Nagoya Grampus vs Kyoto Sanga FC, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Nagoya Grampus vs Kyoto Sanga FC — J. League at Toyota Stadium.
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
- Kyoto Sanga FC 18 games · 23 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Yoshiro Imamura
- Assistant 1 Makoto Hibino
- Assistant 2 Osamu Akasaka
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb | Kyoto Sanga FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Feb | Yokohama FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 05 Nov | Cerezo Osaka FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Oct | FC Tokyo | H | 2–1 | W |
| 08 Oct | Kyoto Sanga FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Oct | Yokohama F.Marinos | H | 0–4 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb | Nagoya Grampus | A | 0–1 | L |
| 18 Feb | Kashima Antlers | H | 0–2 | L |
| 05 Nov | Jubilo Iwata | A | 0–0 | D |
| 29 Oct | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 12 Oct | Kawasaki Frontale | A | 1–3 | L |
| 08 Oct | Nagoya Grampus | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| Nagoya Grampus | Kyoto Sanga FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #8 |
| 31 | Points | 23 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 8 / 0 / 10 |
| 46 | Scored | 32 |
| 44 | Conceded | 39 |
| +2 | GD | -7 |
| 1.72 | PPG | 1.28 |
| 56% | Win % | 44% |
Key Stats
80%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Kyoto Sanga FC this season
Kyoto Sanga FC this season
Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts). Kyoto Sanga FC are 8th (23 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/–
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Kyoto Sanga FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
2/–
61-75
–/1
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Temperatures are rising at Toyota Stadium as Nagoya Grampus face off against Kyoto Sanga FC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
- 5' Kyoto Sanga FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 10' Over 10 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 11' Kyoto Sanga FC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
- 16' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Nagoya Grampus needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 21' Kyoto Sanga FC come into this ranked 16 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 26' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Yuta Toyokawa made 199 appearances and scored 37 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 31' Kyoto Sanga FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
- 36' Mateus is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Nagoya Grampus tonight.
- 41' The 26-year-old Kyo Sato has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 46' Kensuke Nagai has been relatively quiet despite scoring 47 goals in his last 437 appearances.
- 51' A meaty challenge results in booking for Kyo Sato on 51.
- 56' Kasper Junker has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 58' Time for substitution for Kyoto Sanga FC. Kazunari Ichimi is replaced by Ryogo Yamasaki.
- 62' Goal! Kensuke Nagai scores his 47 goal in 437 matches.
- 67' The whistle greets Yuta Toyokawa as he departs to be replaced by Teppei Yachida.
- 68' Another change for Kyoto Sanga FC made on 68 minute. Yuta Toyokawa leaves to be changed by Teppei Yachida.
- 73' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 76' It is a substitution in Kyoto Sanga FC team. Kyo Sato is replaced by Daigo Araki on 76 minute.
- 77' Daigo Araki gets the nod from Kyoto Sanga FC. He replaces Kyo Sato and will look to change the dynamic.
- 78' Another substitution for Nagoya Grampus to replace Kensuke Nagai by Noriyoshi Sakai on 78 minute.
- 83' Kyoto Sanga FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
- 88' It looks surprising Nagoya Grampus does not make any changes. Shinnosuke Nakatani has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Paulinho on 90.
- With this win, Nagoya Grampus is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 6
-
18
Kensuke Nagai ↓ Noriyoshi Sakai 78'
- 1
- 15
- 3
- 13
-
7
Ryuji Izumi ↓ Takuya Uchida 78'
- 4
- 10
- 17
- 77
Bench
-
34
Takuya Uchida ↑ 78'
- 2
- 5
- 16
- 46
-
9
Noriyoshi Sakai ↑ 78'
- 92
Coach
Kenta Hasegawa
Kyoto Sanga FC Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 14
- 22
- 9
-
19
Daiki Kaneko ↓ Paulinho Boia 77'
-
23
Yuta Toyokawa ↓ Teppei Yachida 68'
- 3
- 7
- 1
-
44
Kyo Sato ↓ Daigo Araki 77'
- 4
- 5
Bench
- 32
-
8
Daigo Araki ↑ 77'
-
11
Ryogo Yamasaki ↑ 58'
-
47
Paulinho Boia ↑ 77'
- 10
-
25
Teppei Yachida ↑ 68'
-
24
Osamu Henry Iyoha ↑ 77'
Coach
Kwi-Jea Cho
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Yuya Yamagishi | 3 |
| Patric | 2 |
| Papagaio | 2 |
| Mateus | 2 |
| Patric | 1 |
| Yuta Toyokawa | 1 |
| Ryogo Yamasaki | 1 |
| Marco Tulio | 1 |
Head to Head
Nagoya Grampus Form
Kyoto Sanga FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.02
Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.32
Kyoto Sanga FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 64% + Both teams to score 63%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Nagoya Grampus win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.34
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 2.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
| ± 3.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
| ± 4.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
Double Chance
Nagoya Grampus or Draw
78%
Draw or Kyoto Sanga FC
44%
Nagoya Grampus or Kyoto Sanga FC
78%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.3%
2 – 1
9.2%
2 – 0
7.2%
1 – 0
Actual
3 – 1
6.2%
1 – 2
6%
2 – 2
6%
0 – 0
5%
3 – 0
4.7%
3 – 2
4.1%
0 – 1
4%
4 – 1
3.2%
Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus
| Handicap | Nagoya Grampus covers | Push | Kyoto Sanga FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -2 | 15% | 16% | 69% |
| -1.5 | 31% | — | 69% |
| -1 | 31% | 21% | 48% |
| -0.5 | 52% | — | 48% |
| +0.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +1 | 76% | 13% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 7% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
27%
✗
Kyoto Sanga FC keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

