Thursday , 2 July 2026

St. Mirren FC vs Kilmarnock FC, Premier League 2023-24 CHAMPIONSHIP ROUND

Premier League · 2023-24
Sat 11 May 2024 · 14:00 UTC The SMISA Stadium 7,645 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 37' Kyle Vassell

Overview

Match Preview

St. Mirren FC vs Kilmarnock FCPremier League at The SMISA Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Euan Anderson
  • Assistant 1 Gordon Crawford
  • Assistant 2 Paul O'Neill

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 May Kilmarnock FC H 0–1 L
04 May Dundee FC A 3–1 W
28 Apr Rangers FC H 1–2 L
13 Apr Celtic FC A 0–3 L
06 Apr Heart of Midlothian FC H 1–2 L
30 Mar Motherwell FC A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 May St. Mirren FC A 1–0 W
05 May Rangers FC A 1–4 L
27 Apr Heart of Midlothian FC H 0–0 D
13 Apr St. Johnstone FC A 2–0 W
06 Apr Ross County FC H 1–0 W
30 Mar Heart of Midlothian FC A 1–1 D

Season Stats

St. Mirren FC Kilmarnock FC
#10 Position #11
30 Points 28
33 Played 33
7 / 9 / 17 W / D / L 6 / 10 / 17
27 Scored 37
48 Conceded 65
-21 GD -28
0.91 PPG 0.85
21% Win % 18%

Key Stats

39% Both Teams to Score
H2H (23 games)
35% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

St. Mirren FC are 10th (30 pts). Kilmarnock FC are 11th (28 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for St. Mirren FC to score. At the same time, Kilmarnock FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' Corrie Ndaba is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Kilmarnock FC so far.
  • 10' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 15' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 20' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Fraser Murray made 297 appearances and scored 4 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 25' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 30' named a 3-4-3 earlier, and opted for a 4-4-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 35' St. Mirren FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 37' Against the run of play, Kyle Vassell has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 42' The home supporters are growing impatient. St. Mirren FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 47' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 52' James Bolton has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 3 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 57' Kilmarnock FC have won 271 goals from 260 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 62' Kilmarnock FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 67' St. Mirren FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Keanu Baccus is hanging Caolan Boyd Munce on the field on 67 minute.
  • 70' A moment of madness from Danny Armstrong on 70 minutes earns him a card. Kilmarnock FC will be frustrated.
  • 75' Supporters expect more eagerness from Marcus Fraser, as he is very good at scoring at The SMISA Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 76' Fresh legs for Kilmarnock FC! Innes Cameron comes on to replace Kyle Vassell.
  • 80' A change in the Kilmarnock FC ranks — Danny Armstrong exits the field as Rory McKenzie enters on 80.
  • 83' St. Mirren FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Richard Taylor is hanging James Bolton on the field on 83 minute.
  • 85' That looks like a foul for a card for Will Dennis.
  • 90' Kilmarnock FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Fraser Murray is hanging Matty Kennedy on the field on 90 minute.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Kilmarnock FC to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.1 St. Mirren FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.42 Kilmarnock FC xG
I would bet for: Kilmarnock FC or Draw 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct
St. Mirren FC28% Draw28% Kilmarnock FC44%
Actual: Kilmarnock FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.52
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

St. Mirren FC or Draw
56%
Draw or Kilmarnock FC
72%
St. Mirren FC or Kilmarnock FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
St. Mirren FC21% Draw48% Kilmarnock FC31%
Actual: Kilmarnock FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.5%
0 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
10.2%
1 – 2
8.6%
0 – 2
7.9%
1 – 0
7.8%
2 – 1
6.6%
2 – 2
4.8%
2 – 0
4.7%
1 – 3
4.1%
0 – 3
3.7%
3 – 1
2.5%

Asian Handicap — St. Mirren FC

Handicap St. Mirren FC covers Push Kilmarnock FC covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 8% 89%
-1.5 11% 89%
-1 11% 17% 72%
-0.5 28% 72%
+0.5 57% 43%
+1 57% 22% 21%
+1.5 79% 21%
+2 79% 13% 8%
+2.5 92% 8%

Clean Sheet

St. Mirren FC keeps clean sheet
25%
Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
34%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.