Kyoto Sanga FC vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2025

Kyoto Sanga FC

1 – 1

Full Time

Nagoya Grampus

Sun 11 May 2025 · 05:00 UTC Sanga Stadium by KYOCERA HT 45' · FT 45'

Shohei Takeda 38' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Kyoto Sanga FC vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League at Sanga Stadium by KYOCERA.

Kyoto Sanga FC 18 games · 23 pts (2026/26)
Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Kyoto Sanga FC 10 games · Avg 3.4 goals Nagoya Grampus

Last 5 meetings

2025-05-11 Kyoto Sanga FC 1–1 Nagoya Grampus 2024-08-07 Kyoto Sanga FC 3–2 Nagoya Grampus 2024-05-26 Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Kyoto Sanga FC 2023-07-16 Kyoto Sanga FC 2–1 Nagoya Grampus 2023-02-25 Nagoya Grampus 1–0 Kyoto Sanga FC

Recent Form

Kyoto Sanga FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
11 May	Nagoya Grampus	H	1–1	D
07 May	FC Machida Zelvia	A	2–1	W
03 May	Cerezo Osaka FC	H	2–3	L
29 Apr	Gamba Osaka	A	1–2	L
25 Apr	Yokohama FC	H	2–1	W
19 Apr	Albirex Niigata	A	2–1	W

Nagoya Grampus

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
11 May	Kyoto Sanga FC	A	1–1	D
06 May	Fagiano Okayama FC	H	0–0	D
03 May	Shimizu S-Pulse	A	3–0	W
29 Apr	Kashiwa Reysol	H	1–2	L
25 Apr	Kashima Antlers	A	0–1	L
20 Apr	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	H	2–1	W

Season Stats

Kyoto Sanga FC		Nagoya Grampus
#8	Position	#3
23	Points	31
18	Played	18
8 / 0 / 10	W / D / L	10 / 0 / 8
32	Scored	46
39	Conceded	44
-7	GD	+2
1.28	PPG	1.72
44%	Win %	56%

Key Stats

80% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

17% Clean Sheets
Kyoto Sanga FC this season

28% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

Kyoto Sanga FC are 8th (23 pts). Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Kyoto Sanga FC

0-15

1/2

16-30

2/3

31-45

2/1

46-60

2/2

61-75

–/6

76+

2/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Nagoya Grampus

0-15

2/1

16-30

2/4

31-45

5/4

46-60

4/3

61-75

3/1

76+

4/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' Welcome to Sanga Stadium by KYOCERA that hosts another battle between Kyoto Sanga FC and Nagoya Grampus.
5' Kyoto Sanga FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Nagoya Grampus's shape.
10' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Kyoto Sanga FC and Nagoya Grampus are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
15' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Kyoto Sanga FC and Nagoya Grampus are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
20' Kyoto Sanga FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
25' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
30' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 30 minutes.
35' Kyoto Sanga FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
38' It’s gonna be a card for Shohei Takeda.
43' It is a cagey affair so far. Kyoto Sanga FC in their trying to find a way past Nagoya Grampus's compact .
46' A change in the Kyoto Sanga FC ranks — Joao Pedro Mendes exits the field as Masaya Okugawa enters on 46.
51' Nagoya Grampus has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
56' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
59' The supporters are chanting for Yuya Asano. He replaces Ryuji Izumi on 59 minute.
62' Fresh legs for Kyoto Sanga FC! Sora Hiraga comes on to replace Temma Matsuda.
67' It is a substitution in Kyoto Sanga FC team. Hidehiro Sugai is replaced by Kyo Sato on 67 minute.
70' Magnificent from Shun Nagasawa! That is 3 goals in 162 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
75' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
78' Fresh legs for Nagoya Grampus! Tsukasa Morishima comes on to replace Keiya Shiihashi.
83' The Nagoya Grampus bench stirs into life. Katsuhiro Nakayama is withdrawn and Taichi Kikuchi gets his opportunity.
84' Sho Inagaki makes no mistake. The score reads 1-1 and Nagoya Grampus are in front.
89' Another change for Kyoto Sanga FC made on 89 minute. Shohei Takeda leaves to be changed by Takuji Yonemoto.
The referee brings this contest to a close. take all three points.

