Thursday , 2 July 2026

Kilmarnock FC vs Livingston FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2023-24
Sat 21 Oct 2023 · 14:00 UTC Rugby Park 4,679 HT 45' · FT 45'
Danny Armstrong 16' 1–0
1–1 35' Sean Kelly pen
Kyle Vassell 42' 2–1
Kyle Vassell 60' 3–1

Overview

Match Preview

Kilmarnock FC vs Livingston FCPremier League at Rugby Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Craig Napier
  • Assistant 1 Ross MacLeod
  • Assistant 2 Gordon McCabe (Scotland)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Oct Livingston FC H 3–1 W
07 Oct Celtic FC A 1–3 L
30 Sep St. Mirren FC H 1–1 D
23 Sep Dundee FC A 2–2 D
16 Sep Hibernian FC H 2–2 D
02 Sep Ross County FC H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Oct Kilmarnock FC A 1–3 L
07 Oct Motherwell FC H 2–0 W
30 Sep St. Johnstone FC A 1–1 D
23 Sep Celtic FC H 0–3 L
16 Sep Ross County FC A 1–1 D
02 Sep St. Mirren FC H 1–1 D

Season Stats

Kilmarnock FC Livingston FC
#11 Position #12
28 Points 16
33 Played 33
6 / 10 / 17 W / D / L 1 / 13 / 19
37 Scored 35
65 Conceded 66
-28 GD -31
0.85 PPG 0.48
18% Win % 3%

Key Stats

47% Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
47% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Kilmarnock FC are 11th (28 pts). Livingston FC are 12th (16 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Rugby Park!
  • 5' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 5 minutes.
  • 10' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 15' Livingston FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 16' Brilliant from the ! Danny Armstrong makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 16.
  • 21' A quiet spell here at Rugby Park. Kilmarnock FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 26' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 31' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 35' What a strike from Sean Kelly! The score is 1-1.
  • 38' David Watson was booked on 38.
  • 42' Assisted by Danny Armstrong with the perfectly-timed delivery and Kyle Vassell makes no mistake. 2-1!
  • 47' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 50' That looks like a foul for a card for Brad Lyons.
  • 55' Michael Devlin, a Scotland , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 58' Kurtis Guthrie is replacing Daniel MacKay for the Livingston FC side.
  • 60' Brilliant from the ! Kyle Vassell makes it 3-1 with a superb finish on 60.
  • 64' A tactical swap from Livingston FCCristian Montano on, Jason Holt off on 64 minutes.
  • 69' Kilmarnock FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 74' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 79' Another substitution for Livingston FC to replace Mo Sangare by Andrew Shinnie on 79 minute.
  • 80' The supporters are chanting for Rory McKenzie. He replaces Kyle Vassell on 80 minute.
  • 81' The crowd applauds Danny Armstrong as he leaves the pitch. Matty Kennedy steps in for Kilmarnock FC.
  • 86' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 90' The crowd applauds Liam Polworth as he leaves the pitch. Andrew Dallas steps in for Kilmarnock FC.
  • The points are shared — Kilmarnock FC 3-1 Livingston FC. Honours even.

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.84 Kilmarnock FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.4 Livingston FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 63% + Over 2.5 goals 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Kilmarnock FC47% Draw25% Livingston FC28%
Actual: Kilmarnock FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes63% 0% No37%
Avg goals/match: 3.24
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 62%
38%
± 3.5 41%
59%
± 4.5 23%
77%

Double Chance

Kilmarnock FC or Draw
72%
Draw or Livingston FC
53%
Kilmarnock FC or Livingston FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Kilmarnock FC35% Draw42% Livingston FC23%
Actual: Kilmarnock FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.9%
2 – 1
8.9%
1 – 2
6.8%
2 – 0
6.6%
1 – 0
6.5%
2 – 2
6.2%
3 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
5.5%
0 – 1
4.7%
3 – 0
4%
3 – 2
3.9%
0 – 2
3.8%

Asian Handicap — Kilmarnock FC

Handicap Kilmarnock FC covers Push Livingston FC covers
-2.5 12% 88%
-2 12% 14% 74%
-1.5 26% 74%
-1 26% 20% 53%
-0.5 47% 53%
+0.5 72% 28%
+1 72% 15% 13%
+1.5 87% 13%
+2 87% 8% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
25%
Livingston FC keeps clean sheet
17%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.