Livingston FC vs Kilmarnock FC, Premier League 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Livingston FC vs Kilmarnock FC — Premier League at Tony Macaroni Arena.
- Livingston FC 33 games · 16 pts (2026/27)
- Kilmarnock FC 7 games · 5 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic FC | 7 | 18 |
| 2 | Rangers FC | 7 | 16 |
| 3 | Heart of Midlothian FC | 7 | 13 |
| 4 | Dundee FC | 7 | 10 |
| 5 | St. Mirren FC | 7 | 10 |
| 6 | St. Johnstone FC | 7 | 8 |
| 7 | Aberdeen FC | 7 | 8 |
| 8 | Motherwell FC | 7 | 8 |
| 9 | Dundee United FC | 7 | 8 |
| 10 | Hibernian FC | 7 | 7 |
| 11 | Falkirk FC | 7 | 6 |
| 12 | Kilmarnock FC | 7 | 5 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep | Kilmarnock FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 03 Sep | Heart of Midlothian FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 27 Aug | Aberdeen FC | A | 0–5 | L |
| 20 Aug | Motherwell FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 13 Aug | Hibernian FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 07 Aug | Dundee United FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep | Livingston FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 03 Sep | Hibernian FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 27 Aug | Motherwell FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 20 Aug | Ross County FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 14 Aug | Celtic FC | H | 0–5 | L |
| 06 Aug | Rangers FC | A | 0–2 | L |
Key Stats
47%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
H2H (19 games)
47%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
29%
Clean Sheets
Kilmarnock FC this season
Kilmarnock FC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Kilmarnock FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
–/2
76+
–/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Kilmarnock FC
| Michael Schjonning-Larsen | 2 G |
| Jason Holt | 1 G |
| Greg Kiltie | 1 G |
| Joe Hugill | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. Livingston FC host Kilmarnock FC — let the battle begin!
- 5' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 10' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 15' The 34-year-old Christian Montano has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 20' Kilmarnock FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 25' Christian Montano makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and Livingston FC are in front.
- 30' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 35' It is a cagey affair so far. Livingston FC in their trying to find a way past Kilmarnock FC's compact .
- 40' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 45' The referee shows Kilmarnock FC player a Yellow card on 45.
- 50' Kilmarnock FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 55' Kilmarnock FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 55.
- 57' Livingston FC make a change. Kurtis Guthrie trudges off to be replaced by Esmael Goncalves on 57 minutes.
- 60' Brad Lyons gets the nod from Kilmarnock FC. He replaces Liam Polworth and will look to change the dynamic.
- 65' Supporters expect more eagerness from Kerr McInroy, as he is very good at scoring at Tony Macaroni Arena with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 70' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Liam Polworth made 1 appearances and scored 5 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 75' Fraser Murray has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 77' The whistle greets Dylan Bahamboula as he departs to be replaced by James Penrice.
- 79' The referee calls foul for Benjamin Chrisene. He receives a Yellow card.
- 82' Fresh legs for Kilmarnock FC! Kyle Lafferty comes on to replace Benjamin Chrisene.
- 83' Kerr McInroy gets the nod from Kilmarnock FC. He replaces Alan Power and will look to change the dynamic.
- 88' Christian Doidge is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Kilmarnock FC so far.
- With this win, Livingston FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
Livingston FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 2
- 18
- 11
- 28
- 33
- 7
- 8
- 6
- 1
- 24
- 19
Bench
- 5
- 22
- 9
- 32
- 17
- 3
-
10
Esmael Goncalves ↑ 57'
- 25
-
29
James Penrice ↑ 77'
Kilmarnock FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 26
- 19
- 7
-
4
Alan Power ↓ Kerr McInroy 83'
-
31
Liam Polworth ↓ Brad Lyons 60'
- 2
- 33
-
3
Jeriel Dorsett ↓ Jordan Jones 60'
- 25
-
11
Danny Armstrong ↓ Fraser Murray 60'
Bench
- 20
- 6
-
17
Brad Lyons ↑ 60'
-
21
Kerr McInroy ↑ 83'
-
10
Jordan Jones ↑ 60'
-
15
Fraser Murray ↑ 60'
- 9
-
28
Kyle Lafferty ↑ 82'
- 27
Coach
Derek McInnes
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Sean Kelly | 3 |
| Kyle Vassell | 3 |
| Scott Pittman | 2 |
| Joe Wright | 2 |
| Stephen Kelly | 2 |
| Chris Burke | 2 |
| Greg Stewart | 2 |
| Danny Armstrong | 2 |
Head to Head
Livingston FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.39
Livingston FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.72
Kilmarnock FC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 65% + Under — clean sheet likely 60%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Livingston FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.11
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 1.5 | 62% |
|
38% |
| ± 2.5 | 35% |
|
65% |
| ± 3.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
| ± 4.5 | 7% |
|
93% |
Double Chance
Livingston FC or Draw
83%
Draw or Kilmarnock FC
45%
Livingston FC or Kilmarnock FC
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Livingston FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
14.3%
1 – 1
13%
2 – 0
11.2%
2 – 1
8.2%
0 – 1
7.5%
3 – 0
5.1%
1 – 2
4.2%
3 – 1
3.9%
2 – 2
3.1%
0 – 2
3%
4 – 0
1.8%
Asian Handicap — Livingston FC
| Handicap | Livingston FC covers | Push | Kilmarnock FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 16% | 74% |
| -1.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| -1 | 26% | 26% | 49% |
| -0.5 | 51% | — | 49% |
| +0.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +1 | 82% | 13% | 5% |
| +1.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
| +2 | 95% | 4% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Livingston FC keeps clean sheet
49%
✗
Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

