Sunday , 16 August 2026

Motherwell FC vs Kilmarnock FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2023-24
Sat 26 Aug 2023 · 14:00 UTC Fir Park 5,758 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 12' Marley Watkins
Dan Casey 59' 1–1
Harry Paton 90+8' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

Motherwell FC vs Kilmarnock FCPremier League at Fir Park.

Match Details

  • Referee
  • Assistant 1 Alan Mulvanny
  • Assistant 2 Gordon Crawford

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Aug Kilmarnock FC H 2–1 W
13 Aug Hibernian FC H 2–1 W
05 Aug Dundee FC A 1–1 D
28 May Dundee United FC H 3–2 W
24 May Livingston FC A 1–1 D
20 May Ross County FC H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Aug Motherwell FC A 1–2 L
13 Aug Heart of Midlothian FC A 0–0 D
05 Aug Rangers FC H 1–0 W
28 May Ross County FC H 3–1 W
24 May Dundee United FC A 3–0 W
20 May St. Johnstone FC H 0–1 L

Season Stats

Motherwell FC Kilmarnock FC
#3 Position #12
4 Points 0
2 Played 2
1 / 1 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 2
2 Scored 4
1 Conceded 9
+1 GD -5
2.00 PPG 0.00
50% Win % 0%

Key Stats

48% Both Teams to Score
H2H (23 games)
43% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
Motherwell FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Kilmarnock FC this season

Motherwell FC are 3rd (4 pts). Kilmarnock FC are 12th (0 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Motherwell FC
0-15
/
16-30
/
31-45
1/
46-60
/1
61-75
/
76+
1/
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Kilmarnock FC
0-15
/1
16-30
/1
31-45
1/2
46-60
3/2
61-75
/2
76+
/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. Kilmarnock FC get us underway at Fir Park.
  • 5' Dan Casey, a Ireland , has 18 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 10' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 12' Marley Watkins doubles the advantage! 0-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 17' With 1 assists to his name this season, Lewis Mayo is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Motherwell FC.
  • 22' A quiet spell here at Fir Park. Kilmarnock FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 27' Kilmarnock FC is showing some good football. However, Kilmarnock FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 32' The referee shows Kilmarnock FC player a card on 32.
  • 37' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Joe Efford made 294 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 42' Kilmarnock FC have won 274 goals from 261 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 43' The referee has no hesitation. Stephen O'Donnell is booked for Motherwell FC — card on 43.
  • 46' Motherwell FC make a change. Joe Efford trudges off to be replaced by Harry Paton on 46 minutes.
  • 51' Kilmarnock FC come into this ranked 11 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 52' The referee calls foul for Brodie Spencer. He receives a card.
  • 57' The referee has no hesitation. Callum Slattery is booked for Motherwell FC — card on 57.
  • 59' Dan Casey adds to his 0 season tally! Motherwell FC lead 1-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 64' Bevis Mugabi is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Kilmarnock FC so far.
  • 66' Harry Paton was booked on 66.
  • 71' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Dan Casey on 71 minutes.
  • 73' David Watson was booked on 73.
  • 78' A change in the Kilmarnock FC ranks — Danny Armstrong exits the field as Rory McKenzie enters on 78.
  • 83' Robbie Deas is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Kilmarnock FC tonight.
  • 88' Over 88 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 90' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Paul McGinn on 90 minutes.
  • 90' The whistle greets Kyle Vassell as he departs to be replaced by Innes Cameron.
  • Motherwell FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.61 Motherwell FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.92 Kilmarnock FC xG
I would bet for: Motherwell FC to win 68% + Over 2.5 goals 67%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Motherwell FC68% Draw19% Kilmarnock FC13%
Actual: Motherwell FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 3.53
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 86%
14%
± 2.5 67%
33%
± 3.5 46%
54%
± 4.5 28%
72%

Double Chance

Motherwell FC or Draw
86%
Draw or Kilmarnock FC
32%
Motherwell FC or Kilmarnock FC
81%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Motherwell FC53% Draw36% Kilmarnock FC11%
Actual: Kilmarnock FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
10%
2 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
8.4%
1 – 1
7.8%
3 – 1
7.7%
1 – 0
7.4%
4 – 0
5.5%
4 – 1
5.1%
0 – 0
4.2%
2 – 2
4.1%
3 – 2
3.6%
1 – 2
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Motherwell FC

Handicap Motherwell FC covers Push Kilmarnock FC covers
-2.5 31% 69%
-2 31% 21% 49%
-1.5 51% 49%
-1 51% 21% 28%
-0.5 72% 28%
+0.5 89% 11%
+1 89% 7% 4%
+1.5 96% 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Motherwell FC keeps clean sheet
40%
Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
8%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.