Kilmarnock FC vs Livingston FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Kilmarnock FC vs Livingston FC — Premier League at Rugby Park.
- Kilmarnock FC 33 games · 28 pts (2026/27)
- Livingston FC 33 games · 16 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Craig Napier
- Assistant 1 Ross MacLeod
- Assistant 2 Gordon McCabe (Scotland)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heart of Midlothian FC | 33 | 70 |
| 2 | Rangers FC | 33 | 69 |
| 3 | Celtic FC | 33 | 67 |
| 4 | Motherwell FC | 33 | 54 |
| 5 | Hibernian FC | 33 | 51 |
| 6 | Falkirk FC | 33 | 46 |
| 7 | Dundee United FC | 33 | 40 |
| 8 | Aberdeen FC | 33 | 33 |
| 9 | Dundee FC | 33 | 33 |
| 10 | St. Mirren FC | 33 | 30 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock FC | 33 | 28 |
| 12 | Livingston FC | 33 | 16 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct | Livingston FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 07 Oct | Celtic FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 30 Sep | St. Mirren FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Sep | Dundee FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 16 Sep | Hibernian FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 02 Sep | Ross County FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct | Kilmarnock FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 07 Oct | Motherwell FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 30 Sep | St. Johnstone FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Sep | Celtic FC | H | 0–3 | L |
| 16 Sep | Ross County FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 02 Sep | St. Mirren FC | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| Kilmarnock FC | Livingston FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #11 | Position | #12 |
| 28 | Points | 16 |
| 33 | Played | 33 |
| 6 / 10 / 17 | W / D / L | 1 / 13 / 19 |
| 37 | Scored | 35 |
| 65 | Conceded | 66 |
| -28 | GD | -31 |
| 0.85 | PPG | 0.48 |
| 18% | Win % | 3% |
Key Stats
47%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
H2H (19 games)
47%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Kilmarnock FC are 11th (28 pts). Livingston FC are 12th (16 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Rugby Park!
- 5' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 5 minutes.
- 10' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 15' Livingston FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 16' Brilliant from the ! Danny Armstrong makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 16.
- 21' A quiet spell here at Rugby Park. Kilmarnock FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 26' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 31' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 35' What a strike from Sean Kelly! The score is 1-1.
- 38' David Watson was booked on 38.
- 42' Assisted by Danny Armstrong with the perfectly-timed delivery and Kyle Vassell makes no mistake. 2-1!
- 47' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 50' That looks like a foul for a card for Brad Lyons.
- 55' Michael Devlin, a Scotland , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 58' Kurtis Guthrie is replacing Daniel MacKay for the Livingston FC side.
- 60' Brilliant from the ! Kyle Vassell makes it 3-1 with a superb finish on 60.
- 64' A tactical swap from Livingston FC — Cristian Montano on, Jason Holt off on 64 minutes.
- 69' Kilmarnock FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 74' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 79' Another substitution for Livingston FC to replace Mo Sangare by Andrew Shinnie on 79 minute.
- 80' The supporters are chanting for Rory McKenzie. He replaces Kyle Vassell on 80 minute.
- 81' The crowd applauds Danny Armstrong as he leaves the pitch. Matty Kennedy steps in for Kilmarnock FC.
- 86' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 90' The crowd applauds Liam Polworth as he leaves the pitch. Andrew Dallas steps in for Kilmarnock FC.
- The points are shared — Kilmarnock FC 3-1 Livingston FC. Honours even.
Lineups
Kilmarnock FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 23
- 19
- 8
- 9
- 17
- 3
- 31
- 5
- 1
- 11
- 12
Bench
- 15
- 20
- 6
- 14
- 19
Livingston FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 18
- 5
- 9
- 8
- 1
- 24
- 29
- 11
- 19
- 23
- 20
Bench
- 32
- 12
- 10
- 14
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Sean Kelly | 3 |
| Kyle Vassell | 3 |
| Bruce Anderson | 2 |
| Scott Pittman | 2 |
| Joe Wright | 2 |
| Stephen Kelly | 2 |
| Chris Burke | 2 |
| Greg Stewart | 2 |
Head to Head
Kilmarnock FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.84
Kilmarnock FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.4
Livingston FC xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 63% + Over 2.5 goals 62%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Kilmarnock FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.24
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 2.5 | 62% |
|
38% |
| ± 3.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
| ± 4.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
Double Chance
Kilmarnock FC or Draw
72%
Draw or Livingston FC
53%
Kilmarnock FC or Livingston FC
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Kilmarnock FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.9%
2 – 1
8.9%
1 – 2
6.8%
2 – 0
6.6%
1 – 0
6.5%
2 – 2
6.2%
3 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
5.5%
0 – 1
4.7%
3 – 0
4%
3 – 2
3.9%
0 – 2
3.8%
Asian Handicap — Kilmarnock FC
| Handicap | Kilmarnock FC covers | Push | Livingston FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -2 | 12% | 14% | 74% |
| -1.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| -1 | 26% | 20% | 53% |
| -0.5 | 47% | — | 53% |
| +0.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +1 | 72% | 15% | 13% |
| +1.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +2 | 87% | 8% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
Livingston FC keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

