Kilmarnock FC vs Hibernian FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Kilmarnock FC vs Hibernian FC — Premier League at Rugby Park.
- Kilmarnock FC 33 games · 28 pts (2026/27)
- Hibernian FC 33 games · 51 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee David Dickinson
- Assistant 1 Jonathan Bell (Scotland)
- Assistant 2 John Stewart (Scotland)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heart of Midlothian FC | 33 | 70 |
| 2 | Rangers FC | 33 | 69 |
| 3 | Celtic FC | 33 | 67 |
| 4 | Motherwell FC | 33 | 54 |
| 5 | Hibernian FC | 33 | 51 |
| 6 | Falkirk FC | 33 | 46 |
| 7 | Dundee United FC | 33 | 40 |
| 8 | Aberdeen FC | 33 | 33 |
| 9 | Dundee FC | 33 | 33 |
| 10 | St. Mirren FC | 33 | 30 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock FC | 33 | 28 |
| 12 | Livingston FC | 33 | 16 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep | Hibernian FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 02 Sep | Ross County FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Aug | Motherwell FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 13 Aug | Heart of Midlothian FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 05 Aug | Rangers FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 28 May | Ross County FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep | Kilmarnock FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 03 Sep | Aberdeen FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 26 Aug | Livingston FC | H | 2–3 | L |
| 13 Aug | Motherwell FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 06 Aug | St. Mirren FC | H | 2–3 | L |
| 27 May | Heart of Midlothian FC | A | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| Kilmarnock FC | Hibernian FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #11 | Position | #5 |
| 28 | Points | 51 |
| 33 | Played | 33 |
| 6 / 10 / 17 | W / D / L | 13 / 12 / 8 |
| 37 | Scored | 51 |
| 65 | Conceded | 37 |
| -28 | GD | +14 |
| 0.85 | PPG | 1.55 |
| 18% | Win % | 39% |
Key Stats
45%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
H2H (22 games)
45%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Kilmarnock FC are 11th (28 pts). Hibernian FC are 5th (51 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' Temperatures are rising at Rugby Park as Kilmarnock FC face off against Hibernian FC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
- 5' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Kilmarnock FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 8' Will Dennis adds to his 0 season tally! Kilmarnock FC lead 1-0 — and this changes everything.
- 13' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 18' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 23' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Kilmarnock FC and Hibernian FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 24' Lewis Miller was booked on 24.
- 29' Christian Doidge has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 34' Joe Wright needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 2 Red cards this season.
- 39' With 0 assists to his name this season, Elie Youan is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Hibernian FC.
- 44' Time for substitution for Kilmarnock FC. Will Dennis is replaced by Kieran O'Hara.
- 45' Poor challenge from Kyle Vassell. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 46' Hibernian FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Adam Le Fondre is hanging Christian Doidge on the field on 46 minute.
- 50' Brad Lyons was booked on 50.
- 54' That looks like a foul for a card for Will Fish.
- 59' Dylan Vente doubles the advantage! 1-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 61' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Kyle Vassell makes no mistake. 2-1!
- 66' Hibernian FC make a change. Dylan Vente trudges off to be replaced by Josh Campbell on 66 minutes.
- 68' That is a card for Kilmarnock FC. Danny Armstrong will be fuming at that decision.
- 73' Brad Lyons has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 78' Joe Newell has been relatively quiet despite scoring 8 goals in his last 357 appearances.
- 79' What a strike from Joe Wright! The score is 3-1.
- 81' Robbie Deas picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 85' Jordan Obita has so much to prove this time. He replaces Lewis Stevenson on 85 minute.
- 87' Another change for Kilmarnock FC made on 87 minute. Danny Armstrong leaves to be changed by Fraser Murray.
- 89' That looks like a foul for a card for Martin Boyle.
- 90' It’s a booking for Kilmarnock FC player. Kyle Magennis gets a card.
- The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.
Lineups
Kilmarnock FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
23
Marley Watkins ↓ Andrew Dallas 87'
- 19
-
8
Brad Lyons ↓ David Watson 66'
- 9
- 17
- 16
- 5
-
1
Will Dennis ↓ Kieran O'Hara 44'
- 6
-
11
Danny Armstrong ↓ Fraser Murray 87'
- 10
Bench
- 7
-
15
Fraser Murray ↑ 87'
-
20
Kieran O'Hara ↑ 44'
-
21
Andrew Dallas ↑ 87'
- 31
- 18
- 14
-
12
David Watson ↑ 66'
- 19
Coach
Derek McInnes
Hibernian FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 23
- 11
-
9
Dylan Vente ↓ Josh Campbell 66'
- 10
-
16
Lewis Stevenson ↓ Jordan Obita 85'
- 33
-
7
Elie Youan ↓ Jair Tavares 85'
- 2
- 14
- 5
Bench
-
21
Jordan Obita ↑ 85'
-
19
Adam Le Fondre ↑ 46'
- 4
-
32
Josh Campbell ↑ 66'
- 6
- 28
- 26
-
10
Jair Tavares ↑ 85'
- 25
Coach
Nick Montgomery
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Eamonn Brophy | 4 |
| Joe Newell | 3 |
| Martin Boyle | 3 |
| Greg Stewart | 2 |
| Chris Burke | 2 |
| Alan Power | 1 |
| Dylan Vente | 1 |
| Liam Millar | 1 |
Head to Head
Kilmarnock FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.07
Kilmarnock FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.79
Hibernian FC xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 55%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.86
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 78% |
|
22% |
| ± 2.5 | 54% |
|
46% |
| ± 3.5 | 32% |
|
68% |
| ± 4.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
Double Chance
Kilmarnock FC or Draw
54%
Draw or Hibernian FC
72%
Kilmarnock FC or Hibernian FC
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Hibernian FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.8%
1 – 2
9.4%
0 – 1
9.4%
0 – 2
9%
0 – 0
7.5%
1 – 3
5.7%
2 – 1
5.6%
0 – 3
5.3%
1 – 0
5.2%
2 – 2
Actual
2 – 0
3.2%
2 – 3
3.1%
Asian Handicap — Kilmarnock FC
| Handicap | Kilmarnock FC covers | Push | Hibernian FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 6% | 92% |
| -1.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -1 | 8% | 13% | 79% |
| -0.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| +0.5 | 47% | — | 53% |
| +1 | 47% | 23% | 30% |
| +1.5 | 70% | — | 30% |
| +2 | 70% | 16% | 14% |
| +2.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
Clean Sheet
Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Hibernian FC keeps clean sheet
35%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

