Thursday , 2 July 2026

Kilmarnock FC vs Hibernian FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2023-24
Sat 16 Sep 2023 · 14:00 UTC Rugby Park 6,277 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 8' Will Dennis og
0–2 59' Dylan Vente
Kyle Vassell 61' 1–2
Joe Wright 79' 2–2

Overview

Match Preview

Kilmarnock FC vs Hibernian FCPremier League at Rugby Park.

Match Details

  • Referee David Dickinson
  • Assistant 1 Jonathan Bell (Scotland)
  • Assistant 2 John Stewart (Scotland)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Sep Hibernian FC H 2–2 D
02 Sep Ross County FC H 0–1 L
26 Aug Motherwell FC A 1–2 L
13 Aug Heart of Midlothian FC A 0–0 D
05 Aug Rangers FC H 1–0 W
28 May Ross County FC H 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Sep Kilmarnock FC A 2–2 D
03 Sep Aberdeen FC A 2–0 W
26 Aug Livingston FC H 2–3 L
13 Aug Motherwell FC A 1–2 L
06 Aug St. Mirren FC H 2–3 L
27 May Heart of Midlothian FC A 1–1 D

Season Stats

Kilmarnock FC Hibernian FC
#11 Position #5
28 Points 51
33 Played 33
6 / 10 / 17 W / D / L 13 / 12 / 8
37 Scored 51
65 Conceded 37
-28 GD +14
0.85 PPG 1.55
18% Win % 39%

Key Stats

45% Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
45% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Kilmarnock FC are 11th (28 pts). Hibernian FC are 5th (51 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at Rugby Park as Kilmarnock FC face off against Hibernian FC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • 5' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Kilmarnock FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 8' Will Dennis adds to his 0 season tally! Kilmarnock FC lead 1-0 — and this changes everything.
  • 13' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 18' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 23' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Kilmarnock FC and Hibernian FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 24' Lewis Miller was booked on 24.
  • 29' Christian Doidge has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 34' Joe Wright needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 2 Red cards this season.
  • 39' With 0 assists to his name this season, Elie Youan is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Hibernian FC.
  • 44' Time for substitution for Kilmarnock FC. Will Dennis is replaced by Kieran O'Hara.
  • 45' Poor challenge from Kyle Vassell. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 46' Hibernian FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Adam Le Fondre is hanging Christian Doidge on the field on 46 minute.
  • 50' Brad Lyons was booked on 50.
  • 54' That looks like a foul for a card for Will Fish.
  • 59' Dylan Vente doubles the advantage! 1-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 61' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Kyle Vassell makes no mistake. 2-1!
  • 66' Hibernian FC make a change. Dylan Vente trudges off to be replaced by Josh Campbell on 66 minutes.
  • 68' That is a card for Kilmarnock FC. Danny Armstrong will be fuming at that decision.
  • 73' Brad Lyons has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 78' Joe Newell has been relatively quiet despite scoring 8 goals in his last 357 appearances.
  • 79' What a strike from Joe Wright! The score is 3-1.
  • 81' Robbie Deas picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 85' Jordan Obita has so much to prove this time. He replaces Lewis Stevenson on 85 minute.
  • 87' Another change for Kilmarnock FC made on 87 minute. Danny Armstrong leaves to be changed by Fraser Murray.
  • 89' That looks like a foul for a card for Martin Boyle.
  • 90' It’s a booking for Kilmarnock FC player. Kyle Magennis gets a card.
  • The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.07 Kilmarnock FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.79 Hibernian FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 55%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Kilmarnock FC28% Draw26% Hibernian FC46%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.86
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 54%
46%
± 3.5 32%
68%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

Kilmarnock FC or Draw
54%
Draw or Hibernian FC
72%
Kilmarnock FC or Hibernian FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Kilmarnock FC18% Draw44% Hibernian FC38%
Actual: Hibernian FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.8%
1 – 2
9.4%
0 – 1
9.4%
0 – 2
9%
0 – 0
7.5%
1 – 3
5.7%
2 – 1
5.6%
0 – 3
5.3%
1 – 0
5.2%
2 – 2
Actual
2 – 0
3.2%
2 – 3
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Kilmarnock FC

Handicap Kilmarnock FC covers Push Hibernian FC covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 6% 92%
-1.5 8% 92%
-1 8% 13% 79%
-0.5 21% 79%
+0.5 47% 53%
+1 47% 23% 30%
+1.5 70% 30%
+2 70% 16% 14%
+2.5 86% 14%

Clean Sheet

Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
18%
Hibernian FC keeps clean sheet
35%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.