Kilmarnock FC vs Heart of Midlothian FC, Premier League 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Kilmarnock FC vs Heart of Midlothian FC — Premier League at Rugby Park.
- Kilmarnock FC 33 games · 28 pts (2026/27)
- Heart of Midlothian FC 33 games · 70 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Steven McLean
- Referee Paul O'Neill
- Referee Craig Napier
- Referee John McCrossan
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heart of Midlothian FC | 33 | 70 |
| 2 | Rangers FC | 33 | 69 |
| 3 | Celtic FC | 33 | 67 |
| 4 | Motherwell FC | 33 | 54 |
| 5 | Hibernian FC | 33 | 51 |
| 6 | Falkirk FC | 33 | 46 |
| 7 | Dundee United FC | 33 | 40 |
| 8 | Aberdeen FC | 33 | 33 |
| 9 | Dundee FC | 33 | 33 |
| 10 | St. Mirren FC | 33 | 30 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock FC | 33 | 28 |
| 12 | Livingston FC | 33 | 16 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb | Heart of Midlothian FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 26 Jan | Aberdeen FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 23 Jan | Rangers FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Dec | St. Mirren FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Dec | Motherwell FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 22 Dec | Hamilton Academical FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb | Kilmarnock FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Jan | St. Johnstone FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 23 Jan | Dundee FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Dec | Hibernian FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Dec | Hamilton Academical FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 22 Dec | Aberdeen FC | A | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Kilmarnock FC | Heart of Midlothian FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #11 | Position | #1 |
| 28 | Points | 70 |
| 33 | Played | 33 |
| 6 / 10 / 17 | W / D / L | 21 / 7 / 5 |
| 37 | Scored | 58 |
| 65 | Conceded | 28 |
| -28 | GD | +30 |
| 0.85 | PPG | 2.12 |
| 18% | Win % | 64% |
Key Stats
43%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
H2H (21 games)
43%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Kilmarnock FC are 11th (28 pts). Heart of Midlothian FC are 1st (70 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' Welcome to Rugby Park that hosts another battle between Kilmarnock FC and Heart of Midlothian FC.
- 5' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 10' Arnaud Djoum needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 15' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Kilmarnock FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 20' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 25' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Kilmarnock FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 30' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 35' Christophe Berra has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 38' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Sean Clare makes it 0-1.
- 42' A moment of madness from Jordan Jones on 42 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Kilmarnock FC will be frustrated.
- 43' GOAL! Steven Naismith scores on 43. Assisted by Jake Mulraney
- 45' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Jordan Jones makes no mistake. 1-2!
- 46' Against the run of play, Jordan Jones has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 46' The crowd applauds Callum Morrison as he leaves the pitch. Olly Lee steps in for Heart of Midlothian FC.
- 51' Clevid Dikamona is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Heart of Midlothian FC tonight.
- 56' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Kilmarnock FC and Heart of Midlothian FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 61' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 66' Over 66 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 68' The supporters are chanting for Demetri Mitchell. He replaces Jake Mulraney on 68 minute.
- 72' It’s a booking for Heart of Midlothian FC player. Christophe Berra gets a Yellow card.
- 77' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 78' Liam Millar has so much to prove this time. He replaces Greg Tayler on 78 minute.
- 83' The home supporters are growing impatient. Kilmarnock FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 84' Heart of Midlothian FC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
- 85' The supporters are chanting for Clevid Dikamona. He replaces Michael Smith on 85 minute.
- 89' Controversy at the stadium! Aaron Tshibola argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
- 89' Kilmarnock FC ring the changes. Aaron Tshibola has done his job and it is now time for Kirk Broadfoot to step up.
- 90' Mikael Ndjoli catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 90.
- Full Time. Heart of Midlothian FC beats Kilmarnock FC
Lineups
Kilmarnock FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 26
- 12
-
27
Aaron Tshibola ↓ Kirk Broadfoot 89'
-
29
Chris Burke ↓ Rory McKenzie 78'
- 11
-
3
Greg Taylor ↓ Liam Millar 78'
- 16
- 2
- 17
- 8
- 6
Bench
- 4
-
5
Kirk Broadfoot ↑ 89'
-
7
Rory McKenzie ↑ 78'
- 1
- 18
- 21
-
19
Liam Millar ↑ 78'
Coach
Steve Clarke
Heart of Midlothian FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 9
- 3
- 7
- 13
- 14
- 6
- 10
-
2
Michael Smith ↓ Clevid Dikamona 85'
- 4
- 23
-
38
Callum Morrison ↓ Olly Lee 46'
Bench
-
8
Olly Lee ↑ 46'
- 20
-
11
Demetri Mitchell ↑ 68'
- 18
- 35
-
28
Clevid Dikamona ↑ 85'
- 1
Coach
Craig Levein
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Chris Burke | 4 |
| Lawrence Shankland | 3 |
| Stuart Findlay | 2 |
| Danny Armstrong | 2 |
| Eamonn Brophy | 2 |
| Sean Clare | 2 |
| Steven Naismith | 1 |
| Jorge Grant | 1 |
Head to Head
Kilmarnock FC Form
Heart of Midlothian FC Form
2019-02-01
Kilmarnock FC
1–2
Heart of Midlothian FC
W
2019-01-26
Heart of Midlothian FC
2–0
St. Johnstone FC
W
2019-01-23
Heart of Midlothian FC
1–2
Dundee FC
L
2018-12-29
Hibernian FC
0–1
Heart of Midlothian FC
W
2018-12-26
Heart of Midlothian FC
2–0
Hamilton Academical FC
W
2018-12-22
Aberdeen FC
2–0
Heart of Midlothian FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.93
Kilmarnock FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.84
Heart of Midlothian FC xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Heart of Midlothian FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.77
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 2.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
| ± 3.5 | 30% |
|
70% |
| ± 4.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
Double Chance
Kilmarnock FC or Draw
50%
Draw or Heart of Midlothian FC
76%
Kilmarnock FC or Heart of Midlothian FC
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Heart of Midlothian FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.5%
0 – 1
10.7%
0 – 2
10.4%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 0
8.1%
0 – 3
6.2%
1 – 3
5.9%
1 – 0
4.9%
2 – 1
4.8%
2 – 2
4.5%
0 – 4
2.9%
2 – 3
2.8%
Asian Handicap — Kilmarnock FC
| Handicap | Kilmarnock FC covers | Push | Heart of Midlothian FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 5% | 94% |
| -1.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -1 | 6% | 11% | 82% |
| -0.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| +0.5 | 43% | — | 57% |
| +1 | 43% | 24% | 34% |
| +1.5 | 66% | — | 34% |
| +2 | 66% | 18% | 16% |
| +2.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
Clean Sheet
Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet
40%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

