Kilmarnock FC vs St. Mirren FC, Premier League 2020-21 RELEGATION ROUND
Overview
Match Preview
Kilmarnock FC vs St. Mirren FC — Premier League at The BBSP Stadium, Rugby Park.
- Kilmarnock FC 33 games · 28 pts (2026/27)
- St. Mirren FC 33 games · 30 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heart of Midlothian FC | 33 | 70 |
| 2 | Rangers FC | 33 | 69 |
| 3 | Celtic FC | 33 | 67 |
| 4 | Motherwell FC | 33 | 54 |
| 5 | Hibernian FC | 33 | 51 |
| 6 | Falkirk FC | 33 | 46 |
| 7 | Dundee United FC | 33 | 40 |
| 8 | Aberdeen FC | 33 | 33 |
| 9 | Dundee FC | 33 | 33 |
| 10 | St. Mirren FC | 33 | 30 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock FC | 33 | 28 |
| 12 | Livingston FC | 33 | 16 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May | St. Mirren FC | H | 3–3 | D |
| 01 May | Motherwell FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 21 Apr | Dundee United FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 10 Apr | Ross County FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 20 Mar | Motherwell FC | H | 4–1 | W |
| 06 Mar | Ross County FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May | Kilmarnock FC | A | 3–3 | D |
| 01 May | Hamilton Academical FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 21 Apr | Ross County FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 10 Apr | Motherwell FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Mar | Hamilton Academical FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 06 Mar | Rangers FC | A | 0–3 | L |
Season Stats
| Kilmarnock FC | St. Mirren FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #11 | Position | #10 |
| 28 | Points | 30 |
| 33 | Played | 33 |
| 6 / 10 / 17 | W / D / L | 7 / 9 / 17 |
| 37 | Scored | 27 |
| 65 | Conceded | 48 |
| -28 | GD | -21 |
| 0.85 | PPG | 0.91 |
| 18% | Win % | 21% |
Key Stats
39%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (23 games)
H2H (23 games)
35%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Kilmarnock FC are 11th (28 pts). St. Mirren FC are 10th (30 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at The BBSP Stadium, Rugby Park. Kilmarnock FC are looking to make home advantage count against St. Mirren FC.
- 5' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 8' Kyle Lafferty makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and Kilmarnock FC are in front.
- 13' St. Mirren FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 18' St. Mirren FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 23' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 28' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Kilmarnock FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 33' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 34' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Kyle Lafferty on 34 minutes.
- 38' It’s a booking for St. Mirren FC player. Daniel Finlayson gets a Yellow card.
- 43' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Marcus Fraser suffering a number of foals already.
- 46' St. Mirren FC ring the changes. Ilkay Durmus has done his job and it is now time for Dylan Connolly to step up.
- 51' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 56' St. Mirren FC is showing some good football. However, St. Mirren FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 61' Alan Power catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 61.
- 62' Magnificent from Kyle Lafferty! That is 23 goals in 402 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 63' The deadlock is broken! Jamie McGrath gets on the scoresheet on 63 minutes.
- 66' It is a substitution in St. Mirren FC team. Jake Doyle-Hayes is replaced by Cameron MacPherson on 66 minute.
- 71' The energy levels are beginning to show. James Goodwin might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 76' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 78' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Cameron MacPherson makes no mistake. 2-2!
- 81' A goal from the Scotland international Greg Kiltie! He fires home on 81 to make it 3-2!
- 82' Time for substitution for St. Mirren FC. Daniel Finlayson is replaced by Kyle McAllister.
- 82' Greg Kiltie does the damage! The net is bulging and Kilmarnock FC surge ahead!
- 83' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Collin Quaner makes no mistake. 4-3!
- 83' The St. Mirren FC manager makes a substitution. Daniel Finlayson departs to be replaced by Kyle McAllister.
- 84' Kilmarnock FC ring the changes. Calum Waters has done his job and it is now time for Brandon Haunstrop to step up.
- 89' St. Mirren FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 90' A tactical swap from Kilmarnock FC — Danny Whitehall on, Greg Kiltie off on 90 minutes.
- It finishes all square. Kilmarnock FC and St. Mirren FC share the spoils 3-3.
Lineups
Kilmarnock FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 19
- 29
- 5
-
10
Greg Kiltie ↓ Danny Whitehall 90'
- 8
- 6
- 18
- 22
- 28
- 14
- 23
Bench
-
3
Brandon Haunstrop ↑ 84'
- 21
- 2
- 16
- 27
- 7
- 24
- 9
-
12
Danny Whitehall ↑ 90'
Coach
Tommy Wright
St. Mirren FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 7
-
9
Jonathan Obika ↓ Collin Quaner 66'
- 1
- 8
- 5
-
23
Lee Erwin ↓ Kristian Dennis 66'
- 17
- 22
-
11
Ilkay Durmus ↓ Dylan Connolly 46'
- 30
- 15
Bench
-
20
Kristian Dennis ↑ 66'
-
45
Collin Quaner ↑ 66'
-
10
Kyle McAllister ↑ 82'
- 3
- 2
-
14
Cameron MacPherson ↑ 66'
- 25
- 26
-
21
Dylan Connolly ↑ 46'
Coach
James Goodwin
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kyle Vassell | 3 |
| Bruce Anderson | 3 |
| Marley Watkins | 3 |
| Greg Kiltie | 2 |
| Kyle Lafferty | 2 |
| Mark O'Hara | 2 |
| Christian Doidge | 2 |
| Findlay Curtis | 2 |
Head to Head
Kilmarnock FC Form
St. Mirren FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.66
Kilmarnock FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.38
St. Mirren FC xG
I would bet for:
Kilmarnock FC or St. Mirren FC 74% + Both teams to score 61%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.04
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 2.5 | 58% |
|
42% |
| ± 3.5 | 36% |
|
64% |
| ± 4.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
Double Chance
Kilmarnock FC or Draw
70%
Draw or St. Mirren FC
57%
Kilmarnock FC or St. Mirren FC
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Kilmarnock FC win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 3–3 not predicted3 – 3Actual
1 – 1
11.9%
2 – 1
8.7%
1 – 2
7.3%
1 – 0
7.1%
2 – 0
6.5%
0 – 0
6.5%
2 – 2
6%
0 – 1
5.8%
3 – 1
4.8%
0 – 2
4.5%
3 – 0
3.5%
3 – 2
3.4%
Asian Handicap — Kilmarnock FC
| Handicap | Kilmarnock FC covers | Push | St. Mirren FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 13% | 77% |
| -1.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -1 | 23% | 20% | 57% |
| -0.5 | 43% | — | 57% |
| +0.5 | 69% | — | 31% |
| +1 | 69% | 17% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +2 | 86% | 9% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
St. Mirren FC keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

