Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Livingston FC vs Kilmarnock FC, Premier League 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2022-23
Sat 17 Sep 2022 · 14:00 UTC Tony Macaroni Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Livingston FC vs Kilmarnock FC — Premier League at Tony Macaroni Arena.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Sep Kilmarnock FC H 1–0 W
03 Sep Heart of Midlothian FC H 1–0 W
27 Aug Aberdeen FC A 0–5 L
20 Aug Motherwell FC A 0–1 L
13 Aug Hibernian FC H 2–1 W
07 Aug Dundee United FC A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Sep Livingston FC A 0–1 L
03 Sep Hibernian FC A 0–1 L
27 Aug Motherwell FC H 2–1 W
20 Aug Ross County FC A 0–1 L
14 Aug Celtic FC H 0–5 L
06 Aug Rangers FC A 0–2 L

Key Stats

47% Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
47% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
29% Clean Sheets
Kilmarnock FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Kilmarnock FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
–/2
76+
–/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. Livingston FC host Kilmarnock FC — let the battle begin!
  • 5' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 10' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 15' The 34-year-old Christian Montano has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 20' Kilmarnock FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 25' Christian Montano makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and Livingston FC are in front.
  • 30' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 35' It is a cagey affair so far. Livingston FC in their trying to find a way past Kilmarnock FC's compact .
  • 40' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 45' The referee shows Kilmarnock FC player a Yellow card on 45.
  • 50' Kilmarnock FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 55' Kilmarnock FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 55.
  • 57' Livingston FC make a change. Kurtis Guthrie trudges off to be replaced by Esmael Goncalves on 57 minutes.
  • 60' Brad Lyons gets the nod from Kilmarnock FC. He replaces Liam Polworth and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 65' Supporters expect more eagerness from Kerr McInroy, as he is very good at scoring at Tony Macaroni Arena with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 70' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Liam Polworth made 1 appearances and scored 5 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 75' Fraser Murray has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 77' The whistle greets Dylan Bahamboula as he departs to be replaced by James Penrice.
  • 79' The referee calls foul for Benjamin Chrisene. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 82' Fresh legs for Kilmarnock FC! Kyle Lafferty comes on to replace Benjamin Chrisene.
  • 83' Kerr McInroy gets the nod from Kilmarnock FC. He replaces Alan Power and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 88' Christian Doidge is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Kilmarnock FC so far.
  • With this win, Livingston FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.39 Livingston FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.72 Kilmarnock FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 65% + Under — clean sheet likely 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Livingston FC55% Draw27% Kilmarnock FC18%
Actual: Livingston FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes40% 0% No60%
Avg goals/match: 2.11
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 62%
38%
± 2.5 35%
65%
± 3.5 17%
83%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

Livingston FC or Draw
83%
Draw or Kilmarnock FC
45%
Livingston FC or Kilmarnock FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Livingston FC34% Draw52% Kilmarnock FC14%
Actual: Livingston FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
14.3%
1 – 1
13%
2 – 0
11.2%
2 – 1
8.2%
0 – 1
7.5%
3 – 0
5.1%
1 – 2
4.2%
3 – 1
3.9%
2 – 2
3.1%
0 – 2
3%
4 – 0
1.8%

Asian Handicap — Livingston FC

Handicap Livingston FC covers Push Kilmarnock FC covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 16% 74%
-1.5 26% — 74%
-1 26% 26% 49%
-0.5 51% — 49%
+0.5 82% — 18%
+1 82% 13% 5%
+1.5 95% — 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Livingston FC keeps clean sheet
49% ✗
Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
26% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.