Italy vs Portugal, 2017
Overview
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: Portugal gets underway.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 2-2.
Lineups
Italy Lineups
Portugal Lineups
H2H
Head to Head
Italy Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.6
Italy xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.34
Portugal xG
I would bet for:
Italy or Portugal 74% + Both teams to score 59%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.94
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 2.5 | 56% |
|
44% |
| ± 3.5 | 34% |
|
66% |
| ± 4.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
Double Chance
Italy or Draw
70%
Draw or Portugal
56%
Italy or Portugal
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Portugal win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.2%
2 – 1
8.7%
1 – 0
7.6%
1 – 2
7.3%
0 – 0
7%
2 – 0
6.7%
0 – 1
6.2%
2 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
4.7%
3 – 1
4.7%
3 – 0
3.5%
1 – 3
3.3%
Asian Handicap — Italy
| Handicap | Italy covers | Push | Portugal covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 13% | 78% |
| -1.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -1 | 22% | 20% | 58% |
| -0.5 | 42% | — | 58% |
| +0.5 | 69% | — | 31% |
| +1 | 69% | 17% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +2 | 86% | 9% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
Italy keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
Portugal keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.