Thursday , 1 October 2026

Kilmarnock FC vs St. Mirren FC, Premier League 2020-21 RELEGATION ROUND

Premier League · 2020-21
Wed 12 May 2021 · 18:45 UTC The BBSP Stadium, Rugby Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Kilmarnock FC vs St. Mirren FC — Premier League at The BBSP Stadium, Rugby Park.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 May St. Mirren FC H 3–3 D
01 May Motherwell FC A 0–2 L
21 Apr Dundee United FC H 3–0 W
10 Apr Ross County FC H 2–2 D
20 Mar Motherwell FC H 4–1 W
06 Mar Ross County FC A 2–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 May Kilmarnock FC A 3–3 D
01 May Hamilton Academical FC H 1–2 L
21 Apr Ross County FC A 3–1 W
10 Apr Motherwell FC A 0–1 L
20 Mar Hamilton Academical FC A 1–1 D
06 Mar Rangers FC A 0–3 L

Season Stats

Kilmarnock FC St. Mirren FC
#12 Position #5
5 Points 10
7 Played 7
1 / 2 / 4 W / D / L 3 / 1 / 3
6 Scored 8
15 Conceded 9
-9 GD -1
0.71 PPG 1.43
14% Win % 43%

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
29% Clean Sheets
Kilmarnock FC this season
43% Clean Sheets
St. Mirren FC this season

Kilmarnock FC are 12th (5 pts). St. Mirren FC are 5th (10 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Kilmarnock FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
–/2
76+
–/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
St. Mirren FC
0-15
2/3
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
–/1
61-75
1/1
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

St. Mirren FC
Killian Phillips 3 G
Samu Ramos 1 G 2 A
Declan John 1 G
Fraser Taylor 1 G
Paul Nsio 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: St. Mirren FC gets underway.
  • 5' Daniel Finlayson is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Kilmarnock FC so far.
  • 8' Against the run of play, Kyle Lafferty has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 13' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 18' Ross Millen has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 5 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 23' Kilmarnock FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined St. Mirren FC backline.
  • 28' Mitchell Pinnock has been relatively quiet despite scoring 11 goals in his last 240 appearances.
  • 33' Kilmarnock FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 34' Poor challenge from Kyle Lafferty. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 38' Daniel Finlayson is having his name booked by the referee on 38.
  • 43' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 46' It is a substitution in St. Mirren FC team. Ilkay Durmus is replaced by Dylan Connolly on 46 minute.
  • 51' Kilmarnock FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against St. Mirren FC's shape.
  • 56' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Kilmarnock FC that had 265 games and scored 275 goals.
  • 61' The referee shows Kilmarnock FC player a Yellow card on 61.
  • 62' Kyle Lafferty with the second goal in the match!
  • 63' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Jamie McGrath makes no mistake. 2-1!
  • 66' Another change for St. Mirren FC made on 66 minute. Jake Doyle-Hayes leaves to be changed by Cameron MacPherson.
  • 71' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with St. Mirren FC winning 100% of all matches.
  • 76' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 78' GOAL! Cameron MacPherson scores on 78.
  • 81' A stunning finish from Greg Kiltie — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 82' The St. Mirren FC manager makes a substitution. Daniel Finlayson departs to be replaced by Kyle McAllister.
  • 82' Greg Kiltie makes no mistake. The score reads 4-2 and Kilmarnock FC are in front.
  • 83' Collin Quaner makes no mistake. The score reads 4-3 and St. Mirren FC are in front.
  • 83' It is a substitution in St. Mirren FC team. Daniel Finlayson is replaced by Kyle McAllister on 83 minute.
  • 84' Brandon Haunstrop is replacing Calum Waters for the Kilmarnock FC side.
  • 89' Ireland international Conor McCarthy has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 90' Danny Whitehall is ready to make an impact after coming on for Greg Kiltie at the 90 minute mark.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 3-3 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.47 Kilmarnock FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.74 St. Mirren FC xG
I would bet for: Kilmarnock FC or St. Mirren FC 74% + Both teams to score 63%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Kilmarnock FC36% Draw26% St. Mirren FC38%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes63% 0% No37%
Avg goals/match: 3.21
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 61%
39%
± 3.5 40%
60%
± 4.5 23%
77%

Double Chance

Kilmarnock FC or Draw
61%
Draw or St. Mirren FC
64%
Kilmarnock FC or St. Mirren FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Kilmarnock FC25% Draw43% St. Mirren FC32%
Actual: Kilmarnock FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–3 not predicted
3 – 3
Actual
1 – 1
11.2%
1 – 2
8.6%
2 – 1
7.3%
2 – 2
6.3%
0 – 1
6.3%
0 – 2
6.1%
0 – 0
5.6%
1 – 0
5.2%
1 – 3
5%
2 – 0
4.4%
2 – 3
3.7%
3 – 1
3.6%

Asian Handicap — Kilmarnock FC

Handicap Kilmarnock FC covers Push St. Mirren FC covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 9% 85%
-1.5 15% — 85%
-1 15% 17% 68%
-0.5 32% — 68%
+0.5 57% — 43%
+1 57% 20% 23%
+1.5 77% — 23%
+2 77% 13% 10%
+2.5 90% — 10%

Clean Sheet

Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
18% ✓
St. Mirren FC keeps clean sheet
24% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.