Thursday , 2 July 2026

Jubilo Iwata vs Shonan Bellmare, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2024
Sat 25 May 2024 · 05:00 UTC Yamaha Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 May Shonan Bellmare H 3–2 W
19 May Urawa Red Diamonds H 1–1 D
15 May Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo A 0–1 L
11 May Sagan Tosu FC H 0–3 L
06 May Tokyo Verdy A 2–3 L
03 May Yokohama F·Marinos A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 May Jubilo Iwata A 2–3 L
19 May Albirex Niigata H 2–1 W
15 May Kashiwa Reysol A 1–2 L
11 May FC Machida Zelvia H 0–0 D
06 May Sagan Tosu FC H 2–1 W
03 May Kashima Antlers A 1–3 L

Key Stats

31% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Shonan Bellmare gets underway.
  • 1' Shonan Bellmare is taking the lead after the goal scored by Lukian on 1.
  • 6' Taiga Hata has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
  • 11' The travelling Shonan Bellmare supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 15' The referee calls foul for Rikiya Uehara. He receives a card.
  • 20' Shonan Bellmare seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 25' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Akira Silvano Disaro made 418 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 29' What a strike from Sho Fukuda! The score is 0-2.
  • 34' It looks surprising Jubilo Iwata does not make any changes. Akimi Barada has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 39' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 44' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 49' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Shonan Bellmare needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 50' What a strike from Hiroki Yamada! The score is 1-2.
  • 54' Shonan Bellmare receives a card for a hard tackle on 54.
  • 59' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 61' Shota Kaneko has so much to prove this time. He replaces Hiroki Yamada on 61 minute.
  • 63' Jubilo Iwata receives a card for a hard tackle on 63.
  • 68' Eiji Kawashima needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 69' Another substitution for Shonan Bellmare to replace Masaki Ikeda by Kohei Okuno on 69 minute.
  • 74' It’s a booking for Jubilo Iwata player. Kaito Suzuki gets a card.
  • 76' The whistle greets Sho Fukuda as he departs to be replaced by Akira Silvano Disaro.
  • 77' The whistle greets Masaya Matsumoto as he departs to be replaced by Bruno Jose.
  • 82' What a strike from Matheus Peixoto! The score is 2-2.
  • 86' Sensational shot from Leo Gomes. Jubilo Iwata is back in the lead.
  • 88' Another change for Shonan Bellmare made on 88 minute. Daiki Sugioka leaves to be changed by Akimi Barada.
  • The final score is 3-2.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.64 Jubilo Iwata xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.27 Shonan Bellmare xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Jubilo Iwata48% Draw26% Shonan Bellmare26%
Actual: Jubilo Iwata win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 2.91
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 55%
45%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

Jubilo Iwata or Draw
73%
Draw or Shonan Bellmare
52%
Jubilo Iwata or Shonan Bellmare
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Jubilo Iwata33% Draw45% Shonan Bellmare22%
Actual: Shonan Bellmare win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.3%
2 – 1
9%
1 – 0
8.1%
0 – 0
7.3%
2 – 0
7.2%
1 – 2
6.9%
0 – 1
6%
2 – 2
5.7%
3 – 1
4.9%
0 – 2
4.3%
3 – 0
3.9%
3 – 2
Actual

Asian Handicap — Jubilo Iwata

Handicap Jubilo Iwata covers Push Shonan Bellmare covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 14% 76%
-1.5 24% 76%
-1 24% 21% 55%
-0.5 45% 55%
+0.5 72% 28%
+1 72% 16% 12%
+1.5 88% 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Jubilo Iwata keeps clean sheet
29%
Shonan Bellmare keeps clean sheet
20%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.