Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Kilmarnock FC vs Livingston FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2023-24
Sat 21 Oct 2023 · 14:00 UTC Rugby Park 4,679 HT 45' · FT 45'
Danny Armstrong 16' 1–0
1–1 35' Sean Kelly pen
Kyle Vassell 42' 2–1
Kyle Vassell 60' 3–1

Overview

Match Preview

Kilmarnock FC vs Livingston FC — Premier League at Rugby Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Craig Napier
  • Assistant 1 Ross MacLeod
  • Assistant 2 Gordon McCabe (Scotland)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Oct Livingston FC H 3–1 W
07 Oct Celtic FC A 1–3 L
30 Sep St. Mirren FC H 1–1 D
23 Sep Dundee FC A 2–2 D
16 Sep Hibernian FC H 2–2 D
02 Sep Ross County FC H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Oct Kilmarnock FC A 1–3 L
07 Oct Motherwell FC H 2–0 W
30 Sep St. Johnstone FC A 1–1 D
23 Sep Celtic FC H 0–3 L
16 Sep Ross County FC A 1–1 D
02 Sep St. Mirren FC H 1–1 D

Key Stats

47% Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
47% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
29% Clean Sheets
Kilmarnock FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Kilmarnock FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
–/2
76+
–/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Kilmarnock FC and Livingston FC is underway.
  • 5' A quiet spell here at Rugby Park. Livingston FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 10' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Livingston FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 15' Kilmarnock FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Livingston FC backline.
  • 16' A stunning finish from Danny Armstrong — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 21' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Michael Devlin suffering a number of foals already.
  • 26' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 31' Daniel MacKay needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 35' Sean Kelly has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 35 minutes.
  • 38' It’s gonna be a card for David Watson.
  • 42' Brilliant from the ! Kyle Vassell makes it 2-1 with a superb finish on 42.
  • 47' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 50' Brad Lyons catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 50.
  • 55' It is a cagey affair so far. Kilmarnock FC in their trying to find a way past Livingston FC's compact .
  • 58' Livingston FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Kurtis Guthrie is hanging Daniel MacKay on the field on 58 minute.
  • 60' What composure from Kyle Vassell! The Northern Ireland international strokes it home. 3-1.
  • 64' The crowd applauds Jason Holt as he leaves the pitch. Cristian Montano steps in for Livingston FC.
  • 69' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 74' Kilmarnock FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 79' Livingston FC make a change. Mo Sangare trudges off to be replaced by Andrew Shinnie on 79 minutes.
  • 80' Kilmarnock FC ring the changes. Kyle Vassell has done his job and it is now time for Rory McKenzie to step up.
  • 81' Matty Kennedy gets the nod from Kilmarnock FC. He replaces Danny Armstrong and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 86' Kilmarnock FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 86.
  • 90' Kilmarnock FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Andrew Dallas is hanging Liam Polworth on the field on 90 minute.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Kilmarnock FC players.

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.55 Kilmarnock FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.2 Livingston FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Kilmarnock FC46% Draw27% Livingston FC27%
Actual: Kilmarnock FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.75
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Kilmarnock FC or Draw
72%
Draw or Livingston FC
54%
Kilmarnock FC or Livingston FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Kilmarnock FC32% Draw46% Livingston FC22%
Actual: Kilmarnock FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.8%
1 – 0
9%
2 – 1
8.9%
0 – 0
8.3%
2 – 0
7.5%
1 – 2
6.9%
0 – 1
6.7%
2 – 2
5.4%
3 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
4.5%
3 – 0
3.8%
3 – 2
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Kilmarnock FC

Handicap Kilmarnock FC covers Push Livingston FC covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 13% 77%
-1.5 23% — 77%
-1 23% 21% 56%
-0.5 44% — 56%
+0.5 72% — 28%
+1 72% 16% 12%
+1.5 88% — 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
31% ✓
Livingston FC keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.