Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Kilmarnock FC vs Hibernian FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2023-24
Sat 16 Sep 2023 · 14:00 UTC Rugby Park 6,277 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 8' Will Dennis og
0–2 59' Dylan Vente
Kyle Vassell 61' 1–2
Joe Wright 79' 2–2

Overview

Match Preview

Kilmarnock FC vs Hibernian FC — Premier League at Rugby Park.

Match Details

  • Referee David Dickinson
  • Assistant 1 Jonathan Bell (Scotland)
  • Assistant 2 John Stewart (Scotland)
4 games this season 🟨 5.3/game ⚽ 12.3 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Sep Hibernian FC H 2–2 D
02 Sep Ross County FC H 0–1 L
26 Aug Motherwell FC A 1–2 L
13 Aug Heart of Midlothian FC A 0–0 D
05 Aug Rangers FC H 1–0 W
28 May Ross County FC H 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Sep Kilmarnock FC A 2–2 D
03 Sep Aberdeen FC A 2–0 W
26 Aug Livingston FC H 2–3 L
13 Aug Motherwell FC A 1–2 L
06 Aug St. Mirren FC H 2–3 L
27 May Heart of Midlothian FC A 1–1 D

Season Stats

Kilmarnock FC Hibernian FC
#12 Position #10
5 Points 7
7 Played 7
1 / 2 / 4 W / D / L 2 / 1 / 4
6 Scored 8
15 Conceded 11
-9 GD -3
0.71 PPG 1.00
14% Win % 29%

Key Stats

43% Both Teams to Score
H2H (23 games)
43% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
29% Clean Sheets
Kilmarnock FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Hibernian FC this season

Kilmarnock FC are 12th (5 pts). Hibernian FC are 10th (7 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Kilmarnock FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
–/2
76+
–/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Hibernian FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/2
31-45
–/4
46-60
2/–
61-75
2/1
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Hibernian FC
Martin Boyle 3 G
Callum Wright 2 G
Josh Campbell 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Rugby Park. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' Hibernian FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 8' Kilmarnock FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Will Dennis on 8.
  • 13' A quiet spell here at Rugby Park. Kilmarnock FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 18' Supporters expect more eagerness from Lewis Mayo, as he is very good at scoring at Rugby Park with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 23' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 24' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Lewis Miller on 24 minutes.
  • 29' Elie Youan has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 5 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 34' Kilmarnock FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 34.
  • 39' It’s high time Derek McInnes made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 44' The whistle greets Will Dennis as he departs to be replaced by Kieran O'Hara.
  • 45' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Kyle Vassell on 45 minutes.
  • 46' Adam Le Fondre gets the nod from Hibernian FC. He replaces Christian Doidge and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 50' The referee shows Kilmarnock FC player a card on 50.
  • 54' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Will Fish on 54 minutes.
  • 59' Dylan Vente makes no mistake. The score reads 1-1 and Hibernian FC are in front.
  • 61' The Northern Ireland Kyle Vassell breaks the deadlock on 61 minutes. 2-1!
  • 66' The whistle greets Dylan Vente as he departs to be replaced by Josh Campbell.
  • 68' It’s a booking for Kilmarnock FC player. Danny Armstrong gets a card.
  • 73' Kilmarnock FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Hibernian FC backline.
  • 78' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 79' Brilliant from the defender! Joe Wright makes it 3-1 with a superb finish on 79.
  • 81' Controversy at the stadium! Robbie Deas argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 85' Lewis Stevenson makes way for Jordan Obita at the 85 minute mark. A tactical switch from Hibernian FC.
  • 87' Fraser Murray is replacing Danny Armstrong for the Kilmarnock FC side.
  • 89' Martin Boyle picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 90' Kyle Magennis picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.15 Kilmarnock FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.65 Hibernian FC xG
I would bet for: Kilmarnock FC or Hibernian FC 73% + Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Kilmarnock FC31% Draw27% Hibernian FC42%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.8
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

Kilmarnock FC or Draw
58%
Draw or Hibernian FC
69%
Kilmarnock FC or Hibernian FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Kilmarnock FC20% Draw46% Hibernian FC34%
Actual: Hibernian FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.4%
1 – 2
9.2%
0 – 1
9.1%
0 – 2
8.1%
0 – 0
8%
2 – 1
6.4%
1 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
Actual
1 – 3
5%
0 – 3
4.4%
2 – 0
4%
2 – 3
3%

Asian Handicap — Kilmarnock FC

Handicap Kilmarnock FC covers Push Hibernian FC covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 7% 90%
-1.5 10% — 90%
-1 10% 15% 75%
-0.5 25% — 75%
+0.5 52% — 48%
+1 52% 22% 26%
+1.5 74% — 26%
+2 74% 15% 11%
+2.5 89% — 11%

Clean Sheet

Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
20% ✓
Hibernian FC keeps clean sheet
32% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.