Thursday , 2 July 2026

Motherwell FC vs Kilmarnock FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2023-24
Sat 26 Aug 2023 · 14:00 UTC Fir Park 5,758 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 12' Marley Watkins
Dan Casey 59' 1–1
Harry Paton 90+8' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

Motherwell FC vs Kilmarnock FCPremier League at Fir Park.

Match Details

  • Referee
  • Assistant 1 Alan Mulvanny
  • Assistant 2 Gordon Crawford

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Aug Kilmarnock FC H 2–1 W
13 Aug Hibernian FC H 2–1 W
05 Aug Dundee FC A 1–1 D
28 May Dundee United FC H 3–2 W
24 May Livingston FC A 1–1 D
20 May Ross County FC H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Aug Motherwell FC A 1–2 L
13 Aug Heart of Midlothian FC A 0–0 D
05 Aug Rangers FC H 1–0 W
28 May Ross County FC H 3–1 W
24 May Dundee United FC A 3–0 W
20 May St. Johnstone FC H 0–1 L

Season Stats

Motherwell FC Kilmarnock FC
#4 Position #11
54 Points 28
33 Played 33
14 / 12 / 7 W / D / L 6 / 10 / 17
52 Scored 37
29 Conceded 65
+23 GD -28
1.64 PPG 0.85
42% Win % 18%

Key Stats

48% Both Teams to Score
H2H (23 games)
43% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Motherwell FC are 4th (54 pts). Kilmarnock FC are 11th (28 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Fir Park!
  • 5' David Watson has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 10' Innes Cameron has been relatively quiet despite scoring 3 goals in his last 260 appearances.
  • 12' GOAL! Marley Watkins scores on 12. Assisted by Danny Armstrong
  • 17' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 22' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 27' Kilmarnock FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 32' Marley Watkins has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 32.
  • 37' It is a cagey affair so far. Motherwell FC in their trying to find a way past Kilmarnock FC's compact .
  • 42' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Stephen O'Donnell suffering a number of foals already.
  • 43' Poor challenge from Stephen O'Donnell. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 46' Harry Paton is replacing Joe Efford for the Motherwell FC side.
  • 51' Kyle Magennis is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Kilmarnock FC tonight.
  • 52' Motherwell FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 52.
  • 57' That is a card for Motherwell FC. Callum Slattery will be fuming at that decision.
  • 59' Dan Casey does the damage! The net is bulging and Motherwell FC surge ahead!
  • 64' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 66' Harry Paton catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 66.
  • 71' Dan Casey catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 71.
  • 73' The referee calls foul for David Watson. He receives a card.
  • 78' Rory McKenzie gets the nod from Kilmarnock FC. He replaces Danny Armstrong and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 83' Motherwell FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 83.
  • 88' Motherwell FC currently sit 8 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 90' Paul McGinn catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 90.
  • 90' Innes Cameron has so much to prove this time. He replaces Kyle Vassell on 90 minute.
  • Kilmarnock FC will have plenty to reflect on. Motherwell FC were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.09 Motherwell FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.93 Kilmarnock FC xG
I would bet for: Motherwell FC to win 61% + Over 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Motherwell FC61% Draw22% Kilmarnock FC17%
Actual: Motherwell FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 3.02
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 57%
43%
± 3.5 35%
65%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

Motherwell FC or Draw
83%
Draw or Kilmarnock FC
39%
Motherwell FC or Kilmarnock FC
78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Motherwell FC45% Draw42% Kilmarnock FC13%
Actual: Kilmarnock FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
10.5%
1 – 1
10.3%
1 – 0
9.6%
2 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
7.1%
3 – 1
6.6%
0 – 0
6.5%
2 – 2
4.4%
1 – 2
4.3%
0 – 1
3.8%
4 – 0
3.7%
4 – 1
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Motherwell FC

Handicap Motherwell FC covers Push Kilmarnock FC covers
-2.5 20% 80%
-2 20% 19% 60%
-1.5 40% 60%
-1 40% 23% 37%
-0.5 63% 37%
+0.5 85% 15%
+1 85% 10% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Motherwell FC keeps clean sheet
40%
Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
13%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.