Kyoto Sanga FC vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2024

Kyoto Sanga FC

3 – 2

Full Time

Nagoya Grampus

Wed 7 Aug 2024 · 10:00 UTC Sanga Stadium by KYOCERA HT 45' · FT 45'

R 47' Takuya Uchida

Y 65' Tsukasa Morishima

Overview

Match Preview

Kyoto Sanga FC vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League at Sanga Stadium by KYOCERA.

Kyoto Sanga FC 18 games · 23 pts (2026/26)
Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Kyoto Sanga FC 10 games · Avg 3.4 goals Nagoya Grampus

Last 5 meetings

2024-08-07 Kyoto Sanga FC 3–2 Nagoya Grampus 2024-05-26 Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Kyoto Sanga FC 2023-07-16 Kyoto Sanga FC 2–1 Nagoya Grampus 2023-02-25 Nagoya Grampus 1–0 Kyoto Sanga FC 2022-10-08 Kyoto Sanga FC 1–1 Nagoya Grampus

Recent Form

Kyoto Sanga FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
07 Aug	Nagoya Grampus	H	3–2	W
20 Jul	Jubilo Iwata	A	2–1	W
14 Jul	Urawa Red Diamonds	H	0–0	D
07 Jul	Avispa Fukuoka	A	2–1	W
30 Jun	Shonan Bellmare	A	1–0	W
26 Jun	Kashiwa Reysol	H	2–2	D

Nagoya Grampus

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
07 Aug	Kyoto Sanga FC	A	2–3	L
20 Jul	Vissel Kobe	A	3–3	D
14 Jul	Kashiwa Reysol	H	2–1	W
06 Jul	FC Machida Zelvia	A	0–1	L
30 Jun	Cerezo Osaka FC	A	1–2	L
26 Jun	Urawa Red Diamonds	H	0–1	L

Season Stats

Kyoto Sanga FC		Nagoya Grampus
#8	Position	#3
23	Points	31
18	Played	18
8 / 0 / 10	W / D / L	10 / 0 / 8
32	Scored	46
39	Conceded	44
-7	GD	+2
1.28	PPG	1.72
44%	Win %	56%

Key Stats

80% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

17% Clean Sheets
Kyoto Sanga FC this season

28% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

Kyoto Sanga FC are 8th (23 pts). Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Kyoto Sanga FC

0-15

1/2

16-30

2/3

31-45

2/1

46-60

2/2

61-75

–/6

76+

2/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Nagoya Grampus

0-15

2/1

16-30

2/4

31-45

5/4

46-60

4/3

61-75

3/1

76+

4/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' The ball is rolling at Sanga Stadium by KYOCERA. Kyoto Sanga FC are looking to make home advantage count against Nagoya Grampus.
5' Patric makes no mistake. The score reads 0-1 and Nagoya Grampus are in front.
10' Kyoto Sanga FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Nagoya Grampus backline.
15' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
19' A stunning finish from Patric — that came from absolutely nowhere!
24' It looks like no one’s ball. Nagoya Grampus is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
29' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
34' Nagoya Grampus looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Yuya Yamagishi scoring 3 goals.
39' The energy levels are beginning to show. Kwi-Jea Cho might look to freshen things up shortly.
44' Sung-yun Gu needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
46' A change in the Kyoto Sanga FC ranks — Shimpei Fukuoka exits the field as Temma Matsuda enters on 46.
47' Nagoya Grampus player sees a card in front of him.
52' The supporters are chanting for Yuki Nogami. He replaces Patric on 52 minute.
57' Kyoto Sanga FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
59' A stunning finish from Papagaio — that came from absolutely nowhere!
64' Nagoya Grampus are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
65' Tsukasa Morishima catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 65.
67' Chang-rae Ha is replacing Ryuji Izumi for the Nagoya Grampus side.
72' Yuto Misao, a Japan , has 10 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
74' Taichi Hara does the damage! The net is bulging and Kyoto Sanga FC surge ahead!
78' It is a substitution in Nagoya Grampus team. Katsuhiro Nakayama is replaced by Ryosuke Yamanaka on 78 minute.
79' Marco Tulio has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 79 minutes.
84' Nagoya Grampus come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
89' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Kwi-Jea Cho will be considering his options from the bench.
90' Papagaio makes way for Sora Hiraga at the 90 minute mark. A tactical switch from Kyoto Sanga FC.
Kyoto Sanga FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

