Iceland vs Italy, 2017
Overview
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Key Stats
75%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. Iceland kicks off things out of here…
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-1.
Lineups
Iceland Lineups
Italy Lineups
H2H
Head to Head
Iceland Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.17
Iceland xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.22
Italy xG
I would bet for:
Iceland or Italy 71% + Under 2.5 goals 58%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.39
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 2.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
| ± 3.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
Iceland or Draw
66%
Draw or Italy
63%
Iceland or Italy
71%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
11.4%
0 – 1
10.1%
1 – 0
9.5%
1 – 2
7.7%
2 – 1
7.3%
0 – 2
6.6%
2 – 0
6%
2 – 2
4.6%
1 – 3
3.2%
3 – 1
2.9%
0 – 3
2.7%
Asian Handicap — Iceland
| Handicap | Iceland covers | Push | Italy covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 10% | 86% |
| -1.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -1 | 14% | 19% | 67% |
| -0.5 | 33% | — | 67% |
| +0.5 | 64% | — | 36% |
| +1 | 64% | 20% | 16% |
| +1.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +2 | 84% | 11% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
Iceland keeps clean sheet
30%
✓
Italy keeps clean sheet
32%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.