Kilmarnock FC vs Heart of Midlothian FC, Premier League 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Kilmarnock FC vs Heart of Midlothian FC — Premier League at Rugby Park.
- Kilmarnock FC 12 games · 9 pts (2026/27)
- Heart of Midlothian FC 11 games · 20 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Steven McLean
- Referee Paul O'Neill
- Referee Craig Napier
- Referee John McCrossan
6 games this season
🟨 3.3/game
⚽ 11.0 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic FC | 12 | 28 |
| 2 | Rangers FC | 11 | 24 |
| 3 | Heart of Midlothian FC | 11 | 20 |
| 4 | Falkirk FC | 12 | 18 |
| 5 | Dundee FC | 11 | 17 |
| 6 | Dundee United FC | 11 | 16 |
| 7 | St. Johnstone FC | 12 | 14 |
| 8 | St. Mirren FC | 12 | 14 |
| 9 | Motherwell FC | 12 | 12 |
| 10 | Aberdeen FC | 11 | 11 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock FC | 12 | 9 |
| 12 | Hibernian FC | 11 | 8 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb | Heart of Midlothian FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 26 Jan | Aberdeen FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 23 Jan | Rangers FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Dec | St. Mirren FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Dec | Motherwell FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 22 Dec | Hamilton Academical FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb | Kilmarnock FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Jan | St. Johnstone FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 23 Jan | Dundee FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Dec | Hibernian FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Dec | Hamilton Academical FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 22 Dec | Aberdeen FC | A | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Kilmarnock FC | Heart of Midlothian FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #11 | Position | #3 |
| 9 | Points | 20 |
| 12 | Played | 11 |
| 2 / 3 / 7 | W / D / L | 6 / 2 / 3 |
| 13 | Scored | 24 |
| 28 | Conceded | 17 |
| -15 | GD | +7 |
| 0.75 | PPG | 1.82 |
| 17% | Win % | 55% |
Key Stats
45%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
H2H (22 games)
41%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
17%
Clean Sheets
Kilmarnock FC this season
Kilmarnock FC this season
27%
Clean Sheets
Heart of Midlothian FC this season
Heart of Midlothian FC this season
Kilmarnock FC are 11th (9 pts). Heart of Midlothian FC are 3rd (20 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Kilmarnock FC
0-15
2/4
16-30
1/3
31-45
3/8
46-60
4/3
61-75
2/3
76+
1/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Heart of Midlothian FC
0-15
4/3
16-30
3/3
31-45
5/2
46-60
5/3
61-75
2/1
76+
5/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Kilmarnock FC
| Greg Kiltie | 3 G | |
| Joe Hugill | 2 G | 2 A |
| Michael Schjonning-Larsen | 2 G | |
| Jason Holt | 1 G |
Heart of Midlothian FC
| Claudio Braga | 5 G | 2 A |
| Calvin Miller | 5 G | 1 A |
| James Wilson | 3 G | |
| Laurent Mendy | 3 G | |
| Joshua McPake | 2 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Kilmarnock FC and Heart of Midlothian FC is underway.
- 5' Kilmarnock FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 10' Supporters expect more eagerness from Mikael Ndjoli, as he is very good at scoring at Rugby Park with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
- 15' Kilmarnock FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Heart of Midlothian FC's shape.
- 20' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 25' It looks surprising Heart of Midlothian FC does not make any changes. Christophe Berra has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 30' Kilmarnock FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 35' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Kilmarnock FC and Heart of Midlothian FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 38' Against the run of play, Sean Clare has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 42' Jordan Jones catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 42.
- 43' The deadlock is broken! Steven Naismith gets on the scoresheet on 43 minutes.
- 45' Jordan Jones does the damage! The net is bulging and Kilmarnock FC surge ahead!
- 46' Brilliant from the ! Jordan Jones makes it 2-2 with a superb finish on 45.
- 46' Olly Lee is ready to make an impact after coming on for Callum Morrison at the 46 minute mark.
- 51' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 51 minutes.
- 56' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Kilmarnock FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 61' Conor Shaughnessy is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Kilmarnock FC so far.
