Sunday , 16 August 2026

Nagoya Grampus vs Kyoto Sanga FC, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2023
Sat 25 Feb 2023 · 07:00 UTC Toyota Stadium 21,327 HT 45' · FT 45'
Kensuke Nagai 62' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Nagoya Grampus vs Kyoto Sanga FCJ. League at Toyota Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Yoshiro Imamura
  • Assistant 1 Makoto Hibino
  • Assistant 2 Osamu Akasaka

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Feb Kyoto Sanga FC H 1–0 W
18 Feb Yokohama FC A 1–0 W
05 Nov Cerezo Osaka FC A 1–0 W
29 Oct FC Tokyo H 2–1 W
08 Oct Kyoto Sanga FC A 1–1 D
01 Oct Yokohama F.Marinos H 0–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Feb Nagoya Grampus A 0–1 L
18 Feb Kashima Antlers H 0–2 L
05 Nov Jubilo Iwata A 0–0 D
29 Oct Cerezo Osaka FC H 0–0 D
12 Oct Kawasaki Frontale A 1–3 L
08 Oct Nagoya Grampus H 1–1 D

Season Stats

Nagoya Grampus Kyoto Sanga FC
#3 Position #8
31 Points 23
18 Played 18
10 / 0 / 8 W / D / L 8 / 0 / 10
46 Scored 32
44 Conceded 39
+2 GD -7
1.72 PPG 1.28
56% Win % 44%

Key Stats

80% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
0% Clean Sheets
Kyoto Sanga FC this season

Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts). Kyoto Sanga FC are 8th (23 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus
0-15
/
16-30
/1
31-45
/
46-60
1/
61-75
/
76+
/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Kyoto Sanga FC
0-15
/
16-30
/
31-45
/1
46-60
2/
61-75
/1
76+
/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at Toyota Stadium as Nagoya Grampus face off against Kyoto Sanga FC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • 5' Kyoto Sanga FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 10' Over 10 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 11' Kyoto Sanga FC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 16' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Nagoya Grampus needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 21' Kyoto Sanga FC come into this ranked 16 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 26' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Yuta Toyokawa made 199 appearances and scored 37 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 31' Kyoto Sanga FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
  • 36' Mateus is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Nagoya Grampus tonight.
  • 41' The 26-year-old Kyo Sato has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 46' Kensuke Nagai has been relatively quiet despite scoring 47 goals in his last 437 appearances.
  • 51' A meaty challenge results in booking for Kyo Sato on 51.
  • 56' Kasper Junker has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 58' Time for substitution for Kyoto Sanga FC. Kazunari Ichimi is replaced by Ryogo Yamasaki.
  • 62' Goal! Kensuke Nagai scores his 47 goal in 437 matches.
  • 67' The whistle greets Yuta Toyokawa as he departs to be replaced by Teppei Yachida.
  • 68' Another change for Kyoto Sanga FC made on 68 minute. Yuta Toyokawa leaves to be changed by Teppei Yachida.
  • 73' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 76' It is a substitution in Kyoto Sanga FC team. Kyo Sato is replaced by Daigo Araki on 76 minute.
  • 77' Daigo Araki gets the nod from Kyoto Sanga FC. He replaces Kyo Sato and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 78' Another substitution for Nagoya Grampus to replace Kensuke Nagai by Noriyoshi Sakai on 78 minute.
  • 83' Kyoto Sanga FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
  • 88' It looks surprising Nagoya Grampus does not make any changes. Shinnosuke Nakatani has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Paulinho on 90.
  • With this win, Nagoya Grampus is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.02 Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.32 Kyoto Sanga FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 64% + Both teams to score 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Nagoya Grampus56% Draw22% Kyoto Sanga FC22%
Actual: Nagoya Grampus win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes63% 0% No37%
Avg goals/match: 3.34
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 64%
36%
± 3.5 42%
58%
± 4.5 25%
75%

Double Chance

Nagoya Grampus or Draw
78%
Draw or Kyoto Sanga FC
44%
Nagoya Grampus or Kyoto Sanga FC
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Nagoya Grampus39% Draw41% Kyoto Sanga FC20%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.3%
2 – 1
9.2%
2 – 0
7.2%
1 – 0
Actual
3 – 1
6.2%
1 – 2
6%
2 – 2
6%
0 – 0
5%
3 – 0
4.7%
3 – 2
4.1%
0 – 1
4%
4 – 1
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus

Handicap Nagoya Grampus covers Push Kyoto Sanga FC covers
-2.5 15% 85%
-2 15% 16% 69%
-1.5 31% 69%
-1 31% 21% 48%
-0.5 52% 48%
+0.5 76% 24%
+1 76% 13% 11%
+1.5 89% 11%
+2 89% 7% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
27%
Kyoto Sanga FC keeps clean sheet
14%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.