Thursday , 1 October 2026

Kyoto Sanga FC vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2024
Sat 19 Oct 2024 · 05:00 UTC Sanga Stadium by KYOCERA HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Kyoto Sanga FC vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at Sanga Stadium by KYOCERA.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Oct Sagan Tosu FC H 2–0 W
06 Oct Vissel Kobe H 2–3 L
28 Sep Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo A 0–2 L
22 Sep Gamba Osaka H 2–2 D
13 Sep Yokohama F.Marinos A 2–1 W
24 Aug FC Tokyo H 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Oct Kyoto Sanga FC A 0–2 L
05 Oct FC Tokyo A 1–1 D
28 Sep Avispa Fukuoka H 0–0 D
22 Sep Tokyo Verdy A 0–2 L
13 Sep Kawasaki Frontale A 2–3 L
31 Aug Shonan Bellmare H 1–2 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Kyoto Sanga FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Kyoto Sanga FC
0-15
3/–
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/7
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Kyoto Sanga FC
Rafael Elias 5 G 3 A
Ryuma Nakano 2 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Sanga Stadium by KYOCERA will turn into a battlefield for Kyoto Sanga FC and Sagan Tosu FC.
  • 5' Sagan Tosu FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 10' A meaty challenge results in booking for Sung-yun Gu on 10.
  • 14' Gakuji Ota has so much to prove this time. He replaces Yuta Toyokawa on 14 minute.
  • 19' Yuta Toyokawa has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 24' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Kwi-Jea Cho will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 29' Japan international Taiki Hirato has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 34' With 0 assists to his name this season, Yuki Horigome is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Sagan Tosu FC.
  • 39' Sagan Tosu FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 44' Kento Nishiya has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 279 appearances.
  • 47' Shimpei Fukuoka has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 47.
  • 52' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 57' Sagan Tosu FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 58' The Sagan Tosu FC bench stirs into life. Yuki Horigome is withdrawn and Keisuke Sakaiya gets his opportunity.
  • 63' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 65' A goal from the Brazil international Marco Tulio! He fires home on 65 to make it 1-0!
  • 66' Wataru Harada picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 67' The referee shows Kyoto Sanga FC player a card on 67.
  • 70' The Sagan Tosu FC bench stirs into life. Tae-hyeon Kim is withdrawn and Yusuke Maruhashi gets his opportunity.
  • 75' A quiet spell here at Sanga Stadium by KYOCERA. Kyoto Sanga FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 80' The Kyoto Sanga FC manager makes a substitution. Taiki Hirato departs to be replaced by Sora Hiraga.
  • 81' Sagan Tosu FC ring the changes. Akito Fukuta has done his job and it is now time for Seiji Kimura to step up.
  • 86' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 89' The Japan Shinnosuke Fukuda breaks the deadlock on 89 minutes. 2-0!
  • 90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Marcelo Ryan on 90.
  • Sagan Tosu FC will have plenty to reflect on. Kyoto Sanga FC were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.58 Kyoto Sanga FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.2 Sagan Tosu FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Kyoto Sanga FC48% Draw26% Sagan Tosu FC26%
Actual: Kyoto Sanga FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.78
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Kyoto Sanga FC or Draw
74%
Draw or Sagan Tosu FC
52%
Kyoto Sanga FC or Sagan Tosu FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Kyoto Sanga FC32% Draw46% Sagan Tosu FC22%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.7%
2 – 1
8.9%
1 – 0
8.9%
0 – 0
8.1%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
6.8%
0 – 1
6.5%
2 – 2
5.4%
3 – 1
4.7%
0 – 2
4.4%
3 – 0
3.9%
3 – 2
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Kyoto Sanga FC

Handicap Kyoto Sanga FC covers Push Sagan Tosu FC covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 14% 77%
-1.5 23% — 77%
-1 23% 21% 55%
-0.5 45% — 55%
+0.5 72% — 28%
+1 72% 16% 12%
+1.5 88% — 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Kyoto Sanga FC keeps clean sheet
31% ✗
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.