Thursday , 2 July 2026

Kilmarnock FC vs Ross County FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2023-24
Sat 2 Sep 2023 · 14:00 UTC Rugby Park 5,258 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 53' Simon Murray

Overview

Match Preview

Kilmarnock FC vs Ross County FCPremier League at Rugby Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Kevin Clancy
  • Assistant 1 Sean Carr
  • Assistant 2 Colin Drummond (Scotland)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Sep Ross County FC H 0–1 L
26 Aug Motherwell FC A 1–2 L
13 Aug Heart of Midlothian FC A 0–0 D
05 Aug Rangers FC H 1–0 W
28 May Ross County FC H 3–1 W
24 May Dundee United FC A 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Sep Kilmarnock FC A 1–0 W
26 Aug Rangers FC H 0–2 L
12 Aug St. Johnstone FC H 2–0 W
05 Aug Celtic FC A 2–4 L
28 May Kilmarnock FC A 1–3 L
24 May St. Johnstone FC H 3–3 D

Key Stats

39% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Rugby Park!
  • 5' Danny Armstrong is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Ross County FC tonight.
  • 10' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 15' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 20' Ross County FC come into this ranked 12 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 25' Kilmarnock FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Ross County FC's shape.
  • 30' Kilmarnock FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 33' The referee has no hesitation. Connor Randall is booked for Ross County FC — card on 33.
  • 38' Ross County FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 43' Ross County FC have won 224 goals from 212 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 45' That is a card for Ross County FC. Simon Murray will be fuming at that decision.
  • 50' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 53' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Simon Murray makes no mistake. 0-1!
  • 58' Ryan Leak needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 63' Over 63 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 66' Yan Dhanda has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 66.
  • 66' Andrew Dallas gets the nod from Kilmarnock FC. He replaces Thomas Davies and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 71' Will Dennis has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 2 cards already picked up this season.
  • 72' Another substitution for Ross County FC to replace Yan Dhanda by Eamonn Brophy on 72 minute.
  • 77' Both keepers have barely been tested. Kilmarnock FC and Ross County FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 82' Ross County FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 82.
  • 85' Poor challenge from Josh Reid. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 87' Poor challenge from James Brown. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 89' A tactical swap from Kilmarnock FCInnes Cameron on, Brad Lyons off on 89 minutes.
  • 90' Time for substitution for Ross County FC. Kyle Turner is replaced by Dylan Smith.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Ross County FC players.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.28 Kilmarnock FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.09 Ross County FC xG
I would bet for: Kilmarnock FC or Ross County FC 70% + Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Kilmarnock FC40% Draw30% Ross County FC30%
Actual: Ross County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.37
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Kilmarnock FC or Draw
70%
Draw or Ross County FC
60%
Kilmarnock FC or Ross County FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Kilmarnock FC28% Draw50% Ross County FC22%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14%
0 – 0
11.5%
1 – 0
10.8%
0 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
8.1%
2 – 0
7.4%
1 – 2
6.8%
0 – 2
5.3%
2 – 2
4.5%
3 – 1
3.5%
3 – 0
3.1%
1 – 3
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Kilmarnock FC

Handicap Kilmarnock FC covers Push Ross County FC covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 12% 82%
-1.5 18% 82%
-1 18% 21% 61%
-0.5 39% 61%
+0.5 70% 30%
+1 70% 18% 12%
+1.5 88% 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
34%
Ross County FC keeps clean sheet
28%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.