Thursday , 1 October 2026

Nagoya Grampus vs Kyoto Sanga FC, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2023
Sat 25 Feb 2023 · 07:00 UTC Toyota Stadium 21,327 HT 45' · FT 45'
Kensuke Nagai 62' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Nagoya Grampus vs Kyoto Sanga FC — J. League at Toyota Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Yoshiro Imamura
  • Assistant 1 Makoto Hibino
  • Assistant 2 Osamu Akasaka

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Feb Kyoto Sanga FC H 1–0 W
18 Feb Yokohama FC A 1–0 W
05 Nov Cerezo Osaka FC A 1–0 W
29 Oct FC Tokyo H 2–1 W
08 Oct Kyoto Sanga FC A 1–1 D
01 Oct Yokohama F.Marinos H 0–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Feb Nagoya Grampus A 0–1 L
18 Feb Kashima Antlers H 0–2 L
05 Nov Júbilo Iwata A 0–0 D
29 Oct Cerezo Osaka FC H 0–0 D
12 Oct Kawasaki Frontale A 1–3 L
08 Oct Nagoya Grampus H 1–1 D

Season Stats

Nagoya Grampus Kyoto Sanga FC
#3 Position #8
31 Points 23
18 Played 18
10 / 0 / 8 W / D / L 8 / 0 / 10
46 Scored 32
44 Conceded 39
+2 GD -7
1.72 PPG 1.28
56% Win % 44%

Key Stats

80% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
0% Clean Sheets
Kyoto Sanga FC this season

Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts). Kyoto Sanga FC are 8th (23 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/2
61-75
–/2
76+
3/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Kyoto Sanga FC
0-15
3/–
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/7
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus
Naomichi Ueda 1 G 1 A
Kyoto Sanga FC
Rafael Elias 5 G 3 A
Ryuma Nakano 2 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Nagoya Grampus and Kyoto Sanga FC get this one started.
  • 5' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 10' Kyoto Sanga FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 11' It’s a booking for Kyoto Sanga FC player. Tawiah gets a Yellow card.
  • 16' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 21' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 26' A quiet spell here at Toyota Stadium. Kyoto Sanga FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 31' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 36' It’s high time Kwi-Jea Cho made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 41' Kyoto Sanga FC have won 195 goals from 166 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 46' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 51' The referee has no hesitation. Kyo Sato is booked for Kyoto Sanga FC — Yellow card on 51.
  • 56' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 58' A change in the Kyoto Sanga FC ranks — Kazunari Ichimi exits the field as Ryogo Yamasaki enters on 58.
  • 62' What composure from Kensuke Nagai! The Japan international strokes it home. 1-0.
  • 67' Fresh legs for Kyoto Sanga FC! Teppei Yachida comes on to replace Yuta Toyokawa.
  • 68' Yuta Toyokawa makes way for Teppei Yachida at the 68 minute mark. A tactical switch from Kyoto Sanga FC.
  • 73' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 76' A tactical swap from Kyoto Sanga FC — Daigo Araki on, Kyo Sato off on 76 minutes.
  • 77' A tactical swap from Kyoto Sanga FC — Daigo Araki on, Kyo Sato off on 77 minutes.
  • 78' Another change for Nagoya Grampus made on 78 minute. Kensuke Nagai leaves to be changed by Noriyoshi Sakai.
  • 83' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Nagoya Grampus needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 88' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Sho Inagaki made 339 appearances and scored 46 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 90' The referee calls foul for Paulinho. He receives a Yellow card.
  • The final score is 1-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.02 Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.32 Kyoto Sanga FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 64% + Both teams to score 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Nagoya Grampus56% Draw22% Kyoto Sanga FC22%
Actual: Nagoya Grampus win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes63% 0% No37%
Avg goals/match: 3.34
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 64%
36%
± 3.5 42%
58%
± 4.5 25%
75%

Double Chance

Nagoya Grampus or Draw
78%
Draw or Kyoto Sanga FC
44%
Nagoya Grampus or Kyoto Sanga FC
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Nagoya Grampus39% Draw41% Kyoto Sanga FC20%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.3%
2 – 1
9.2%
2 – 0
7.2%
1 – 0
Actual
3 – 1
6.2%
1 – 2
6%
2 – 2
6%
0 – 0
5%
3 – 0
4.7%
3 – 2
4.1%
0 – 1
4%
4 – 1
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus

Handicap Nagoya Grampus covers Push Kyoto Sanga FC covers
-2.5 15% — 85%
-2 15% 16% 69%
-1.5 31% — 69%
-1 31% 21% 48%
-0.5 52% — 48%
+0.5 76% — 24%
+1 76% 13% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 7% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
27% ✗
Kyoto Sanga FC keeps clean sheet
14% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.