Italy vs Portugal, 2017
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Overview
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Key Stats
100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history -
Events
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Lineups
Italy Lineups
Portugal Lineups
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H2H
Head to Head
Italy Form
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Predictions
Prediction accuracy2 / 41.6 Italy xGExpected GoalsDixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo1.34 Portugal xGI would bet for: Italy or Portugal 74% + Both teams to score 59%Match Result
✗ WrongActual: DrawBoth Teams to Score
✓ CorrectAvg goals/match: 2.94Actual: Yes — both scoredOver / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5Line Over Under ± 0.5 93% 7% ± 1.5 79% 21% ± 2.5 56% 44% ± 3.5 34% 66% ± 4.5 18% 82% Double Chance
Italy or Draw 70%Draw or Portugal 56%Italy or Portugal 74%Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Portugal win at HTCorrect Score
✓ In top 121 – 1 12.2%2 – 1 8.7%1 – 0 7.6%1 – 2 7.3%0 – 0 7%2 – 0 6.7%0 – 1 6.2%2 – 2 Actual0 – 2 4.7%3 – 1 4.7%3 – 0 3.5%1 – 3 3.3%Asian Handicap — Italy
Handicap Italy covers Push Portugal covers -2.5 9% — 91% -2 9% 13% 78% -1.5 22% — 78% -1 22% 20% 58% -0.5 42% — 58% +0.5 69% — 31% +1 69% 17% 14% +1.5 86% — 14% +2 86% 9% 5% +2.5 95% — 5% Clean Sheet
Italy keeps clean sheet 27% ✓Portugal keeps clean sheet 21% ✓Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.