- 66' With 0 assists to his name this season, Clevid Dikamona is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Heart of Midlothian FC.
- 68' Heart of Midlothian FC ring the changes. Jake Mulraney has done his job and it is now time for Demetri Mitchell to step up.
- 72' The referee calls foul for Christophe Berra. He receives a Yellow card.
- 77' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 78' Another change for Kilmarnock FC made on 78 minute. Greg Tayler leaves to be changed by Liam Millar.
- 83' Heart of Midlothian FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 84' A meaty challenge results in booking for Sean Clare on 84.
- 85' Clevid Dikamona is ready to make an impact after coming on for Michael Smith at the 85 minute mark.
- 89' The referee has no hesitation. Aaron Tshibola is booked for Kilmarnock FC — Yellow card on 89.
- 89' The supporters are chanting for Kirk Broadfoot. He replaces Aaron Tshibola on 89 minute.
- 90' Mikael Ndjoli is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
- With this win, Heart of Midlothian FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
Kilmarnock FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 26
- 12
-
27
Aaron Tshibola ↓ Kirk Broadfoot 89'
-
29
Chris Burke ↓ Rory McKenzie 78'
- 11
-
3
Greg Taylor ↓ Liam Millar 78'
- 16
- 2
- 17
- 8
- 6
Bench
- 4
-
5
Kirk Broadfoot ↑ 89'
-
7
Rory McKenzie ↑ 78'
- 1
- 18
- 21
-
19
Liam Millar ↑ 78'
Coach
Steve Clarke
Heart of Midlothian FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 9
- 3
- 7
- 13
- 14
- 6
- 10
-
2
Michael Smith ↓ Clevid Dikamona 85'
- 4
- 23
-
38
Callum Morrison ↓ Olly Lee 46'
Bench
-
8
Olly Lee ↑ 46'
- 20
-
11
Demetri Mitchell ↑ 68'
- 18
- 35
-
28
Clevid Dikamona ↑ 85'
- 1
Coach
Craig Levein
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Chris Burke | 4 |
| Lawrence Shankland | 3 |
| Sean Clare | 2 |
| Stuart Findlay | 2 |
| Danny Armstrong | 2 |
| Eamonn Brophy | 2 |
| Stephen Kingsley | 2 |
| Craig Halkett | 1 |
Head to Head
Kilmarnock FC Form
Heart of Midlothian FC Form
2019-02-01
Kilmarnock FC
1–2
Heart of Midlothian FC
W
2019-01-26
Heart of Midlothian FC
2–0
St. Johnstone FC
W
2019-01-23
Heart of Midlothian FC
1–2
Dundee FC
L
2018-12-29
Hibernian FC
0–1
Heart of Midlothian FC
W
2018-12-26
Heart of Midlothian FC
2–0
Hamilton Academical FC
W
2018-12-22
Aberdeen FC
2–0
Heart of Midlothian FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.22
Kilmarnock FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.36
Heart of Midlothian FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 68% + Both teams to score 63%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Heart of Midlothian FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.58
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 2.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 3.5 | 47% |
|
53% |
| ± 4.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
Double Chance
Kilmarnock FC or Draw
47%
Draw or Heart of Midlothian FC
76%
Kilmarnock FC or Heart of Midlothian FC
77%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Heart of Midlothian FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
8.9%
0 – 2
7.8%
1 – 3
7.1%
0 – 1
6.2%
0 – 3
6%
2 – 2
5.5%
2 – 1
4.8%
2 – 3
4.4%
1 – 4
4.2%
0 – 0
4.1%
0 – 4
3.5%
Asian Handicap — Kilmarnock FC
| Handicap | Kilmarnock FC covers | Push | Heart of Midlothian FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 5% | 93% |
| -1.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -1 | 7% | 11% | 82% |
| -0.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| +0.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| +1 | 39% | 21% | 40% |
| +1.5 | 60% | — | 40% |
| +2 | 60% | 18% | 22% |
| +2.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
Clean Sheet
Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
10%
✓
Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet
30%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.