Thursday , 2 July 2026

Kilmarnock FC vs St. Mirren FC, Premier League 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2018-19
Sat 29 Dec 2018 · 15:00 UTC Rugby Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Kilmarnock FC vs St. Mirren FCPremier League at Rugby Park.

Match Details

  • Referee William Collum
  • Referee Frank Connor
  • Referee Daniel McFarlane
  • Referee Grant Irvine

Head-to-Head

13
7
3
Kilmarnock FC 23 games · Avg 2.5 goals St. Mirren FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Dec St. Mirren FC H 2–1 W
26 Dec Motherwell FC A 1–0 W
22 Dec Hamilton Academical FC A 1–1 D
15 Dec Dundee FC H 3–1 W
08 Dec Celtic FC A 1–5 L
05 Dec Livingston FC H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Dec Kilmarnock FC A 1–2 L
26 Dec St. Johnstone FC H 0–1 L
22 Dec Motherwell FC A 1–0 W
15 Dec Aberdeen FC H 1–2 L
08 Dec Livingston FC A 1–3 L
05 Dec Hibernian FC A 2–2 D

Season Stats

Kilmarnock FC St. Mirren FC
#11 Position #10
28 Points 30
33 Played 33
6 / 10 / 17 W / D / L 7 / 9 / 17
37 Scored 27
65 Conceded 48
-28 GD -21
0.85 PPG 0.91
18% Win % 21%

Key Stats

39% Both Teams to Score
H2H (23 games)
35% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Kilmarnock FC are 11th (28 pts). St. Mirren FC are 10th (30 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. Kilmarnock FC get us underway at Rugby Park.
  • 4' Against the run of play, Stuart Findlay has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 9' With 0 assists to his name this season, Alfie Jones is clearly more than just a goal scorer for St. Mirren FC.
  • 11' The Northern Ireland Jordan Jones breaks the deadlock on 11 minutes. 2-0!
  • 16' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 21' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 22' What composure from Alfie Jones! The Canada international strokes it home. 2-1.
  • 27' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 32' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 37' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 37 minutes.
  • 42' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Steve Clarke will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 47' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 48' Eamonn Brophy has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 48.
  • 53' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering St. Mirren FC that had 289 games and scored 281 goals.
  • 56' The crowd applauds Stephen O'Donnell as he leaves the pitch. Ross Millen steps in for Kilmarnock FC.
  • 61' St. Mirren FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 66' Kilmarnock FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined St. Mirren FC backline.
  • 71' The travelling St. Mirren FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 75' Mikael Ndjoli is replacing Eamonn Brophy for the Kilmarnock FC side.
  • 80' Anton Ferdinand, a England , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 82' The referee calls foul for Paul McGinn. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 83' A tactical swap from St. Mirren FCSamuel Jamieson on, Cameron Smith off on 83 minutes.
  • 88' Poor challenge from Jack Baird. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • It finishes all square. Kilmarnock FC and St. Mirren FC share the spoils 2-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.72 Kilmarnock FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.08 St. Mirren FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Kilmarnock FC55% Draw24% St. Mirren FC21%
Actual: Kilmarnock FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.8
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

Kilmarnock FC or Draw
79%
Draw or St. Mirren FC
45%
Kilmarnock FC or St. Mirren FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Kilmarnock FC36% Draw45% St. Mirren FC19%
Actual: Kilmarnock FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.2%
1 – 0
9.6%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
8.9%
0 – 0
8%
1 – 2
5.8%
0 – 1
5.6%
3 – 1
5.4%
2 – 2
5.1%
3 – 0
5%
0 – 2
3.5%
3 – 2
3%

Asian Handicap — Kilmarnock FC

Handicap Kilmarnock FC covers Push St. Mirren FC covers
-2.5 13% 87%
-2 13% 16% 72%
-1.5 28% 72%
-1 28% 23% 49%
-0.5 51% 49%
+0.5 77% 23%
+1 77% 14% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
35%
St. Mirren FC keeps clean sheet
19%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.