 3.5 43%
57%
± 4.5 25%
75%

Double Chance

Chelsea FC or Draw
67%
Draw or Leeds United FC
58%
Chelsea FC or Leeds United FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Chelsea FC29% Draw42% Leeds United FC29%
Actual: Chelsea FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–2 not predicted
3 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
10.7%
1 – 2
8%
2 – 1
7.9%
2 – 2
6.6%
0 – 1
5.2%
1 – 0
5.1%
0 – 0
5%
0 – 2
5%
2 – 0
4.9%
1 – 3
4.5%
3 – 1
4.4%
2 – 3
3.8%

Asian Handicap — Chelsea FC

Handicap Chelsea FC covers Push Leeds United FC covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 11% 81%
-1.5 19% — 81%
-1 19% 18% 63%
-0.5 37% — 63%
+0.5 62% — 38%
+1 62% 18% 20%
+1.5 80% — 20%
+2 80% 11% 8%
+2.5 92% — 8%

Clean Sheet

Chelsea FC keeps clean sheet
19% ✓
Leeds United FC keeps clean sheet
20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.