Lineups

Kyoto Sanga FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Kwi-Jea Cho

Nagoya Grampus Lineups

Starting XI

8
Keiya Shiihashi ↓ Tsukasa Morishima 78'
17
Takuya Uchida ↓ Shuhei Tokumoto 59'
15
Sho Inagaki
7
Ryuji Izumi ↓ Yuya Asano 59'
10
Mateus ↓ Kensuke Nagai 78'
70
Teruki Hara
27
Katsuhiro Nakayama ↓ Taichi Kikuchi 83'
11
Yuya Yamagishi
6
Akinari Kawazura
20
Kennedy Egbus Mikuni
35
Alexandre Pisano

Bench

18
Kensuke Nagai ↑ 78'
2
Yuki Nogami
14
Tsukasa Morishima ↑ 78'
16
Yohei Takeda
9
Yuya Asano ↑ 59'
3
Yota Sato
33
Taichi Kikuchi ↑ 83'
55
Shuhei Tokumoto ↑ 59'
26
Gen Kato

Coach Kenta Hasegawa

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Yuya Yamagishi	3
Patric	2
Papagaio	2
Mateus	2
Patric	1
Yuta Toyokawa	1
Ryogo Yamasaki	1
Marco Tulio	1

Head to Head

Kyoto Sanga FC Form

2025-05-11 Kyoto Sanga FC 1–1 Nagoya Grampus D 2025-05-07 FC Machida Zelvia 1–2 Kyoto Sanga FC W 2025-05-03 Kyoto Sanga FC 2–3 Cerezo Osaka FC L 2025-04-29 Gamba Osaka 2–1 Kyoto Sanga FC L 2025-04-25 Kyoto Sanga FC 2–1 Yokohama FC W 2025-04-19 Albirex Niigata 1–2 Kyoto Sanga FC W

Nagoya Grampus Form

2025-05-11 Kyoto Sanga FC 1–1 Nagoya Grampus D 2025-05-06 Nagoya Grampus 0–0 Fagiano Okayama FC D 2025-05-03 Shimizu S-Pulse 0–3 Nagoya Grampus W 2025-04-29 Nagoya Grampus 1–2 Kashiwa Reysol L 2025-04-25 Kashima Antlers 1–0 Nagoya Grampus L 2025-04-20 Nagoya Grampus 2–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.79 Kyoto Sanga FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.95 Nagoya Grampus xG

I would bet for: Kyoto Sanga FC or Nagoya Grampus 76% + Both teams to score 71%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Kyoto Sanga FC40% Draw24% Nagoya Grampus36%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes71% 0% No29%

Avg goals/match: 3.74

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	89%	11%
± 2.5	71%	29%
± 3.5	51%	49%
± 4.5	32%	68%

Double Chance

Kyoto Sanga FC or Draw

63%

Draw or Nagoya Grampus

60%

Kyoto Sanga FC or Nagoya Grampus

76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Kyoto Sanga FC28% Draw39% Nagoya Grampus33%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

Actual

1 – 2

7.8%

2 – 1

7.2%

2 – 2

6.9%

1 – 3

0 – 2

4.6%

2 – 3

4.5%

3 – 1

4.3%

3 – 2

4.1%

0 – 1

4.1%

2 – 0

3.9%

1 – 0

3.7%

Asian Handicap — Kyoto Sanga FC

Handicap	Kyoto Sanga FC covers	Push	Nagoya Grampus covers
-2.5	8%	—	92%
-2	8%	11%	81%
-1.5	19%	—	81%
-1	19%	17%	65%
-0.5	35%	—	65%
+0.5	58%	—	42%
+1	58%	18%	23%
+1.5	77%	—	23%
+2	77%	13%	11%
+2.5	89%	—	11%

Clean Sheet

Kyoto Sanga FC keeps clean sheet

15% ✓

Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet

18% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.