Saturday , 14 November 2026

Kilmarnock FC vs Livingston FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2023-24
Sat 21 Oct 2023 · 14:00 UTC Rugby Park 4,679 HT 45' · FT 45'
Danny Armstrong 16' 1–0
1–1 35' Sean Kelly pen
Kyle Vassell 42' 2–1
Kyle Vassell 60' 3–1

Overview

Match Preview

Kilmarnock FC vs Livingston FC — Premier League at Rugby Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Craig Napier
  • Assistant 1 Ross MacLeod
  • Assistant 2 Gordon McCabe (Scotland)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Oct Livingston FC H 3–1 W
07 Oct Celtic FC A 1–3 L
30 Sep St. Mirren FC H 1–1 D
23 Sep Dundee FC A 2–2 D
16 Sep Hibernian FC H 2–2 D
02 Sep Ross County FC H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Oct Kilmarnock FC A 1–3 L
07 Oct Motherwell FC H 2–0 W
30 Sep St. Johnstone FC A 1–1 D
23 Sep Celtic FC H 0–3 L
16 Sep Ross County FC A 1–1 D
02 Sep St. Mirren FC H 1–1 D

Key Stats

47% Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
47% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
15% Clean Sheets
Kilmarnock FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Kilmarnock FC
0-15
2/4
16-30
1/4
31-45
3/8
46-60
4/3
61-75
2/3
76+
1/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Kilmarnock FC
Greg Kiltie 3 G
Joe Hugill 2 G 2 A
Michael Schjonning-Larsen 2 G
Jason Holt 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Rugby Park will turn into a battlefield for Kilmarnock FC and Livingston FC.
  • 5' The energy levels are beginning to show. might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 10' A quiet spell here at Rugby Park. Livingston FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 15' Kilmarnock FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 16' Danny Armstrong is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 21' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 26' Livingston FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 31' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 35' Sean Kelly does the damage! The net is bulging and Livingston FC surge ahead!
  • 38' The referee does not hesitate — a card for David Watson on 38 minutes.
  • 42' Sensational shot from Kyle Vassell. Kilmarnock FC is back in the lead.
  • 47' Supporters expect more eagerness from Lewis Mayo, as he is very good at scoring at Rugby Park with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 50' Brad Lyons picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 55' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Corrie Ndaba suffering a number of foals already.
  • 58' Kurtis Guthrie has so much to prove this time. He replaces Daniel MacKay on 58 minute.
  • 60' Against the run of play, Kyle Vassell has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 64' Cristian Montano has so much to prove this time. He replaces Jason Holt on 64 minute.
  • 69' Joel Nouble is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Livingston FC so far.
  • 74' Livingston FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 79' Time for substitution for Livingston FC. Mo Sangare is replaced by Andrew Shinnie.
  • 80' The Kilmarnock FC manager makes a substitution. Kyle Vassell departs to be replaced by Rory McKenzie.
  • 81' Matty Kennedy is replacing Danny Armstrong for the Kilmarnock FC side.
  • 86' Livingston FC come into this ranked 7 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 90' The supporters are chanting for Andrew Dallas. He replaces Liam Polworth on 90 minute.
  • Full Time. Kilmarnock FC beats Livingston FC

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.55 Kilmarnock FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.2 Livingston FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Kilmarnock FC46% Draw27% Livingston FC27%
Actual: Kilmarnock FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.75
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Kilmarnock FC or Draw
72%
Draw or Livingston FC
54%
Kilmarnock FC or Livingston FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Kilmarnock FC32% Draw46% Livingston FC22%
Actual: Kilmarnock FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.8%
1 – 0
9%
2 – 1
8.9%
0 – 0
8.3%
2 – 0
7.5%
1 – 2
6.9%
0 – 1
6.7%
2 – 2
5.4%
3 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
4.5%
3 – 0
3.8%
3 – 2
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Kilmarnock FC

Handicap Kilmarnock FC covers Push Livingston FC covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 13% 77%
-1.5 23% — 77%
-1 23% 21% 56%
-0.5 44% — 56%
+0.5 72% — 28%
+1 72% 16% 12%
+1.5 88% — 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
31% ✓
Livingston FC keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.