Livingston FC vs Kilmarnock FC, Premier League 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Livingston FC vs Kilmarnock FC — Premier League at Tony Macaroni Arena.
- Livingston FC 33 games · 16 pts (2026/27)
- Kilmarnock FC 33 games · 28 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heart of Midlothian FC | 33 | 70 |
| 2 | Rangers FC | 33 | 69 |
| 3 | Celtic FC | 33 | 67 |
| 4 | Motherwell FC | 33 | 54 |
| 5 | Hibernian FC | 33 | 51 |
| 6 | Falkirk FC | 33 | 46 |
| 7 | Dundee United FC | 33 | 40 |
| 8 | Aberdeen FC | 33 | 33 |
| 9 | Dundee FC | 33 | 33 |
| 10 | St. Mirren FC | 33 | 30 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock FC | 33 | 28 |
| 12 | Livingston FC | 33 | 16 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep | Kilmarnock FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 03 Sep | Heart of Midlothian FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 27 Aug | Aberdeen FC | A | 0–5 | L |
| 20 Aug | Motherwell FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 13 Aug | Hibernian FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 07 Aug | Dundee United FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep | Livingston FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 03 Sep | Hibernian FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 27 Aug | Motherwell FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 20 Aug | Ross County FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 14 Aug | Celtic FC | H | 0–5 | L |
| 06 Aug | Rangers FC | A | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Livingston FC | Kilmarnock FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #11 |
| 16 | Points | 28 |
| 33 | Played | 33 |
| 1 / 13 / 19 | W / D / L | 6 / 10 / 17 |
| 35 | Scored | 37 |
| 66 | Conceded | 65 |
| -31 | GD | -28 |
| 0.48 | PPG | 0.85 |
| 3% | Win % | 18% |
Key Stats
47%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
H2H (19 games)
47%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Livingston FC are 12th (16 pts). Kilmarnock FC are 11th (28 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. Kilmarnock FC kicks off things out of here…
- 5' It’s high time Derek McInnes made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 10' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 15' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 20' Livingston FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 20.
- 25' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Christian Montano makes no mistake. 1-0!
- 30' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 35' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 40' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Livingston FC and Kilmarnock FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 45' The referee has no hesitation. Lewis Mayo is booked for Kilmarnock FC — Yellow card on 45.
- 50' With 0 assists to his name this season, Joe Wright is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Livingston FC.
- 55' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 57' Esmael Goncalves gets the nod from Livingston FC. He replaces Kurtis Guthrie and will look to change the dynamic.
- 60' Another change for Kilmarnock FC made on 60 minute. Liam Polworth leaves to be changed by Brad Lyons.
- 65' It is a cagey affair so far. Livingston FC in their trying to find a way past Kilmarnock FC's compact .
- 70' Kurtis Guthrie is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Kilmarnock FC so far.
- 75' The energy levels are beginning to show. might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 77' It is a substitution in Livingston FC team. Dylan Bahamboula is replaced by James Penrice on 77 minute.
- 79' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Benjamin Chrisene.
- 82' Kilmarnock FC ring the changes. Benjamin Chrisene has done his job and it is now time for Kyle Lafferty to step up.
- 83' The Kilmarnock FC bench stirs into life. Alan Power is withdrawn and Kerr McInroy gets his opportunity.
- 88' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Livingston FC to claim maximum points.
Lineups
Livingston FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 2
- 18
- 11
- 28
- 33
- 7
- 8
- 6
- 1
- 24
- 19
Bench
- 5
- 22
- 9
- 32
- 17
- 3
-
10
Esmael Goncalves ↑ 57'
- 25
-
29
James Penrice ↑ 77'
Kilmarnock FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 26
- 19
- 7
-
4
Alan Power ↓ Kerr McInroy 83'
-
31
Liam Polworth ↓ Brad Lyons 60'
- 2
- 33
-
3
Jeriel Dorsett ↓ Jordan Jones 60'
- 25
-
11
Danny Armstrong ↓ Fraser Murray 60'
Bench
- 20
- 6
-
17
Brad Lyons ↑ 60'
-
21
Kerr McInroy ↑ 83'
-
10
Jordan Jones ↑ 60'
-
15
Fraser Murray ↑ 60'
- 9
-
28
Kyle Lafferty ↑ 82'
- 27
Coach
Derek McInnes
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Sean Kelly | 3 |
| Kyle Vassell | 3 |
| Danny Armstrong | 2 |
| Bruce Anderson | 2 |
| Scott Pittman | 2 |
| Joe Wright | 2 |
| Stephen Kelly | 2 |
| Chris Burke | 2 |
Head to Head
Livingston FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.62
Livingston FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.98
Kilmarnock FC xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Livingston FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.6
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 2.5 | 48% |
|
52% |
| ± 3.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
| ± 4.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
Double Chance
Livingston FC or Draw
80%
Draw or Kilmarnock FC
45%
Livingston FC or Kilmarnock FC
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Livingston FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.7%
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 0
9.5%
0 – 0
9.4%
2 – 1
9.2%
0 – 1
6.3%
1 – 2
5.6%
3 – 0
5%
3 – 1
5%
2 – 2
4.6%
0 – 2
3.5%
3 – 2
2.6%
Asian Handicap — Livingston FC
| Handicap | Livingston FC covers | Push | Kilmarnock FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -2 | 12% | 16% | 73% |
| -1.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| -1 | 27% | 23% | 49% |
| -0.5 | 51% | — | 49% |
| +0.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +1 | 78% | 14% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Livingston FC keeps clean sheet
38%
✗
Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