Kyoto Sanga FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Kwi-Jea Cho

Nagoya Grampus Lineups

Starting XI

8
Keiya Shiihashi
34
Takuya Uchida
1
Mitch Langerak
14
Tsukasa Morishima ↓ Takuya Shigehiro 67'
15
Sho Inagaki
10
Patric ↓ Yuki Nogami 52'
7
Ryuji Izumi ↓ Chang-rae Ha 67'
27
Katsuhiro Nakayama ↓ Ryosuke Yamanaka 78'
11
Yuya Yamagishi ↓ Kasper Junker 78'
24
Akinari Kawazura
20
Kennedy Egbus Mikuni

Bench

66
Ryosuke Yamanaka ↑ 78'
2
Yuki Nogami ↑ 52'
16
Yohei Takeda
77
Kasper Junker ↑ 78'
19
Takuya Shigehiro ↑ 67'
–
Taichi Kikuchi
3
Chang-rae Ha ↑ 67'

Coach Kenta Hasegawa

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Yuya Yamagishi	3
Mateus	2
Patric	2
Papagaio	2
Taichi Hara	1
Peter Utaka	1
Sho Inagaki	1
Shohei Takeda	1

Head to Head

Kyoto Sanga FC Form

2024-08-07 Kyoto Sanga FC 3–2 Nagoya Grampus W 2024-07-20 Jubilo Iwata 1–2 Kyoto Sanga FC W 2024-07-14 Kyoto Sanga FC 0–0 Urawa Red Diamonds D 2024-07-07 Avispa Fukuoka 1–2 Kyoto Sanga FC W 2024-06-30 Shonan Bellmare 0–1 Kyoto Sanga FC W 2024-06-26 Kyoto Sanga FC 2–2 Kashiwa Reysol D

Nagoya Grampus Form

2024-08-07 Kyoto Sanga FC 3–2 Nagoya Grampus L 2024-07-20 Vissel Kobe 3–3 Nagoya Grampus D 2024-07-14 Nagoya Grampus 2–1 Kashiwa Reysol W 2024-07-06 FC Machida Zelvia 1–0 Nagoya Grampus L 2024-06-30 Cerezo Osaka FC 2–1 Nagoya Grampus L 2024-06-26 Nagoya Grampus 0–1 Urawa Red Diamonds L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

2.1 Kyoto Sanga FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.94 Nagoya Grampus xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 76% + Both teams to score 75%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Kyoto Sanga FC48% Draw21% Nagoya Grampus31%

Actual: Kyoto Sanga FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes75% 0% No25%

Avg goals/match: 4.04

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	97%	3%
± 1.5	91%	9%
± 2.5	76%	24%
± 3.5	56%	44%
± 4.5	38%	62%

Double Chance

Kyoto Sanga FC or Draw

70%

Draw or Nagoya Grampus

52%

Kyoto Sanga FC or Nagoya Grampus

79%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Kyoto Sanga FC33% Draw38% Nagoya Grampus29%

Actual: Nagoya Grampus win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

2 – 1

7.3%

2 – 2

1 – 2

6.8%

3 – 1

5.1%

3 – 2

Actual

2 – 3

4.5%

1 – 3

4.4%

2 – 0

0 – 2

3.4%

1 – 0

3.3%

3 – 3

3.2%

Asian Handicap — Kyoto Sanga FC

Handicap	Kyoto Sanga FC covers	Push	Nagoya Grampus covers
-2.5	12%	—	88%
-2	12%	13%	76%
-1.5	24%	—	76%
-1	24%	18%	58%
-0.5	42%	—	58%
+0.5	64%	—	36%
+1	64%	16%	20%
+1.5	80%	—	20%
+2	80%	11%	9%
+2.5	91%	—	9%

Clean Sheet

Kyoto Sanga FC keeps clean sheet

15% ✓

Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet

13% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.