Kawasaki Frontale vs Albirex Niigata, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2024

Kawasaki Frontale

5 – 1

Full Time

Albirex Niigata

Fri 27 Sep 2024 · 10:00 UTC Todoroki Athletics Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 11' Ryosuke Kojima

Marcinho 40' Y

Kota Takai 54' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Kawasaki Frontale vs Albirex Niigata — J. League at Todoroki Athletics Stadium.

Kawasaki Frontale 18 games · 28 pts (2026/27)
Albirex Niigata 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tokyo	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tōkyō Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F.Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Kawasaki Frontale 6 games · Avg 3.7 goals Albirex Niigata

Last 5 meetings

2024-09-27 Kawasaki Frontale 5–1 Albirex Niigata 2024-06-22 Albirex Niigata 2–2 Kawasaki Frontale 2023-09-29 Kawasaki Frontale 2–3 Albirex Niigata 2023-03-11 Albirex Niigata 1–0 Kawasaki Frontale

Recent Form

Kawasaki Frontale

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
27 Sep	Albirex Niigata	H	5–1	W
22 Sep	Nagoya Grampus	A	0–2	L
13 Sep	Sagan Tosu FC	H	3–2	W
01 Sep	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	A	0–2	L
17 Aug	Yokohama F.Marinos	H	1–3	L
11 Aug	FC Tokyo	A	3–0	W

Albirex Niigata

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
27 Sep	Kawasaki Frontale	A	1–5	L
22 Sep	Vissel Kobe	H	2–3	L
18 Sep	Nagoya Grampus	A	0–3	L
14 Sep	Shonan Bellmare	H	3–1	W
25 Aug	FC Machida Zelvia	H	0–0	D
17 Aug	Avispa Fukuoka	A	1–0	W

Key Stats

83% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)

67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

14% Clean Sheets
Kawasaki Frontale this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Kawasaki Frontale

0-15

2/–

16-30

–/2

31-45

5/2

46-60

4/2

61-75

1/3

76+

3/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Kawasaki Frontale

Marcinho	6 G	1 A
Yasuto Wakizaka	2 G	3 A
Tatsuya Ito	2 G	1 A
Lazar Romanic	2 G

Events

Match Events

0' It’s Showtime! The match between Kawasaki Frontale and Albirex Niigata is underway.
5' Albirex Niigata fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
10' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
11' Ryosuke Kojima was booked on 11.
14' Erison adds to his 0 season tally! Kawasaki Frontale lead 1-0 — and this changes everything.
18' A goal from the Japan international Yasuto Wakizaka! He fires home on 18 to make it 2-0!
23' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Shusuke Ota suffering a number of foals already.
28' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Koji Suzuki made 110 appearances and scored 6 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
33' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
38' It looks surprising Albirex Niigata does not make any changes. Marcinho has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
40' Controversy at the stadium! Marcinho argues furiously but the card stands.
45' Kawasaki Frontale are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
50' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
54' Controversy at the stadium! Kota Takai argues furiously but the card stands.
59' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Kawasaki Frontale needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
63' Erison is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the forward.
65' Shin Yamada is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the forward.
65' Daiya Tono gets the nod from Kawasaki Frontale. He replaces Marcinho and will look to change the dynamic.
66' Albirex Niigata make a change. Yoshiaki Takagi trudges off to be replaced by Yota Komi on 66 minutes.
71' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
73' Goal! Shin Yamada scores his 27 goal in 443 matches.
74' The supporters are chanting for Yuji Hoshi. He replaces Hiroki Akiyama on 74 minute.
79' Kawasaki Frontale are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Albirex Niigata's shape.
80' Albirex Niigata manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Koji Suzuki is hanging Motoki Nagakura on the field on 80 minute.
85' Another substitution for Kawasaki Frontale to replace Asahi Sasaki by Shuto Tanabe on 85 minute.
86' Goal! Shusuke Ota scores his 9 goal in 110 matches.
Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Kawasaki Frontale players.

Lineups

Kawasaki Frontale Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

11
Yu Kobayashi ↑ 74'
41
Akihiro Ienaga ↑ 85'
30
Yusuke Segawa ↑ 74'
35
Yuichi Maruyama
17
Daiya Tono ↑ 65'
15
Shuto Tanabe ↑ 85'
98
Louis Thebault-Yamaguchi

Coach Toru Oniki

Albirex Niigata Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

35
Kazuhiko Chiba
19
Yuji Hoshi ↑ 74'
21
Koto Abe
11
Shusuke Ota ↑ 66'
16
Yota Komi ↑ 66'
9
Koji Suzuki ↑ 80'
14
Motoki Hasegawa ↑ 66'

Coach Rikizo Matsuhashi

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Shin Yamada	3
Koji Suzuki	2
Yasuto Wakizaka	2
Erison	2
Shusuke Ota	2
Tatsuya Ito	1
Marcinho	1
Eiji Shirai	1

Head to Head

Kawasaki Frontale Form

2024-09-27 Kawasaki Frontale 5–1 Albirex Niigata W 2024-09-22 Nagoya Grampus 2–0 Kawasaki Frontale L 2024-09-13 Kawasaki Frontale 3–2 Sagan Tosu FC W 2024-09-01 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 2–0 Kawasaki Frontale L 2024-08-17 Kawasaki Frontale 1–3 Yokohama F.Marinos L 2024-08-11 FC Tokyo 0–3 Kawasaki Frontale W

Albirex Niigata Form

2024-09-27 Kawasaki Frontale 5–1 Albirex Niigata L 2024-09-22 Albirex Niigata 2–3 Vissel Kobe L 2024-09-18 Nagoya Grampus 3–0 Albirex Niigata L 2024-09-14 Albirex Niigata 3–1 Shonan Bellmare W 2024-08-25 Albirex Niigata 0–0 FC Machida Zelvia D 2024-08-17 Avispa Fukuoka 0–1 Albirex Niigata W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

2.16 Kawasaki Frontale xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.27 Albirex Niigata xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 66% + Both teams to score 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Kawasaki Frontale55% Draw23% Albirex Niigata22%

Actual: Kawasaki Frontale win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes64% 0% No36%

Avg goals/match: 3.43

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	95%	5%
± 1.5	85%	15%
± 2.5	66%	34%
± 3.5	44%	56%
± 4.5	26%	74%

Double Chance

Kawasaki Frontale or Draw

78%

Draw or Albirex Niigata

45%

Kawasaki Frontale or Albirex Niigata

77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Kawasaki Frontale42% Draw40% Albirex Niigata18%

Actual: Kawasaki Frontale win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–1 not predicted

5 – 1

Actual

1 – 1

9.7%

2 – 1

9.3%

2 – 0

7.5%

3 – 1

6.6%

1 – 0

6.4%

2 – 2

5.8%

1 – 2

5.5%

3 – 0

5.3%

0 – 0

4.6%

3 – 2

4.2%

4 – 1

3.6%

0 – 1

3.5%

Asian Handicap — Kawasaki Frontale

Handicap	Kawasaki Frontale covers	Push	Albirex Niigata covers
-2.5	18%	—	82%
-2	18%	17%	65%
-1.5	35%	—	65%
-1	35%	21%	44%
-0.5	56%	—	44%
+0.5	79%	—	21%
+1	79%	12%	9%
+1.5	91%	—	9%
+2	91%	6%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

Kawasaki Frontale keeps clean sheet

29% ✓

Albirex Niigata keeps clean sheet

12% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.