Kilmarnock FC vs Ross County FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Kilmarnock FC vs Ross County FC — Premier League at Rugby Park.
- Kilmarnock FC 33 games · 28 pts (2026/27)
- Ross County FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Kevin Clancy
- Assistant 1 Sean Carr
- Assistant 2 Colin Drummond (Scotland)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heart of Midlothian FC | 33 | 70 |
| 2 | Rangers FC | 33 | 69 |
| 3 | Celtic FC | 33 | 67 |
| 4 | Motherwell FC | 33 | 54 |
| 5 | Hibernian FC | 33 | 51 |
| 6 | Falkirk FC | 33 | 46 |
| 7 | Dundee United FC | 33 | 40 |
| 8 | Aberdeen FC | 33 | 33 |
| 9 | Dundee FC | 33 | 33 |
| 10 | St. Mirren FC | 33 | 30 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock FC | 33 | 28 |
| 12 | Livingston FC | 33 | 16 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep | Ross County FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Aug | Motherwell FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 13 Aug | Heart of Midlothian FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 05 Aug | Rangers FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 28 May | Ross County FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 24 May | Dundee United FC | A | 3–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep | Kilmarnock FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Aug | Rangers FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 12 Aug | St. Johnstone FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 05 Aug | Celtic FC | A | 2–4 | L |
| 28 May | Kilmarnock FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 24 May | St. Johnstone FC | H | 3–3 | D |
Key Stats
39%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
44%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Rugby Park!
- 5' Danny Armstrong is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Ross County FC tonight.
- 10' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 15' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 20' Ross County FC come into this ranked 12 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 25' Kilmarnock FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Ross County FC's shape.
- 30' Kilmarnock FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 33' The referee has no hesitation. Connor Randall is booked for Ross County FC — card on 33.
- 38' Ross County FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 43' Ross County FC have won 224 goals from 212 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 45' That is a card for Ross County FC. Simon Murray will be fuming at that decision.
- 50' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 53' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Simon Murray makes no mistake. 0-1!
- 58' Ryan Leak needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 63' Over 63 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 66' Yan Dhanda has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 66.
- 66' Andrew Dallas gets the nod from Kilmarnock FC. He replaces Thomas Davies and will look to change the dynamic.
- 71' Will Dennis has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 2 cards already picked up this season.
- 72' Another substitution for Ross County FC to replace Yan Dhanda by Eamonn Brophy on 72 minute.
- 77' Both keepers have barely been tested. Kilmarnock FC and Ross County FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 82' Ross County FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 82.
- 85' Poor challenge from Josh Reid. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 87' Poor challenge from James Brown. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 89' A tactical swap from Kilmarnock FC — Innes Cameron on, Brad Lyons off on 89 minutes.
- 90' Time for substitution for Ross County FC. Kyle Turner is replaced by Dylan Smith.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Ross County FC players.
Lineups
Kilmarnock FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
23
Marley Watkins ↓ Joe Wright 89'
-
8
Brad Lyons ↓ Innes Cameron 89'
- 17
- 16
-
5
Lewis Mayo ↓ Fraser Murray 89'
- 1
- 6
- 11
-
12
David Watson ↓ Rory McKenzie 66'
-
19
Thomas Davies ↓ Andrew Dallas 66'
- 10
Bench
-
19
Joe Wright ↑ 89'
-
7
Rory McKenzie ↑ 66'
-
15
Fraser Murray ↑ 89'
- 20
-
21
Andrew Dallas ↑ 66'
- 31
-
18
Innes Cameron ↑ 89'
- 25
- 14
Coach
Derek McInnes
Ross County FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 35
-
10
Yan Dhanda ↓ Eamonn Brophy 72'
- 5
- 2
- 1
-
15
Simon Murray ↓ Victor Loturi 72'
- 26
-
43
Josh Reid ↓ George Harmon 89'
- 42
- 4
-
7
Kyle Turner ↓ Dylan Smith 90'
Bench
- 11
- 3
-
27
Eamonn Brophy ↑ 72'
- 21
- 17
- 18
-
16
George Harmon ↑ 89'
-
30
Dylan Smith ↑ 90'
-
14
Victor Loturi ↑ 72'
Coach
Malky Mackay
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Chris Burke | 3 |
| Eamonn Brophy | 3 |
| Nicke Kabamba | 2 |
| Danny Armstrong | 2 |
| Yan Dhanda | 2 |
| Eamonn Brophy | 2 |
| Jordan White | 2 |
| Kyle Lafferty | 2 |
Head to Head
Kilmarnock FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.28
Kilmarnock FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.09
Ross County FC xG
I would bet for:
Kilmarnock FC or Ross County FC 70% + Under 2.5 goals 58%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Ross County FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.37
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 2.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
| ± 3.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
Kilmarnock FC or Draw
70%
Draw or Ross County FC
60%
Kilmarnock FC or Ross County FC
70%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14%
0 – 0
11.5%
1 – 0
10.8%
0 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
8.1%
2 – 0
7.4%
1 – 2
6.8%
0 – 2
5.3%
2 – 2
4.5%
3 – 1
3.5%
3 – 0
3.1%
1 – 3
2.5%
Asian Handicap — Kilmarnock FC
| Handicap | Kilmarnock FC covers | Push | Ross County FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 12% | 82% |
| -1.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -1 | 18% | 21% | 61% |
| -0.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| +0.5 | 70% | — | 30% |
| +1 | 70% | 18% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 8% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
34%
✓
Ross County FC keeps clean sheet
28%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

