Livingston FC vs Kilmarnock FC, Premier League 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Livingston FC vs Kilmarnock FC — Premier League at Tony Macaroni Arena.
- Livingston FC 33 games · 16 pts (2026/27)
- Kilmarnock FC 33 games · 28 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heart of Midlothian FC | 33 | 70 |
| 2 | Rangers FC | 33 | 69 |
| 3 | Celtic FC | 33 | 67 |
| 4 | Motherwell FC | 33 | 54 |
| 5 | Hibernian FC | 33 | 51 |
| 6 | Falkirk FC | 33 | 46 |
| 7 | Dundee United FC | 33 | 40 |
| 8 | Aberdeen FC | 33 | 33 |
| 9 | Dundee FC | 33 | 33 |
| 10 | St. Mirren FC | 33 | 30 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock FC | 33 | 28 |
| 12 | Livingston FC | 33 | 16 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb | Kilmarnock FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 01 Feb | Celtic FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 29 Jan | Heart of Midlothian FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 14 Jan | St. Johnstone FC | A | 4–2 | W |
| 07 Jan | Ross County FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 02 Jan | Motherwell FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb | Livingston FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 01 Feb | Dundee United FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 28 Jan | Ross County FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 18 Jan | Rangers FC | H | 2–3 | L |
| 07 Jan | Celtic FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 02 Jan | St. Mirren FC | H | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| Livingston FC | Kilmarnock FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #11 |
| 16 | Points | 28 |
| 33 | Played | 33 |
| 1 / 13 / 19 | W / D / L | 6 / 10 / 17 |
| 35 | Scored | 37 |
| 66 | Conceded | 65 |
| -31 | GD | -28 |
| 0.48 | PPG | 0.85 |
| 3% | Win % | 18% |
Key Stats
47%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
H2H (19 games)
47%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Livingston FC are 12th (16 pts). Kilmarnock FC are 11th (28 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: Kilmarnock FC gets underway.
- 5' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 10' The England Joel Nouble breaks the deadlock on 10 minutes. 1-0!
- 12' GOAL! Bruce Anderson scores on 12.
- 17' Livingston FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 22' Kilmarnock FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 27' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 29' GOAL! Stephen Kelly scores on 29.
- 30' Stephen Kelly adds to his 0 season tally! Livingston FC lead 4-0 — and this changes everything.
- 35' Supporters expect more eagerness from Blair Alston, as he is very good at scoring at Tony Macaroni Arena with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 40' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Kyle Vassell made 357 appearances and scored 26 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 44' Danny Armstrong is having his name booked by the referee on 44.
- 47' A stunning finish from Christian Doidge — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 52' With 0 assists to his name this season, Danny Armstrong is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Livingston FC.
- 57' Kilmarnock FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 62' The supporters are chanting for Brad Lyons. He replaces Alan Power on 62 minute.
- 65' Fresh legs for Livingston FC! James Penrice comes on to replace Christian Montano.
- 68' A meaty challenge results in booking for James Penrice on 68.
- 73' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 74' A moment of madness from Joel Nouble on 74 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Livingston FC will be frustrated.
- 74' It is a substitution in Livingston FC team. Bruce Anderson is replaced by Jason Holt on 74 minute.
- 77' Kilmarnock FC ring the changes. Liam Polworth has done his job and it is now time for Fraser Murray to step up.
- 79' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Brad Lyons.
- 81' Livingston FC ring the changes. Steven Bradley has done his job and it is now time for Dylan Bahamboula to step up.
- 86' The supporters are chanting for Blair Alston. He replaces Christian Doidge on 86 minute.
- The points are shared — Livingston FC 3-1 Kilmarnock FC. Honours even.
Lineups
Livingston FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 2
- 5
- 11
-
9
Bruce Anderson ↓ Jason Holt 74'
- 8
- 17
- 1
- 24
- 15
- 16
-
19
Joel Nouble ↓ Kurtis Guthrie 81'
Bench
-
18
Jason Holt ↑ 74'
- 22
-
28
Kurtis Guthrie ↑ 81'
- 33
-
7
Dylan Bahamboula ↑ 81'
- 32
- 6
- 3
-
29
James Penrice ↑ 65'
Kilmarnock FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 20
- 26
- 19
- 23
-
7
Rory McKenzie ↓ Blair Alston 86'
-
4
Alan Power ↓ Brad Lyons 62'
-
31
Liam Polworth ↓ Fraser Murray 77'
- 2
- 25
- 11
- 24
Bench
- 6
-
17
Brad Lyons ↑ 62'
- 21
-
8
Blair Alston ↑ 86'
-
15
Fraser Murray ↑ 77'
-
16
Scott Robinson ↑ 86'
- 14
- 1
- 29
Coach
Derek McInnes
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kyle Vassell | 3 |
| Sean Kelly | 3 |
| Danny Armstrong | 2 |
| Bruce Anderson | 2 |
| Scott Pittman | 2 |
| Joe Wright | 2 |
| Stephen Kelly | 2 |
| Chris Burke | 2 |
Head to Head
Livingston FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.01
Livingston FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.12
Kilmarnock FC xG
I would bet for:
Livingston FC to win 60% + Over 2.5 goals 60%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Livingston FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.13
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 2.5 | 60% |
|
40% |
| ± 3.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
| ± 4.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
Double Chance
Livingston FC or Draw
82%
Draw or Kilmarnock FC
40%
Livingston FC or Kilmarnock FC
78%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Livingston FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.7%
2 – 1
9.5%
2 – 0
8.7%
1 – 0
8.1%
3 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
6%
3 – 0
5.7%
2 – 2
5.3%
1 – 2
5.3%
0 – 1
4.2%
3 – 2
3.6%
4 – 1
3.3%
Asian Handicap — Livingston FC
| Handicap | Livingston FC covers | Push | Kilmarnock FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -2 | 17% | 17% | 66% |
| -1.5 | 34% | — | 66% |
| -1 | 34% | 22% | 43% |
| -0.5 | 57% | — | 43% |
| +0.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +1 | 80% | 12% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Livingston FC keeps clean sheet
33%
✓
Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

