Albirex Niigata vs FC Machida Zelvia, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Albirex Niigata vs FC Machida Zelvia — J. League at Denka Big Swan Stadium.
- Albirex Niigata 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- FC Machida Zelvia 18 games · 37 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug | FC Machida Zelvia | H | 0–0 | D |
| 17 Aug | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Aug | Kyōto Sanga FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 07 Aug | Júbilo Iwata | H | 2–2 | D |
| 20 Jul | Cerezo Osaka FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 13 Jul | FC Tōkyō | A | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug | Albirex Niigata | A | 0–0 | D |
| 17 Aug | Júbilo Iwata | H | 4–0 | W |
| 11 Aug | Shonan Bellmare | H | 0–1 | L |
| 07 Aug | Cerezo Osaka FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Jul | Yokohama F·Marinos | H | 1–2 | L |
| 14 Jul | Tōkyō Verdy | A | 1–0 | W |
Key Stats
25%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
54%
Clean Sheets
FC Machida Zelvia this season
FC Machida Zelvia this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Machida Zelvia
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
5/1
46-60
2/4
61-75
6/1
76+
9/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Machida Zelvia
| Takuma Nishimura | 5 G | |
| Koki Ogawa | 4 G | |
| Yuki Soma | 3 G | 4 A |
| Tete Yengi | 3 G | 1 A |
| Hiroki Mochizuki | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at Denka Big Swan Stadium. Albirex Niigata are looking to make home advantage count against FC Machida Zelvia.
- 5' A quiet spell here at Denka Big Swan Stadium. FC Machida Zelvia seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 7' A meaty challenge results in booking for Keiya Sento on 7.
- 12' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 17' Daiki Sugioka has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 22' FC Machida Zelvia have won 141 goals from 107 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 27' Albirex Niigata are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined FC Machida Zelvia backline.
- 32' Shunta Araki is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for FC Machida Zelvia tonight.
- 37' Over 37 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 42' The 27-year-old Se-hun Oh has been sensational this season — 2 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
- 46' Time for substitution for FC Machida Zelvia. Keiya Sento is replaced by Hokuto Shimoda.
- 51' Albirex Niigata are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 56' The referee calls foul for Eiji Miyamoto. He receives a card.
- 61' The travelling FC Machida Zelvia supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 65' Fresh legs for FC Machida Zelvia! Shunta Araki comes on to replace Kazuki Fujimoto.
- 68' Another change for Albirex Niigata made on 68 minute. Danilo leaves to be changed by Yota Komi.
- 73' With 1 assists to his name this season, Hiroki Mochizuki is clearly more than just a goal scorer for FC Machida Zelvia.
- 75' The supporters are chanting for Mitchell Duke. He replaces Se-hun Oh on 75 minute.
- 76' It is a substitution in Albirex Niigata team. Motoki Hasegawa is replaced by Kaito Taniguchi on 76 minute.
- 81' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 85' Fresh legs for FC Machida Zelvia! Sang-ho Na comes on to replace Shota Fujio.
- 90' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- The points are shared — Albirex Niigata 0-0 FC Machida Zelvia. Honours even.
Lineups
Albirex Niigata Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
- 5
- 20
- 1
- 17
- 25
-
31
Yuto Horigome ↓ Hayato Inamura 76'
- 9
-
27
Motoki Nagakura ↓ Yuji Ono 68'
- 14
- 8
Bench
-
99
Yuji Ono ↑ 68'
- 21
-
7
Kaito Taniguchi ↑ 76'
-
16
Yota Komi ↑ 68'
- 32
-
45
Hayato Inamura ↑ 76'
- 30
Coach
Rikizo Matsuhashi
FC Machida Zelvia Lineups
Starting XI
-
11
Erik ↓ Byron Vasquez 46'
- 1
- 3
- 23
- 19
- 25
-
8
Keiya Sento ↓ Hokuto Shimoda 46'
-
22
Kazuki Fujimoto ↓ Shunta Araki 65'
-
9
Shota Fujio ↓ Sang-ho Na 85'
- 33
-
90
Se-hun Oh ↓ Mitchell Duke 75'
Bench
-
18
Hokuto Shimoda ↑ 46'
-
15
Mitchell Duke ↑ 75'
-
47
Shunta Araki ↑ 65'
-
10
Sang-ho Na ↑ 85'
- 26
-
39
Byron Vasquez ↑ 46'
- 42
Coach
Go Kuroda
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Yuki Soma | 2 |
| Shota Fujio | 2 |
| Takuma Nishimura | 2 |
| Soya Fujiwara | 1 |
| Yota Komi | 1 |
| Min-Gyu Jang | 1 |
Head to Head
Albirex Niigata Form
FC Machida Zelvia Form
2024-08-25
Albirex Niigata
0–0
FC Machida Zelvia
D
2024-08-17
FC Machida Zelvia
4–0
Júbilo Iwata
W
2024-08-11
FC Machida Zelvia
0–1
Shonan Bellmare
L
2024-08-07
Cerezo Osaka FC
0–0
FC Machida Zelvia
D
2024-07-20
FC Machida Zelvia
1–2
Yokohama F·Marinos
L
2024-07-14
Tōkyō Verdy
0–1
FC Machida Zelvia
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.13
Albirex Niigata xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.75
FC Machida Zelvia xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 71% + Under — clean sheet likely 63%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 1.88
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 1.5 | 56% |
|
44% |
| ± 2.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
| ± 3.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
| ± 4.5 | 5% |
|
95% |
Double Chance
Albirex Niigata or Draw
77%
Draw or FC Machida Zelvia
54%
Albirex Niigata or FC Machida Zelvia
69%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
15.9%
1 – 1
13.8%
0 – 1
10%
2 – 0
9.3%
2 – 1
7.2%
1 – 2
4.7%
0 – 2
4%
3 – 0
3.5%
2 – 2
2.8%
3 – 1
2.8%
1 – 3
1.2%
Asian Handicap — Albirex Niigata
| Handicap | Albirex Niigata covers | Push | FC Machida Zelvia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 13% | 82% |
| -1.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -1 | 18% | 24% | 57% |
| -0.5 | 43% | — | 57% |
| +0.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +1 | 78% | 16% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Albirex Niigata keeps clean sheet
48%
✗
FC Machida Zelvia keeps clean sheet
33%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

